1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 result
Team pages: 1899 Hoffenheim · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
What xG said
xG said FSV Mainz 05: 2.56 to 1.53 in expected goals, from 9 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 78th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
FSV Mainz 05 won 2–1 at PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Phillip Tietz (13’, assisted by Phillipp Mwene; 79’); 1899 Hoffenheim: Fisnik Asllani (23’, assisted by Bazoumana Touré).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phillip Tietz’s goal on 79 minutes.
Discipline
Harm Osmers, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Ozan Kabak (45’), Vladimír Coufal (47’), Wouter Burger (79’) and Oliver Baumann (80’); FSV Mainz 05: Dominik Kohr (7’).
What it changes
1899 Hoffenheim stay fifth after this result (28 league matches played). 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 64 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
FSV Mainz 05 move up from 11th to ninth (28 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
1899 Hoffenheim are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Phillip Tietz (FSV Mainz 05) 9.8, Phillipp Mwene (FSV Mainz 05) 6.0 and Kaishu Sano (FSV Mainz 05) 5.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
1899 Hoffenheim next travel to Eintracht Frankfurt on 21 November 2026.
FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt v 1899 Hoffenheim, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Venue: PreZero Arena · Sinsheim
- Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 1 · draws 2 · FSV Mainz 05 3 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 2D 0L
1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | 1899 Hoffenheim for / against | Line | FSV Mainz 05 for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.75 for · 12.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.88 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.36 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann | 28 | 902520 min | 822.9 /90 | 391.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
1899 Hoffenheim Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Coufal | 28 | 902507 min | 451.6 /90 | 341.2 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 1274.6 /90 | 281 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| R. Hranáč | 25 | 862153 min | 241 /90 | 160.7 /90 | 180.8 /90 | 1134.7 /90 | 241 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Bernardo | 23 | 841942 min | 622.9 /90 | 311.4 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 1637.6 /90 | 361.7 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| A. Hajdari | 23 | 811857 min | 482.3 /90 | 261.3 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 1195.8 /90 | 351.7 /90 | 80.4 /90 |
| O. Kabak | 15 | 731101 min | 141.1 /90 | 171.4 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 1008.2 /90 | 171.4 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| V. Coufal n 8 | 89.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | D. Kohr |
| A. Kramarić n 8 | 76.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| L. Avdullahu n 8 | 87.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Asllani n 8 | 73.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Coufal n 8 | 89.9 | 1.4 |
| A. Kramarić n 8 | 76.9 | 0.3 |
| L. Avdullahu n 8 | 87.5 | 2.4 |
| F. Asllani n 8 | 73.9 | 0.6 |
| R. Hranáč n 8 | 82.4 | 0.8 |
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kramarić | 28 | 641801 min | 100.5 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 412 /90 | 261.3 /90 | 341.7 /90 | 150.7 /90 |
| F. Asllani | 27 | 701893 min | 90.4 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 472.2 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 301.4 /90 | 110.5 /90 |
| T. Lemperle | 22 | 671471 min | 60.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 322 /90 | 171 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 90.6 /90 |
| Max Moerstedt | 10 | 30302 min | 30.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.8 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 |
| I. Bebou | 4 | 2182 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.3 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Coufal n 8 | 89.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Kramarić n 8 | 76.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| L. Avdullahu n 8 | 87.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| F. Asllani n 8 | 73.9 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Coufal n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| A. Kramarić n 8 | 76.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| L. Avdullahu n 8 | 87.5 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Asllani n 8 | 73.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | 19 | 901710 min | 643.4 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Zentner | 17 | 851441 min | 503.1 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| L. Rieß | 5 | 71357 min | 153.8 /90 | 133.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Batz n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| R. Zentner n 8 | 81.8 | 3.2 |
FSV Mainz 05 Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. da Costa | 34 | 882986 min | 531.6 /90 | 331 /90 | 150.5 /90 | 1474.4 /90 | 250.8 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| D. Kohr | 33 | 852813 min | 682.2 /90 | 551.8 /90 | 180.6 /90 | 1645.2 /90 | 541.7 /90 | 120.4 /90 |
| S. Bell | 22 | 631392 min | 161 /90 | 241.6 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 1056.8 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 21 | 671403 min | 151 /90 | 261.7 /90 | 151 /90 | 946 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| N. Veratschnig | 16 | 42676 min | 141.9 /90 | 131.7 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 374.9 /90 | 162.1 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 1 | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 75.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | — |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 89.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | — |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | V. Coufal |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 78.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 75.9 | 1.6 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 89.5 | 1.8 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.1 | 2.6 |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 78.9 | 3.3 |
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hollerbach | 19 | 611163 min | 20.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 201.5 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 171.3 /90 |
| A. Sieb | 19 | 41770 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 161.9 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 91.1 /90 |
| N. Weiper | 17 | 55943 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 252.4 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
| P. Tietz | 14 | 841181 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 292.2 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 80.6 /90 |
| A. Nordin | 14 | 53742 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 75.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 89.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 78.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 75.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 89.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 86.1 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 78.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 1.16 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.19 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 491 | Passes | 310 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Baumann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| O. Kabak | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| A. Hajdari | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Bernardo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| W. Burger | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| G. Prömel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Touré | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Lemperle | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Prass | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| V. Coufal | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7 |
| F. Asllani | 61 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Kramarić sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Avdullahu sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| I. Bebou sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Max Moerstedt sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Posch | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 |
| P. Mwene | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Tietz | 90 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| P. Nebel | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Becker | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Widmer | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Kohr | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| K. Potulski sub | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| N. Veratschnig sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Sieb sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Kawasaki sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Maloney sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-21 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim
- 2025-04-12 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2024-12-01 FSV Mainz 05 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
- 2024-04-13 FSV Mainz 05 4–1 1899 Hoffenheim
- 2023-11-26 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FSV Mainz 05
- 2023-03-04 FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1899 Hoffenheim
Shot Map and Expected Goals
1899 Hoffenheim 1.53 xG from 16 shots, FSV Mainz 05 2.56 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 16 | 1 | 1.53 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 2 | 2.56 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.11, FSV Mainz 05 1.21. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.56 to 1.53. The widest gap was 1.06 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 78th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v FSV Mainz 05 was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
- In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 1, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?
- Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 1W 2D 2L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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