Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · BayArena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · SC Paderborn 07 · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayer Leverkusen host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last five meetings with SC Paderborn 07, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Bayer Leverkusen have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.14. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.00. SC Paderborn 07 have scored eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). SC Paderborn 07 have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Paderborn 07 are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen (fifth) and SC Paderborn 07 (13th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayer Leverkusen the stronger side, 91 rating points above SC Paderborn 07 (Bayer Leverkusen 1603, SC Paderborn 07 1512, after at least 45 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 October 2025, finished SC Paderborn 07 2–4 Bayer Leverkusen.

Team news

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, F. Medina, M. Gutiérrez, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, E. Fernández, A. Moreira, M. Tillman, P. Schick — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (5.6 per match over 15 appearances, 12 goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.3 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and four assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1279 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1575 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted SC Paderborn 07 XI (3-1-4-2): N. Noll, J. ter Horst, T. Scheller, M. Hansen, S. Castañeda, L. Curda, R. Obermair, T. Baack, G. Vidovic, S. Marino, M. Pieringer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Castañeda (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) and Jano ter Horst (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been SC Paderborn 07’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Paderborn 07 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Castañeda averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 990 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Jano ter Horst averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 917 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · BayArena
Head-to-head (last 5): Bayer Leverkusen 5 · draws 0 · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 4.2 goals/game
Recent form: Bayer Leverkusen 2W 0D 3L · SC Paderborn 07 1W 3D 1L

Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.38 / 4.75

Corners

against 3.38 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.5 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.75 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bayer Leverkusen for / against	Line	SC Paderborn 07 for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.63 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen Goalkeeper

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Flekken	12	901080 min	292.4 /90	121 /90	00 /90
J. Blaswich	3	90270 min	41.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 8	90	2.5 5/5
J. Blaswich n 8	90	4.1 5/4

Bayer Leverkusen Defensive

Bayer Leverkusen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Tapsoba	15	851276 min	191.3 /90	110.8 /90	60.4 /90	553.9 /90	70.5 /90	20.1 /90
F. Medina	15	731100 min	171.4 /90	100.8 /90	70.6 /90	393.2 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
Miguel Gutiérrez	14	831162 min	151.2 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	342.6 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90
J. Quansah	14	69959 min	181.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	383.6 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Vázquez	8	71564 min	40.6 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	254 /90	91.4 /90	10.2 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aleix García n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0	—
F. Medina n 8	77.9	1 5/2	0.7 4/1	—
P. Schick n 8	77.1	0.7 3/1	1 6/1	—
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	85.6	1.7 7/4
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	1.3 4/3
F. Medina n 8	77.9	1.7 7/3
P. Schick n 8	77.1	0.6 4/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0.9 3/2
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Bayer Leverkusen Attacking

Bayer Leverkusen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Schick	15	731099 min	121 /90	20.2 /90	483.9 /90	242 /90	161.3 /90	100.8 /90
N. Tella	7	42291 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	144.3 /90	61.9 /90	30.9 /90	41.2 /90
Christian Kofane	5	33163 min	31.7 /90	00 /90	105.5 /90	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
M. Terrier	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.5 /90	21.7 /90	10.9 /90	21.7 /90
Aleix García	15	871309 min	10.1 /90	50.3 /90	181.2 /90	60.4 /90	402.8 /90	50.3 /90
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Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	85.6	1.4 5/3	0.3 2/0
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	1.1 4/2	0.4 1/1
F. Medina n 8	77.9	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
P. Schick n 8	77.1	4.1 8/8	2 7/5
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0.9 6/0	0.3 2/0
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Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayer Leverkusen before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Aleix García n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
E. Tapsoba n 8	80.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
F. Medina n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Schick n 8	77.1	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
Miguel Gutiérrez n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 Goalkeeper

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Noll	9	90810 min	333.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90
M. Schubert	2	90180 min	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Noll n 8	90	3.6 5/5
M. Schubert n 4	91.3	3.2 4/3

SC Paderborn 07 Defensive

SC Paderborn 07 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. ter Horst	11	83917 min	222.2 /90	232.3 /90	80.8 /90	504.9 /90	131.3 /90	20.2 /90
T. Scheller	11	83910 min	232.3 /90	90.9 /90	90.9 /90	646.3 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Hansen	11	78856 min	212.2 /90	181.9 /90	60.6 /90	485 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
F. Götze	4	39155 min	52.9 /90	52.9 /90	10.6 /90	137.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Jonah Benedict Sticker	3	39117 min	32.3 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	107.7 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.6 4/1	2.3 7/6	—
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	1.1 3/2	0.4 2/1	—
L. Curda n 8	80.5	1.7 6/4	1 5/2	—
T. Scheller n 8	80	1.1 5/2	0.4 2/1	—
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0.4 3/0	0.7 3/2	—
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SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.6 6/3
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	2.3 8/6
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2.4 6/5
T. Scheller n 8	80	2.3 7/5
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	2.5 7/3
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SC Paderborn 07 Attacking

SC Paderborn 07 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Marino	10	69685 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90
M. Pieringer	10	56564 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
S. Tigges	10	37371 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	174.1 /90	51.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90
R. Philippe	6	24142 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	63.8 /90	42.5 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90
Ruben Müller	3	49148 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	42.4 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.9 8/5	0.6 4/1
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. ter Horst n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bayer LeverkusenLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

SC Paderborn 07DWLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Bayer Leverkusen 5 · 0 draws · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 4.2 goals/game

2025-10-29 SC Paderborn 07 2–4 Bayer Leverkusen
2023-12-06 Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 SC Paderborn 07
2020-01-19 SC Paderborn 07 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen
2019-10-29 Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 SC Paderborn 07
2019-08-17 Bayer Leverkusen 3–2 SC Paderborn 07

League standing · 2026/27

Bayer Leverkusen#5 pos16 pts9 pl+3 GD

SC Paderborn 07#13 pos10 pts9 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Bayer Leverkusen scored2.22

SC Paderborn 07 scored0.89

Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.89

SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.22

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07?: In their last 5 meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 5, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07?: Recent form — Bayer Leverkusen 2W 0D 3L; SC Paderborn 07 1W 3D 1L.

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