Bayern München v SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT · Allianz Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bayern München · SC Paderborn 07

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bayern München v SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bayern München host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

13 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Bayern München have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 4.71 and conceding 1.00. Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Seven of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of SC Paderborn 07’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, SC Paderborn 07 have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.50. SC Paderborn 07 have scored six goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SC Paderborn 07 have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München (first) and SC Paderborn 07 (14th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 497 rating points above SC Paderborn 07 (Bayern München 2008, SC Paderborn 07 1511, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last three meetings with SC Paderborn 07, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2020, finished Bayern Munich 3–2 SC Paderborn 07.

Team news

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): J. Urbig, D. Upamecano, J. Stanišić, J. Tah, K. Laimer, M. Olise, T. Bischof, J. Kimmich, L. Karl, A. Pavlović, H. Kane — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (9.6 per match over 14 appearances, 12 goals and six assists) and Harry Kane (7.1 per match over 14 appearances, 10 goals and nine assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 2152 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2221 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted SC Paderborn 07 XI (3-1-4-2): N. Noll, J. ter Horst, T. Scheller, M. Hansen, S. Castañeda, L. Curda, R. Obermair, G. Vidovic, L. Ulrich, S. Marino, M. Pieringer — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Santiago Castañeda (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) and Jano ter Horst (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been SC Paderborn 07’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Paderborn 07 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Santiago Castañeda averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 900 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Jano ter Horst averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 827 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · Allianz Arena
Head-to-head (last 3): Bayern München 3 · draws 0 · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 5.33 goals/game
Recent form: Bayern München 3W 2D 0L · SC Paderborn 07 1W 2D 2L

Bayern München v SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.25 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.38 / 5.13

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

8.38 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bayern München for / against	Line	SC Paderborn 07 for / against
Goals scored	3.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	21.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	8.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.5 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Neuer	8	89711 min	172.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
J. Urbig	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	88.9	2.2 6/4
J. Urbig n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Stanišić	13	67867 min	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	363.7 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
A. Davies	13	64831 min	151.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90	657 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
D. Upamecano	12	83990 min	322.9 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90	686.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90
N. Brown	12	60718 min	111.4 /90	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	273.4 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
K. Laimer	11	82902 min	181.8 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	363.6 /90	212.1 /90	30.3 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.4 3/0	0.8 4/1	—
M. Olise n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	2.4 7/6	—
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 3/1	—
A. Davies n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	1.9 5/3	—
I. Saibari n 8	49	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.4 3/0
M. Olise n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.9 4/2
A. Davies n 8	66.8	1.3 6/2
I. Saibari n 8	49	1.6 6/1
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	14	821153 min	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	534.1 /90	201.6 /90	282.2 /90	100.8 /90
M. Olise	14	821146 min	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	503.9 /90	302.4 /90	544.2 /90	403.1 /90
I. Saibari	13	48630 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	273.9 /90	111.6 /90	131.9 /90	131.9 /90
J. Kimmich	12	83996 min	00 /90	40.4 /90	111 /90	40.4 /90	211.9 /90	20.2 /90
A. Pavlović	11	75830 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90	171.8 /90	60.7 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	4.4 8/8	1.7 6/3
M. Olise n 8	84.4	3.7 8/7	2.3 6/5
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
A. Davies n 8	66.8	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
I. Saibari n 8	49	5.1 7/7	2.3 6/3
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2
M. Olise n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 4/0
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. Davies n 8	66.8	0.3 2/0	0.5 2/1
I. Saibari n 8	49	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
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SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 Goalkeeper

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Noll	8	90720 min	324 /90	91.1 /90	00 /90
M. Schubert	2	90180 min	84 /90	21 /90	00 /90

SC Paderborn 07 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Noll n 8	90	4 6/6
M. Schubert n 4	91.3	3.2 4/3

SC Paderborn 07 Defensive

SC Paderborn 07 — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. ter Horst	10	83827 min	202.2 /90	202.2 /90	80.9 /90	444.8 /90	131.4 /90	20.2 /90
T. Scheller	10	82820 min	202.2 /90	70.8 /90	91 /90	566.1 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
M. Hansen	10	77766 min	172 /90	172 /90	60.7 /90	435.1 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
F. Götze	4	39155 min	52.9 /90	52.9 /90	10.6 /90	137.5 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
Jonah Benedict Sticker	3	39117 min	32.3 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	107.7 /90	21.5 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.5 4/0	2.1 7/5	—
J. ter Horst n 8	80.9	1.4 4/3	0.4 2/1	—
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2 6/4	1.1 5/2	—
T. Scheller n 8	80	1 4/2	0.7 3/2	—
M. Hansen n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0.9 4/2	—
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SC Paderborn 07 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.9 7/4
J. ter Horst n 8	80.9	2.5 8/6
L. Curda n 8	80.5	2.4 6/5
T. Scheller n 8	80	2 7/4
M. Hansen n 8	76.8	2.2 7/3
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SC Paderborn 07 Attacking

SC Paderborn 07 — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Tigges	10	37371 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	174.1 /90	51.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90
S. Marino	9	68611 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	131.9 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
M. Pieringer	9	60539 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.5 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
R. Philippe	5	25126 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	64.3 /90	42.9 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90
A. Millgramm	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90
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SC Paderborn 07 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	1.9 8/5	0.8 5/1
J. ter Horst n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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SC Paderborn 07 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Paderborn 07 before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Castañeda n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. ter Horst n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Curda n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Scheller n 8	80	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Hansen n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bayern München v SC Paderborn 07 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bayern MünchenDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

SC Paderborn 07LDWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Bayern München 3 · 0 draws · SC Paderborn 07 0 · 5.33 goals/game

2020-02-21 Bayern Munich 3–2 SC Paderborn 07
2019-09-28 SC Paderborn 07 2–3 Bayern Munich
2018-02-06 SC Paderborn 07 0–6 Bayern Munich

League standing · 2026/27

Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD

SC Paderborn 07#14 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Bayern München scored3.38

SC Paderborn 07 scored0.75

Bayern München conceded1

SC Paderborn 07 conceded1.13

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern München and SC Paderborn 07?: In their last 3 meetings, Bayern München won 3, SC Paderborn 07 won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bayern München and SC Paderborn 07?: Recent form — Bayern München 3W 2D 0L; SC Paderborn 07 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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