Bayer Leverkusen v FC Schalke 04 prediction

Bundesliga · · BayArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v FC Schalke 04, Bundesliga on Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayer Leverkusen host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

FC Schalke 04 have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FC Schalke 04, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Bayer Leverkusen have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 0.71. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Eight of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, FC Schalke 04 have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.78. FC Schalke 04 have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

FC Schalke 04 have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) and FC Schalke 04 (16th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 190 rating points above FC Schalke 04 (Bayer Leverkusen 1672, FC Schalke 04 1482, after at least 177 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 April 2023, finished FC Schalke 04 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, F. Medina, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, J. Quansah, A. García, E. Fernández, I. Maza, M. Tillman, A. Moreira, P. Schick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.7 per match over 12 appearances, 10 goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1009 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1318 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Schalke 04 XI (3-4-2-1): L. Karius, H. Kuruçay, N. Katić, T. Becker, S. Tanaka, A. Aouchiche, D. Ljubičić, H. Hee-Chan, E. Džeko, J. Adamu, K. Karaman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Soufian El-Faouzi (3.8 per match over eight appearances) and Timo Becker (3.7 per match over nine appearances) have been FC Schalke 04’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Schalke 04 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soufian El-Faouzi averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Timo Becker averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 663 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · BayArena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayer Leverkusen 5 · draws 1 · FC Schalke 04 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L · FC Schalke 04 0W 2D 3L

Bayer Leverkusen v FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 3.38
Corners
against 4 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBayer Leverkusen for / againstLineFC Schalke 04 for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
19 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.75 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
7.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Flekken990810 min202.2 /90121.3 /9000 /90
J. Blaswich390270 min41.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5
J. Blaswich n 890
4.15/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Tapsoba12841006 min141.3 /90111 /9060.5 /90413.7 /9050.4 /9010.1 /90
F. Medina1269832 min111.2 /9091 /9070.8 /90232.5 /90121.3 /9020.2 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez1181892 min121.2 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90292.9 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Quansah1163689 min111.4 /9020.3 /9020.3 /90192.5 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90
L. Badé763444 min102 /90122.4 /9000 /90316.3 /90132.6 /9010.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleix García n 885.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
—
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.64/0
0.63/1
—
F. Medina n 878.1
1.25/2
0.32/0
—
P. Schick n 872.3
0.94/1
0.85/0
—
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.35/3
0.74/1
—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
15/2
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/4
F. Medina n 878.1
1.67/2
P. Schick n 872.3
0.53/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
1.34/3
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Schick1269829 min101.1 /9020.2 /90363.9 /90182 /90141.5 /9091 /90
N. Tella742291 min10.3 /9000 /90144.3 /9061.9 /9030.9 /9041.2 /90
Christian Kofane533163 min31.7 /9000 /90105.5 /9042.2 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
M. Terrier334103 min00 /9000 /9043.5 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9021.7 /90
Aleix García12871046 min00 /9040.3 /90161.4 /9050.4 /90322.8 /9020.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
1.85/5
0.42/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
1.35/2
0.73/1
F. Medina n 878.1
0.94/2
0.63/1
P. Schick n 872.3
3.68/7
1.96/4
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
16/1
0.43/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 885.8
00/0
0.53/1
E. Tapsoba n 880.8
0.31/1
00/0
F. Medina n 878.1
0.11/0
00/0
P. Schick n 872.3
0.95/1
0.21/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 878.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 Goalkeeper

FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Karius890720 min354.4 /9070.9 /9000 /90
FC Schalke 04 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Karius n 890
4.46/6

FC Schalke 04 Defensive

FC Schalke 04 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Katić886687 min141.8 /90111.4 /9070.9 /90648.4 /9070.9 /9020.3 /90
H. Kuruçay885676 min273.6 /9081.1 /9070.9 /90425.6 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
T. Becker776532 min213.6 /9081.4 /9071.2 /90386.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Vitalie Becker549244 min83 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90134.8 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
Maximilian Wöber534170 min52.6 /9052.6 /9000 /9084.2 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Karius n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
N. Katić n 885.9
0.95/1
0.43/0
—
H. Kuruçay n 884.5
1.24/2
0.74/1
—
S. Tanaka n 785.3
1.16/1
2.17/4
—
S. El-Faouzi n 884.1
1.38/2
1.58/3
—
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FC Schalke 04 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Katić n 885.9
1.87/5
H. Kuruçay n 884.5
3.68/7
S. Tanaka n 785.3
2.16/4
S. El-Faouzi n 884.1
2.17/4
A. Aouchiche n 882.6
1.15/2
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FC Schalke 04 Attacking

FC Schalke 04 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Aouchiche783580 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9060.9 /90121.9 /9060.9 /90
K. Karaman576379 min10.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9081.9 /9051.2 /90
J. Adamu564320 min00 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
M. Sylla472287 min00 /9000 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
E. Džeko458233 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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FC Schalke 04 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Karius n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Katić n 885.9
0.32/0
00/0
H. Kuruçay n 884.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Tanaka n 785.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
S. El-Faouzi n 884.1
0.83/1
0.41/1
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FC Schalke 04 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Schalke 04 before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Karius n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Katić n 885.9
00/0
00/0
H. Kuruçay n 884.5
00/0
00/0
S. Tanaka n 785.3
00/0
00/0
S. El-Faouzi n 884.1
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v FC Schalke 04 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FC Schalke 04DLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 1 draw · FC Schalke 04 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2023-04-01 FC Schalke 04 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2022-10-08 Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 FC Schalke 04
  • 2021-04-03 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FC Schalke 04
  • 2020-12-06 FC Schalke 04 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2020-06-14 FC Schalke 04 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2019-12-07 Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FC Schalke 04
League standing · 2026/27
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos13 pts7 pl+4 GD
FC Schalke 04#16 pos6 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.29
FC Schalke 04 scored0.57
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.71
FC Schalke 04 conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Schalke 04?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 5, FC Schalke 04 won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and FC Schalke 04?
Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 4W 0D 1L; FC Schalke 04 0W 2D 3L.

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