1899 HoffenheimFSV Mainz 05

1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · · PreZero Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FSV Mainz 05: 2.56 to 1.53 in expected goals, from 9 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 78th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

FSV Mainz 05 won 2–1 at PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Phillip Tietz (13’, assisted by Phillipp Mwene; 79’); 1899 Hoffenheim: Fisnik Asllani (23’, assisted by Bazoumana Touré).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phillip Tietz’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

Harm Osmers, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Ozan Kabak (45’), Vladimír Coufal (47’), Wouter Burger (79’) and Oliver Baumann (80’); FSV Mainz 05: Dominik Kohr (7’).

What it changes

1899 Hoffenheim stay fifth after this result (28 league matches played). 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 64 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FSV Mainz 05 move up from 11th to ninth (28 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

1899 Hoffenheim are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phillip Tietz (FSV Mainz 05) 9.8, Phillipp Mwene (FSV Mainz 05) 6.0 and Kaishu Sano (FSV Mainz 05) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

1899 Hoffenheim next travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 21 November 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt v 1899 Hoffenheim, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: PreZero Arena · Sinsheim
  • Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · draws 2 · FSV Mainz 05 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 2D 0L

1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.36 yellows
Referee · Harm Osmers, Germany
20.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
15.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.36 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Baumann28902520 min822.9 /90391.4 /9000 /90
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.96/3

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Coufal28902507 min451.6 /90341.2 /90130.5 /901274.6 /90281 /9030.1 /90
R. Hranáč25862153 min241 /90160.7 /90180.8 /901134.7 /90241 /9040.2 /90
Bernardo23841942 min622.9 /90311.4 /90140.6 /901637.6 /90361.7 /9070.3 /90
A. Hajdari23811857 min482.3 /90261.3 /90150.7 /901195.8 /90351.7 /9080.4 /90
O. Kabak15731101 min141.1 /90171.4 /9070.6 /901008.2 /90171.4 /9020.2 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
V. Coufal n 889.9
0.94/2
1.14/2
D. Kohr
A. Kramarić n 876.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
L. Avdullahu n 887.5
0.64/1
0.32/0
—
F. Asllani n 873.9
1.13/2
1.15/2
—
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Coufal n 889.9
1.47/4
A. Kramarić n 876.9
0.32/0
L. Avdullahu n 887.5
2.47/6
F. Asllani n 873.9
0.63/1
R. Hranáč n 882.4
0.85/1
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Kramarić28641801 min100.5 /9060.3 /90412 /90261.3 /90341.7 /90150.7 /90
F. Asllani27701893 min90.4 /9060.3 /90472.2 /90241.1 /90301.4 /90110.5 /90
T. Lemperle22671471 min60.4 /9020.1 /90322 /90171 /90221.3 /9090.6 /90
Max Moerstedt1030302 min30.9 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
I. Bebou42182 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 889.9
0.32/0
00/0
A. Kramarić n 876.9
2.37/5
1.56/3
L. Avdullahu n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Asllani n 873.9
2.67/5
1.45/3
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 889.9
00/0
0.31/1
A. Kramarić n 876.9
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. Avdullahu n 887.5
00/0
00/0
F. Asllani n 873.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
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FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Batz19901710 min643.4 /90201.1 /9000 /90
R. Zentner17851441 min503.1 /90171.1 /9010.1 /90
L. Rieß571357 min153.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Batz n 890
2.86/5
R. Zentner n 881.8
3.26/5

FSV Mainz 05 Defensive

FSV Mainz 05 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. da Costa34882986 min531.6 /90331 /90150.5 /901474.4 /90250.8 /9030.1 /90
D. Kohr33852813 min682.2 /90551.8 /90180.6 /901645.2 /90541.7 /90120.4 /90
S. Bell22631392 min161 /90241.6 /90130.8 /901056.8 /90171.1 /9060.4 /90
A. Hanche-Olsen21671403 min151 /90261.7 /90151 /90946 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
N. Veratschnig1642676 min141.9 /90131.7 /9020.3 /90374.9 /90162.1 /9030.4 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 890
0.32/0
16/2
—
Lee Jae-Sung n 875.9
0.63/1
0.74/1
—
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.84/2
0.86/0
—
D. Kohr n 886.1
2.18/5
1.36/3
V. Coufal
P. Nebel n 878.9
1.65/4
1.47/3
—
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FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
2.18/5
Lee Jae-Sung n 875.9
1.66/4
D. da Costa n 889.5
1.85/4
D. Kohr n 886.1
2.68/6
P. Nebel n 878.9
3.38/6
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking

FSV Mainz 05 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Hollerbach19611163 min20.2 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90110.9 /90171.3 /90
A. Sieb1941770 min20.2 /9000 /90161.9 /9070.8 /9091.1 /9091.1 /90
N. Weiper1755943 min20.2 /9000 /90252.4 /90151.4 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90
P. Tietz14841181 min10.1 /9010.1 /90292.2 /90141.1 /90110.8 /9080.6 /90
A. Nordin1453742 min00 /9000 /90141.7 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
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FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
0.84/1
0.32/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 875.9
0.73/1
0.32/0
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
D. Kohr n 886.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 878.9
0.95/1
0.63/1
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FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FSV Mainz 05 before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
00/0
00/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 875.9
0.32/0
00/0
D. da Costa n 889.5
0.11/0
0.43/0
D. Kohr n 886.1
00/0
00/0
P. Nebel n 878.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1899 HoffenheimFSV Mainz 05
60%Possession40%
1.16Expected goals (xG)2.19
16Shots9
5Shots on target5
4Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box9
7Corners3
0Offsides4
11Fouls5
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
491Passes310
79%Pass accuracy70%

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Baumann90000000Y7.3
O. Kabak90000001Y6.9
A. Hajdari9000211306.7
Bernardo9000000206.6
W. Burger90001023Y6.9
G. Prömel9000001107
B. Touré9001002006.7
T. Lemperle8700212206.6
A. Prass8400111207.3
V. Coufal61001111Y7
F. Asllani6110210007.9
A. Kramarić sub2900000006.7
L. Avdullahu sub2900000006.9
I. Bebou sub1100000006.2
Max Moerstedt sub800000006.3

FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Batz9000000007.9
D. da Costa9000000006.6
S. Posch9000000306.7
K. Sano9000000407.5
P. Mwene9001002107.2
P. Tietz9020441007.3
P. Nebel8700102206.9
Lee Jae-Sung7500110106.2
S. Becker7500101006.3
S. Widmer4500000106.7
D. Kohr37000000Y6.2
K. Potulski sub5300000007.7
N. Veratschnig sub4500000207
A. Sieb sub1500001006.5
S. Kawasaki sub1500000006.3
L. Maloney sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05DDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1899 Hoffenheim 1 · 2 draws · FSV Mainz 05 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-11-21 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-04-12 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-12-01 FSV Mainz 05 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-04-13 FSV Mainz 05 4–1 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-11-26 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2023-03-04 FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1899 Hoffenheim
League standing · 2025/26
1899 Hoffenheim#5 pos61 pts34 pl+13 GD
FSV Mainz 05#10 pos40 pts34 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.91
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.29
1899 Hoffenheim conceded1.53
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.56

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1899 Hoffenheim 1.53 xG from 16 shots, FSV Mainz 05 2.56 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Fisnik Asllani 9' · 0.76 xGPhillip Tietz 78' · 0.48 xGSheraldo Becker 12' · 0.40 xGJae-Sung Lee 24' · 0.34 xGTim Lemperle 10' · 0.15 xGBazoumana Touré 46' · 0.11 xGPaul Nebel 42' · 0.10 xGBazoumana Touré 57' · 0.10 xGPhillip Tietz 66' · 0.09 xGBazoumana Touré 46' · 0.08 xGFisnik Asllani 32' · 0.06 xGPaul Nebel 78' · 0.05 xGAlexander Prass 62' · 0.05 xGTim Lemperle 54' · 0.04 xGPaul Nebel 61' · 0.04 xGAlbian Hajdari 30' · 0.04 xGVladimir Coufal 27' · 0.04 xGWouter Burger 80' · 0.02 xGAlbian Hajdari 69' · 0.02 xGGrischa Prömel 8' · 0.01 xGFisnik Asllani 3' · 0.01 xGAlbian Hajdari 38' · 0.01 xGPhillip Tietz 78' · 0.68 xG · goalPhillip Tietz 12' · 0.36 xG · goalFisnik Asllani 22' · 0.03 xG · goal
1899 Hoffenheim (attacking right)FSV Mainz 05 (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1899 Hoffenheim1611.53
FSV Mainz 05922.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.11, FSV Mainz 05 1.21. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.56 to 1.53. The widest gap was 1.06 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 78th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FSV Mainz 05 12 minGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 22 minGoal - FSV Mainz 05 78 min
1899 Hoffenheim 1.53 xGFSV Mainz 05 2.56 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 2D 0L.

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