1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen

1899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen result

Full-time · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · · PreZero Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen — 1899 Hoffenheim won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.29, Werder Bremen 1.45 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

1899 Hoffenheim beat Werder Bremen 1–0 at PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 May. 1899 Hoffenheim have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

1899 Hoffenheim led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — 1899 Hoffenheim: Bazoumana Touré (26’, assisted by Andrej Kramarić). Yukinari Sugawara (5’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bazoumana Touré’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

Sören Storks, Germany showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — 1899 Hoffenheim: Bernardo (66’); Werder Bremen: Cameron Puertas (41’) and Justin Njinmah (88’).

What it changes

1899 Hoffenheim move up from fifth to fourth (33 league matches played). 1899 Hoffenheim have scored 65 goals, the sixth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded 52 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 19 clubs.

Werder Bremen stay 15th after this result (33 league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 37 goals, the third-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Werder Bremen have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

1899 Hoffenheim are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Senne Lynen (Werder Bremen) 10.3, Andrej Kramarić (1899 Hoffenheim) 6.4 and Albian Hajdari (1899 Hoffenheim) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

1899 Hoffenheim next host FC Schalke 04 on 8 November 2026.

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for 1899 Hoffenheim: 1899 Hoffenheim v FC Schalke 04, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
  • Venue: PreZero Arena · Sinsheim
  • Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1899 Hoffenheim 5 · draws 0 · Werder Bremen 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 2D 1L · Werder Bremen 1W 1D 3L

1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.7 yellows
Referee · Sören Storks, Germany
19.1 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game1899 Hoffenheim for / againstLineWerder Bremen for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 8.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Sören Storks, Germany — 4.7 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 19.1 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim Goalkeeper

1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Baumann33902970 min962.9 /90481.5 /9000 /90
1899 Hoffenheim — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Baumann n 890
2.56/4

1899 Hoffenheim Defensive

1899 Hoffenheim — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Coufal33892927 min551.7 /90361.1 /90160.5 /901574.8 /90341 /9040.1 /90
R. Hranáč28822306 min261 /90180.7 /90180.7 /901224.8 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
A. Hajdari28822285 min562.2 /90361.4 /90190.7 /901345.3 /90411.6 /9090.4 /90
Bernardo28812261 min702.8 /90361.4 /90160.6 /901877.4 /90401.6 /9080.3 /90
O. Kabak20781551 min191.1 /90231.3 /90110.6 /901428.2 /90241.4 /9040.2 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Baumann n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
V. Coufal n 886.3
1.66/4
1.45/4
M. Friedl
A. Kramarić n 871
0.32/0
0.83/2
R. Schmid
L. Avdullahu n 881
0.85/1
0.42/1
S. Lynen
F. Asllani n 873.5
1.15/2
0.64/0
R. Schmid
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1899 Hoffenheim — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Coufal n 886.3
2.18/6
A. Kramarić n 871
0.32/0
L. Avdullahu n 881
2.25/5
F. Asllani n 873.5
0.95/1
W. Burger n 879.5
3.57/6
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1899 Hoffenheim Attacking

1899 Hoffenheim — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Kramarić33652157 min140.6 /9060.3 /90482 /90321.3 /90361.5 /90170.7 /90
F. Asllani32712287 min110.4 /9080.3 /90552.2 /90271.1 /90361.4 /90140.6 /90
T. Lemperle27701895 min70.3 /9020.1 /90411.9 /90211 /90261.2 /90150.7 /90
Max Moerstedt1030302 min30.9 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
I. Bebou42182 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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1899 Hoffenheim — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.3
0.75/0
0.32/0
A. Kramarić n 871
1.74/3
1.13/2
L. Avdullahu n 881
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Asllani n 873.5
2.17/5
0.94/2
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1899 Hoffenheim — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1899 Hoffenheim before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Baumann n 890
00/0
00/0
V. Coufal n 886.3
00/0
0.32/0
A. Kramarić n 871
0.62/2
0.21/0
L. Avdullahu n 881
00/0
00/0
F. Asllani n 873.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Backhaus30902700 min903 /90531.8 /9000 /90
K. Hein290180 min115.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
2.55/4

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Friedl29862504 min461.7 /90341.2 /90220.8 /901224.4 /90180.6 /90100.4 /90
Y. Sugawara29832416 min361.3 /90120.4 /9060.2 /90692.6 /90210.8 /9020.1 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly25812020 min261.2 /90221 /90160.7 /90783.5 /90180.8 /9050.2 /90
A. Pieper17811369 min302 /90231.5 /90161.1 /90946.2 /9090.6 /9040.3 /90
O. Deman13821066 min312.6 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90645.4 /90181.5 /9030.3 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Schmid n 889.8
0.42/1
15/3
F. Asllani
M. Grüll n 866.8
1.77/2
0.83/1
—
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
S. Lynen n 890
1.56/4
0.54/0
L. Avdullahu
M. Friedl n 881.8
0.74/1
0.74/1
V. Coufal
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
1.45/4
M. Grüll n 866.8
14/2
S. Lynen n 890
2.17/5
M. Friedl n 881.8
1.47/3
Y. Sugawara n 872.6
2.28/5
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Grüll31662043 min30.1 /9010 /90291.3 /90120.5 /90331.5 /90210.9 /90
J. Njinmah29631816 min50.2 /9000 /90432.1 /90201 /90170.8 /90190.9 /90
S. Mbangula21541134 min30.2 /9020.2 /90110.9 /9070.6 /90151.2 /90292.3 /90
K. Topp1443602 min00 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9050.7 /90
J. Milošević1143476 min30.6 /9000 /9081.5 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9050.9 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
1.87/5
0.95/2
M. Grüll n 866.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
M. Friedl n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Grüll n 866.8
0.21/0
00/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 881.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen
72%Possession28%
1.52Expected goals (xG)1.07
15Shots11
4Shots on target2
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box5
8Corners3
4Fouls3
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
2Saves3
684Passes267
87%Pass accuracy64%

1899 Hoffenheim Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Baumann9000000007.2
V. Coufal9000005208.5
O. Kabak9000101007.5
A. Hajdari9000000208.6
L. Avdullahu9000002008.2
W. Burger9000302107.3
A. Kramarić8901102206.9
F. Asllani8900311006.5
Bernardo71000000Y6.9
T. Lemperle7100211006.3
B. Touré5710110107.3
A. Prass sub3300110006.3
R. Hranáč sub1900000106.9
William Cole Campbell sub1900000006.5
G. Prömel sub10000000–
A. Hložek sub10000000–

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Backhaus9000000007.9
A. Pieper9000000006.3
M. Friedl9000000106.3
O. Deman9000211407.2
S. Lynen9000101507.2
J. Njinmah90003100Y6.5
Cameron Puertas90001032Y6.7
J. Stage7100000006.7
R. Schmid7100004106.5
S. Musah1200000006.5
Y. Sugawara5000000R3
Isaac Schmidt sub6800000206.3
S. Mbangula sub1900000006.3
M. Grüll sub1900000106.6
Maximilian Wöber sub1000001007.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind 1899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1899 HoffenheimLDWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Werder BremenLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1899 Hoffenheim 5 · 0 draws · Werder Bremen 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-01-27 Werder Bremen 0–2 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2025-02-16 Werder Bremen 1–3 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2024-09-29 1899 Hoffenheim 3–4 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-03-03 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-10-07 Werder Bremen 2–3 1899 Hoffenheim
  • 2023-04-02 Werder Bremen 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
League standing · 2025/26
1899 Hoffenheim#5 pos61 pts34 pl+13 GD
Werder Bremen#15 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
1899 Hoffenheim scored1.91
Werder Bremen scored1.09
1899 Hoffenheim conceded1.53
Werder Bremen conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

1899 Hoffenheim 1.29 xG from 15 shots, Werder Bremen 1.45 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Justin Njinmah 49' · 0.54 xGMarco Grüll 86' · 0.43 xGTim Lemperle 45' · 0.39 xGTim Lemperle 46' · 0.14 xGAndrej Kramaric 24' · 0.12 xGWouter Burger 12' · 0.11 xGOzan Kabak 60' · 0.11 xGFisnik Asllani 31' · 0.11 xGJustin Njinmah 48' · 0.11 xGJustin Njinmah 47' · 0.09 xGJustin Njinmah 29' · 0.09 xGFisnik Asllani 9' · 0.08 xGJustin Njinmah 54' · 0.05 xGCameron Puertas 67' · 0.04 xGFisnik Asllani 33' · 0.04 xGJustin Njinmah 52' · 0.04 xGVladimir Coufal 18' · 0.04 xGOlivier Deman 28' · 0.03 xGAlbian Hajdari 77' · 0.03 xGWouter Burger 37' · 0.02 xGSenne Lynen 28' · 0.02 xGWouter Burger 93' · 0.02 xGOzan Kabak 62' · 0.02 xGAlexander Prass 60' · 0.02 xGOlivier Deman 13' · 0.02 xGBazoumana Touré 25' · 0.04 xG · goal
1899 Hoffenheim (attacking right)Werder Bremen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
1899 Hoffenheim1511.29
Werder Bremen1101.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, 1899 Hoffenheim led on xG, 0.96 to 0.15. At full time, xG was level: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.29, Werder Bremen 1.45. The widest gap was 0.95 xG to 1899 Hoffenheim, in the 46th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - 1899 Hoffenheim 25 min
1899 Hoffenheim 1.29 xGWerder Bremen 1.45 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen?
In their last 6 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 5, Werder Bremen won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1899 Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen?
Recent form — 1899 Hoffenheim 2W 2D 1L; Werder Bremen 1W 1D 3L.

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