1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · Sun, 12 Apr 2026 14:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · Werder Bremen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said 1. FC Köln: 4.40 to 0.87 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Werder Bremen’s from a penalty, from 26 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1. FC Köln beat Werder Bremen 3–1 in the Bundesliga on Sunday 12 April. It is 1. FC Köln’s first win over Werder Bremen since 21 January 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

1. FC Köln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (7’ pen) and Ragnar Ache (65’); Werder Bremen: Romano Schmid (75’ pen) and an own goal by Mio Backhaus (90’). Marco Friedl (24’) was sent off.

Discipline

Tobias Reichel, Germany showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Ragnar Ache (70’), Jahmai Simpson-Pusey (83’) and Eric Martel (90+1’); Werder Bremen: L. Bittencourt (78’) and Amos Pieper (90’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln move up from 15th to 13th (29 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.

Werder Bremen move down from 14th to 15th (29 league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 37 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Werder Bremen have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Romano Schmid (Werder Bremen) 5.8, Said El Mala (1. FC Köln) 5.6 and Ragnar Ache (1. FC Köln) 4.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Werder Bremen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with 1. FC Köln.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: 1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 3 · Werder Bremen 2 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: 1. FC Köln 0W 3D 2L · Werder Bremen 3W 0D 2L

1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.38

Corners

against 4.63 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.1 yellows

Referee · Tobias Reichel, Germany

20 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	1. FC Köln for / against	Line	Werder Bremen for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany — 3.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 20 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Schwäbe	28	902520 min	833 /90	491.8 /90	20.1 /90

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	2.1 5/3

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Lund	28	722007 min	331.5 /90	251.1 /90	60.3 /90	1135.1 /90	100.4 /90	20.1 /90
S. Sebulonsen	27	802171 min	401.7 /90	130.5 /90	50.2 /90	893.7 /90	100.4 /90	50.2 /90
C. Özkacar	20	671344 min	251.7 /90	171.1 /90	110.7 /90	765.1 /90	90.6 /90	20.1 /90
J. Schmied	15	761145 min	120.9 /90	110.9 /90	100.8 /90	413.2 /90	141.1 /90	40.3 /90
R. van den Berg	13	871128 min	141.1 /90	141.1 /90	121 /90	433.4 /90	100.8 /90	00 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Kamiński n 8	89.8	0.8 4/2	1.3 5/4	S. Lynen
S. El Mala n 8	67.5	0.5 2/1	0.8 4/1	R. Schmid
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
K. Lund n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	1.8 7/4	M. Friedl
E. Martel n 8	83.8	1.2 5/3	2.6 8/4	S. Lynen
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 8	89.8	1.4 6/4
S. El Mala n 8	67.5	0.7 3/1
K. Lund n 8	88.5	1.7 7/4
E. Martel n 8	83.8	2.6 7/6
S. Sebulonsen n 8	78.1	2 6/4
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Ache	27	621687 min	70.4 /90	50.3 /90	392.1 /90	211.1 /90	281.5 /90	80.4 /90
M. Bülter	22	601313 min	20.1 /90	30.2 /90	271.9 /90	110.8 /90	211.4 /90	30.2 /90
L. Waldschmidt	12	44531 min	20.3 /90	30.5 /90	101.7 /90	61 /90	91.5 /90	20.3 /90
F. Schenten	2	4385 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
J. Kamiński	30	882653 min	70.2 /90	30.1 /90	381.3 /90	240.8 /90	491.7 /90	200.7 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 8	89.8	1.3 5/2	1.1 4/2
S. El Mala n 8	67.5	1.7 7/3	0.8 5/0
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Lund n 8	88.5	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
E. Martel n 8	83.8	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 8	89.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
S. El Mala n 8	67.5	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
M. Schwäbe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Lund n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Martel n 8	83.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Backhaus	26	902340 min	752.9 /90	451.7 /90	00 /90
K. Hein	2	90180 min	115.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 8	90	1.6 3/2

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Friedl	27	892390 min	441.7 /90	331.2 /90	220.8 /90	1134.3 /90	160.6 /90	90.3 /90
Y. Sugawara	25	842112 min	301.3 /90	110.5 /90	30.1 /90	602.6 /90	170.7 /90	10 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly	21	831750 min	231.2 /90	201 /90	150.8 /90	673.4 /90	160.8 /90	50.3 /90
A. Pieper	13	781009 min	262.3 /90	211.9 /90	100.9 /90	736.5 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
Isaac Schmidt	12	43515 min	122.1 /90	71.2 /90	00 /90	356.1 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Schmid n 8	89	0.6 4/1	0.6 3/2	S. El Mala
M. Grüll n 8	70.5	1.8 7/3	0.8 3/1	—
M. Friedl n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.9 5/2	K. Lund
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 3/2	—
S. Lynen n 8	89.8	1.6 8/5	0.4 3/0	E. Martel
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Schmid n 8	89	1.8 6/3
M. Grüll n 8	70.5	1 4/2
M. Friedl n 8	90	1.8 7/5
S. Lynen n 8	89.8	1.1 5/3
Y. Sugawara n 8	76.4	1.8 7/4
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Grüll	29	681968 min	30.1 /90	10 /90	281.3 /90	120.5 /90	321.5 /90	200.9 /90
J. Njinmah	25	631567 min	50.3 /90	00 /90	382.2 /90	160.9 /90	150.9 /90	140.8 /90
S. Mbangula	20	541089 min	30.2 /90	20.2 /90	100.8 /90	70.6 /90	151.2 /90	282.3 /90
K. Topp	14	43602 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90	60.9 /90	50.7 /90
V. Boniface	9	34305 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	113.2 /90	61.8 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Schmid n 8	89	1.9 7/6	0.9 5/2
M. Grüll n 8	70.5	0.8 3/2	0.3 2/0
M. Friedl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Lynen n 8	89.8	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Schmid n 8	89	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Grüll n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
M. Friedl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Backhaus n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Lynen n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC Köln		Werder Bremen
58%	Possession	42%
3.33	Expected goals (xG)	0.99
25	Shots	6
8	Shots on target	2
6	Shots off target	3
11	Blocked shots	1
16	Shots inside the box	2
8	Corners	5
3	Offsides	3
16	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	6
493	Passes	352
89%	Pass accuracy	80%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Schwäbe	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7.3
C. Özkacar	90	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson	90	0	2	1	4	0	0	6.9
E. Martel	90	0	1	1	0	1	Y	7
J. Kamiński	90	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.3
S. Sebulonsen	86	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
R. Ache	76	1	4	3	2	0	Y	6.3
J. Thielmann	67	0	0	0	1	1	0	7
S. El Mala	67	1	1	1	2	0	0	6.6
K. Lund	45	0	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
A. Castro-Montes sub	45	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
L. Maina sub	23	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.3
M. Bülter sub	23	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
L. Waldschmidt sub	14	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
T. Krauß sub	13	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7

Werder Bremen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Backhaus	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
A. Pieper	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.2
O. Deman	90	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
S. Lynen	90	0	2	1	0	2	0	6.9
R. Schmid	90	1	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
J. Njinmah	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
L. Bittencourt	84	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.3
F. Agu	79	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Y. Sugawara	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
M. Grüll	45	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Friedl	24	0	0	0	0	1	R	4.2
S. Musah sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly sub	45	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
J. Milošević sub	15	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Isaac Schmidt sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

1. FC KölnLLDDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Werder BremenWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

1. FC Köln 1 · 3 draws · Werder Bremen 2 · 3 goals/game

2025-11-29 Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln
2024-02-16 1. FC Köln 0–1 Werder Bremen
2023-09-23 Werder Bremen 2–1 1. FC Köln
2023-05-20 Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln
2023-01-21 1. FC Köln 7–1 Werder Bremen
2021-03-07 1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen

League standing · 2025/26

1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD

Werder Bremen#15 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD

Goals per game

1. FC Köln scored1.44

Werder Bremen scored1.09

1. FC Köln conceded1.85

Werder Bremen conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 4.40 xG from 26 shots, Werder Bremen 0.87 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

1. FC Köln (attacking right)Werder Bremen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
1. FC Köln	26	3	4.40
Werder Bremen	6	1	0.87

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 1.52 to 0.04, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 4.40 to 0.87, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Werder Bremen’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 3.53 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 96th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

1. FC Köln 4.40 xGWerder Bremen 0.87 xGdots = goals · 32 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen?: In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Werder Bremen won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen?: Recent form — 1. FC Köln 0W 3D 2L; Werder Bremen 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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