Bayern München v Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · · Allianz Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · Bayer Leverkusen · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v Bayer Leverkusen, Bundesliga on Wed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayern München host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on Wednesday 13 January (kick-off 19:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayer Leverkusen have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Bayern München have six wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 4.38 and conceding 0.88. Bayern München have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

11 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bayer Leverkusen have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.71 and conceding 1.71. Bayer Leverkusen have scored 16 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bayer Leverkusen have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München (first) and Bayer Leverkusen (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 198 rating points above Bayer Leverkusen (Bayern München 2012, Bayer Leverkusen 1815, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bayer Leverkusen, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern München.

Team news

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): M. Neuer, D. Upamecano, A. Davies, K. Min-Jae, J. Stanišić, M. Olise, J. Kimmich, A. Pavlović, L. Díaz, I. Saibari, H. Kane — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (10.0 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Harry Kane (7.7 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and six assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1820 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1861 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): M. Flekken, E. Tapsoba, M. Gutiérrez, F. Medina, J. Quansah, A. García, I. Maza, A. Moreira, E. Fernández, M. Diaby, P. Schick — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patrik Schick (6.4 per match over nine appearances, nine goals and two assists) and Ibrahim Maza (5.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Bayer Leverkusen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayer Leverkusen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patrik Schick averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 810 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ibrahim Maza averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1157 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Allianz Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bayern München 4 · draws 2 · Bayer Leverkusen 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bayern München 3W 2D 0L · Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L

Bayern München v Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.63 / 2.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
9.75 / 6.88
Corners
against 2.88 / 3.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
10.25 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 3.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBayern München for / againstLineBayer Leverkusen for / against
Goals scored
3.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
24.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
19.5standard
19.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
10.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Bayern München
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Ito n 861.5
2.25/3
0.21/0
—
K. Laimer n 866.5
1.95/4
13/2
—
I. Saibari n 850
1.86/2
0.21/0
—
J. Musiala n 860.5
1.57/1
2.85/5
—
D. Upamecano n 878.1
1.46/4
0.32/0
—
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
4.18/7
3.28/5
H. Kane n 877.8
3.98/8
2.68/6
S. Gnabry n 833.4
3.45/4
25/1
I. Saibari n 850
3.26/4
1.64/2
T. Bischof n 849.4
2.36/2
1.45/1
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 877.8
1.67/4
0.73/2
M. Olise n 869.3
1.35/2
0.64/0
J. Musiala n 860.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
L. Díaz n 875.1
0.62/1
0.11/0
T. Bischof n 849.4
0.21/0
0.51/1
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Bischof n 849.4
36/5
S. Boey n 849.8
2.95/4
Bara Ndiaye n 738.4
2.34/1
K. Laimer n 866.5
2.27/4
Kim Min-Jae n 874
2.16/4
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Urbig n 882.5
1.84/2
M. Neuer n 892.6
1.75/2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.25/3
1.42/1
—
M. Tillman n 856.1
37/5
1.45/2
—
Lucas Vázquez n 838.5
1.84/2
2.64/2
—
I. Maza n 884.8
1.77/3
0.95/2
—
G. Doué n 871.8
1.77/3
1.34/3
—
Bayer Leverkusen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Boniface n 831.8
4.66/4
2.15/1
P. Schick n 870.4
48/7
1.97/4
Christian Kofane n 831.9
3.96/4
1.43/1
N. Tella n 855
3.17/3
1.86/2
I. Maza n 884.8
2.77/6
0.73/2
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schick n 870.4
1.37/1
0.32/0
Christian Kofane n 831.9
1.13/0
0.41/0
I. Maza n 884.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
N. Tella n 855
0.42/0
0.42/0
M. Tillman n 856.1
0.63/0
00/0
Bayer Leverkusen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 853.9
4.46/4
L. Badé n 865
2.47/4
E. Ben Seghir n 814.5
2.32/1
G. Doué n 871.8
26/3
I. Maza n 884.8
1.66/4
Bayer Leverkusen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Flekken n 890
2.15/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v Bayer Leverkusen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bayern MünchenWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bayer LeverkusenWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bayern München 4 · 2 draws · Bayer Leverkusen 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-04-22 Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern München
  • 2026-03-14 Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern München
  • 2025-11-01 Bayern München 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-03-11 Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-03-05 Bayern München 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 2025-02-15 Bayer Leverkusen 0–0 Bayern München
League standing · 2026/27
Bayern München#1 pos14 pts6 pl+17 GD
Bayer Leverkusen#4 pos13 pts6 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Bayern München scored3.67
Bayer Leverkusen scored2.67
Bayern München conceded0.83
Bayer Leverkusen conceded1.5

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and Bayer Leverkusen?
In their last 6 meetings, Bayern München won 4, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and Bayer Leverkusen?
Recent form — Bayern München 3W 2D 0L; Bayer Leverkusen 5W 0D 0L.

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