This Matchweek

1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen result

Full-time · 1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: 1. FC Köln · Werder Bremen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.35 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.7% of 1739 landed (95% range 73.6–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,010 of 1,354 times (74.6%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Werder Bremen: 1.23 to 1.62 in expected goals, 0.76 of 1. FC Köln’s from a penalty, from 14 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 68th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen drew 1–1 at RheinEnergieStadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 September. 1. FC Köln have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

1. FC Köln led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — 1. FC Köln: Linton Maina (11’, assisted by Ellyes Skhiri); Werder Bremen: Niclas Füllkrug (69’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Niclas Füllkrug’s goal on 69 minutes.

Discipline

Florian Exner, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1. FC Köln: Gideon Mensah (86’) and Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler (90+2’); Werder Bremen: Olivier Deman (72’).

What it changes

1. FC Köln move down from eighth to 11th (three league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1. FC Köln have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Werder Bremen stay ninth after this result (three league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Werder Bremen have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Niclas Füllkrug (Werder Bremen) 7.7, Karl Hein (Werder Bremen) 7.5 and Ellyes Skhiri (1. FC Köln) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, 1. FC Köln or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.7% of the time in the last 90 days (1316 of 1739).

Next up

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
  • Venue: RheinEnergieStadion · Cologne
  • Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 2 · draws 2 · Werder Bremen 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 2W 0D 3L · Werder Bremen 2W 0D 3L

1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · Florian Exner, Germany
20.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLineWerder Bremen for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.63 for · 7.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8

Referee: Florian Exner, Germany — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe390270 min72.3 /9072.3 /9010.3 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
2.15/2

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey390270 min31 /9062 /9020.7 /90134.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
A. Castro-Montes390269 min93 /9020.7 /9000 /90144.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
L. Lochoshvili387262 min10.3 /9010.3 /9031 /9093.1 /9020.7 /9000 /90
G. Mensah385255 min51.8 /9031.1 /9000 /90103.5 /9051.8 /9000 /90
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson390270 min72.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90103.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 877.8
0.73/1
0.42/1
—
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.65/0
0.53/1
M. Friedl
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Castro-Montes n 862.9
0.94/1
0.53/0
O. Deman
T. Krauß n 883.5
0.96/1
1.26/2
L. Reis
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 877.8
1.74/3
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.96/1
A. Castro-Montes n 862.9
2.56/5
T. Krauß n 883.5
38/8
L. Lochoshvili n 387.3
0.31/0
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache372215 min00 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9052.1 /9000 /90
J. Thielmann370210 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
S. El Mala277154 min10.6 /9000 /9063.5 /9052.9 /9021.2 /9010.6 /90
M. Bülter253105 min10.9 /9000 /9054.3 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9010.9 /90
T. Dallinga22040 min24.5 /9000 /9049 /9024.5 /9000 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 877.8
0.94/2
0.63/1
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Castro-Montes n 862.9
0.53/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.5
0.53/1
0.32/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 877.8
0.31/1
00/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Castro-Montes n 862.9
00/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 883.5
00/0
0.11/0
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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Hein290180 min42 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 490
3.83/3

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Pieper390270 min62 /9010.3 /9031 /90124 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Friedl390270 min31 /9062 /9031 /9051.7 /9031 /9000 /90
O. Deman390270 min124 /90103.3 /9031 /90196.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Mick Schmetgens368203 min52.2 /9020.9 /9000 /90125.3 /9031.3 /9000 /90
Arthur16767 min34 /9011.3 /9000 /9034 /9000 /9000 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Deman n 890
0.96/1
0.53/1
A. Castro-Montes
M. Friedl n 876.1
0.95/1
0.32/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.43/0
0.53/1
—
L. Reis n 388.3
1.42/1
11/1
T. Krauß
Chuky San José n 372.7
2.13/2
0.41/0
—
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
3.98/5
A. Pieper n 884.4
1.35/3
M. Friedl n 876.1
1.38/1
L. Reis n 388.3
4.13/2
Chuky San José n 372.7
0.82/0
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Füllkrug365195 min20.9 /9000 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9010.5 /90
M. Grüll364192 min10.5 /9031.4 /9062.8 /9020.9 /9062.8 /9031.4 /90
C. Itten32575 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9000 /9022.4 /9033.6 /90
J. Njinmah267134 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9000 /9042.7 /90
P. Erevbenagie23468 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9056.6 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
0.63/2
0.43/0
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
L. Reis n 388.3
0.71/1
0.31/0
Chuky San José n 372.7
0.82/0
00/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
L. Reis n 388.3
0.31/0
00/0
Chuky San José n 372.7
00/0
0.41/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1. FC KölnWerder Bremen
47%Possession53%
1.65Expected goals (xG)1.12
15Shots14
6Shots on target5
3Shots off target6
6Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box11
8Corners5
1Offsides1
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves5
464Passes530
85%Pass accuracy87%

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Skhiri9001003307.9
M. Bülter9000111106.9
L. Lochoshvili9000000006
G. Mensah90000000Y6.2
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000207.5
M. Schwäbe9000000007.3
T. Krauß8900111006
M. Moore7400310006.9
A. Castro-Montes6500001206.6
L. Maina6510111108.2
T. Dallinga6400110006
R. Ache sub2600100006.7
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson sub2500110006.3
S. Sebulonsen sub2500000106.6
S. El Mala sub1600001107.2
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler sub1000000Y–

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Chuky San José9000212306.6
O. Deman90002203Y7.3
M. Friedl9000100007.5
M. Grüll9000102005.9
A. Pieper9000100207.2
K. Hein9000000008
E. Dinkçi8300200005.9
Y. Regeer8300002206.9
Arthur8100001106.9
N. Füllkrug8110222307.3
L. Reis7000000206.9
Dariusz Stalmach sub2000000006.6
P. Erevbenagie sub1200000106.6
M. Weiser sub1200000106.9
C. Itten sub900000006.3
Mick Schmetgens sub900000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 3 conceded per game
Werder BremenLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 2 · 2 draws · Werder Bremen 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 1. FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-11-29 Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2024-02-16 1. FC Köln 0–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-09-23 Werder Bremen 2–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-05-20 Werder Bremen 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-01-21 1. FC Köln 7–1 Werder Bremen
League standing · 2026/27
1. FC Köln#12 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
Werder Bremen#5 pos15 pts8 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1.13
Werder Bremen scored2.13
1. FC Köln conceded1.5
Werder Bremen conceded1.75

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1. FC Köln 1.62 xG from 15 shots, Werder Bremen 1.23 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Thijs Dallinga 7' · 0.76 xGEren Sami Dinkci 18' · 0.13 xGMarius Bülter 72' · 0.12 xGThijs Dallinga 56' · 0.12 xGAmos Pieper 68' · 0.10 xGRagnar Ache 88' · 0.09 xGMikey Moore 62' · 0.08 xGChuki 52' · 0.08 xGMarco Grüll 86' · 0.07 xGÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 72' · 0.07 xGMarco Friedl 42' · 0.07 xGMarco Grüll 68' · 0.06 xGTom Krauß 12' · 0.06 xGMikey Moore 24' · 0.06 xGRagnar Ache 89' · 0.06 xGThijs Dallinga 5' · 0.05 xGNiclas Füllkrug 3' · 0.05 xGEren Sami Dinkci 57' · 0.04 xGOlivier Deman 48' · 0.03 xGEllyes Skhiri 7' · 0.03 xGGideon Mensah 63' · 0.02 xGChuki 45' · 0.02 xGOlivier Deman 61' · 0.02 xGChuki 18' · 0.02 xGMikey Moore 13' · 0.02 xGMarius Bülter 84' · 0.02 xGAmos Pieper 36' · 0.02 xGNiclas Füllkrug 68' · 0.51 xG · goalLinton Maina 10' · 0.06 xG · goal
1. FC Köln (attacking right)Werder Bremen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1. FC Köln1511.62
Werder Bremen1411.23

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 1.04 to 0.31, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, 1. FC Köln led on xG, 1.62 to 1.23, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.93 xG to 1. FC Köln, in the 13th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - 1. FC Köln 10 minGoal - Werder Bremen 68 min
1. FC Köln 1.62 xGWerder Bremen 1.23 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen was Home or Draw (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 2, Werder Bremen won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 2W 0D 3L; Werder Bremen 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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