This Matchweek

Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln result

Full-time · Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga · · Deutsche Bank Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.27, 1. FC Köln 1.02 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FC Köln 1–0 at Deutsche Bank Park in the Bundesliga on Friday 16 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Eintracht Frankfurt: Younes Ebnoutalib (77’, assisted by Noël Aséko Nkili).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Younes Ebnoutalib’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

Benjamin Brand, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Eintracht Frankfurt: Mario Götze (24’) and Lilian Brassier (39’); 1. FC Köln: Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (45’) and Borna Sosa (90+4’).

What it changes

Eintracht Frankfurt move up from 13th to eighth (six league matches played). Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

1. FC Köln move down from 10th to 11th (six league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 1. FC Köln have conceded 12 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Krauß (1. FC Köln) 10.8, Younes Ebnoutalib (Eintracht Frankfurt) 7.0 and Borna Sosa (1. FC Köln) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (387 of 578).

Next up

Eintracht Frankfurt next travel to SC Paderborn 07 on 7 November 2026.

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Eintracht Frankfurt: SC Paderborn 07 v Eintracht Frankfurt, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Deutsche Bank Park · Frankfurt am Main
  • Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Eintracht Frankfurt 1 · draws 3 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Eintracht Frankfurt 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L

Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.63 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.71 / 6.13
Corners
against 4.71 / 5.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 7.71 / 5.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.71 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Benjamin Brand, Germany
20.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEintracht Frankfurt for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
3 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 17.29 against n 7
19.5standard
16.13 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.57 for · 7.71 against n 7
8.5standard
5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.86 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
8.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.71 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Benjamin Brand, Germany — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.57 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt Goalkeeper

Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu590450 min255 /90163.2 /9010.2 /90
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 590
55/5

Eintracht Frankfurt Defensive

Eintracht Frankfurt — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Kosugi581405 min92 /9092 /9020.4 /90276 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
R. Koch581405 min40.9 /9081.8 /9030.7 /90286.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Elias Baum570352 min133.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90256.4 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
L. Brassier490360 min82 /90112.8 /9041 /90235.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Maluze290180 min42 /9063 /9042 /902311.5 /9000 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Eintracht Frankfurt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Onyedika n 590
2.25/4
0.62/1
T. Krauß
N. Atubolu n 590
00/0
0.21/0
—
C. Uzun n 880.1
0.64/0
1.88/4
—
J. Burkardt n 873.8
0.21/0
1.75/3
—
K. Kosugi n 581
1.63/3
2.45/3
L. Lochoshvili
See more players · Pro
Eintracht Frankfurt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 590
2.24/4
C. Uzun n 880.1
15/2
J. Burkardt n 873.8
0.63/1
K. Kosugi n 581
25/2
R. Koch n 884.4
1.76/4
See more players · Pro

Eintracht Frankfurt Attacking

Eintracht Frankfurt — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Burkardt582409 min30.7 /9010.2 /90102.2 /9061.3 /9081.8 /9030.7 /90
Y. Ebnoutalib565326 min41.1 /9010.3 /90113 /9061.7 /9061.7 /9092.5 /90
R. Dōan478311 min00 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9010.3 /9061.7 /9030.9 /90
A. Amaimouni250100 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9032.7 /90
R. Onyedika590450 min00 /9000 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Eintracht Frankfurt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 590
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Atubolu n 590
00/0
00/0
C. Uzun n 880.1
2.18/5
1.76/4
J. Burkardt n 873.8
2.37/5
1.46/3
R. Koch n 884.4
0.84/1
0.42/1
See more players · Pro
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 590
00/0
00/0
N. Atubolu n 590
00/0
00/0
C. Uzun n 880.1
0.63/1
00/0
J. Burkardt n 873.8
0.84/1
0.32/0
R. Koch n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe690540 min223.7 /90111.8 /9010.2 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
3.27/4

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey690540 min50.8 /9091.5 /9040.7 /90335.5 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
L. Lochoshvili687520 min50.9 /9030.5 /9050.9 /90223.8 /9050.9 /9000 /90
G. Mensah582409 min61.3 /9061.3 /9000 /90132.9 /9092 /9020.4 /90
A. Castro-Montes580401 min132.9 /9040.9 /9000 /90214.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
B. Sosa258116 min32.3 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9053.9 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.65/0
1.36/3
—
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Lochoshvili n 686.7
0.94/1
0.74/0
K. Kosugi
T. Krauß n 878.9
1.15/2
1.15/2
R. Onyedika
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 864.9
0.73/1
0.31/1
—
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.96/1
L. Lochoshvili n 686.7
0.92/1
T. Krauß n 878.9
2.36/6
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 864.9
1.95/3
L. Maina n 858.3
12/1
See more players · Pro

1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache553267 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9031 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
M. Bülter471285 min10.3 /9000 /9061.9 /9030.9 /9041.3 /9020.6 /90
T. Dallinga442168 min21.1 /9000 /9073.8 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9000 /90
J. Thielmann370210 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
Reigan Heskey11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Lochoshvili n 686.7
0.94/1
00/0
T. Krauß n 878.9
0.63/1
0.32/0
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 864.9
15/1
0.94/1
See more players · Pro
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Lochoshvili n 686.7
00/0
00/0
T. Krauß n 878.9
00/0
0.11/0
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 864.9
0.52/1
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln
56%Possession44%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.80
15Shots9
7Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box7
7Corners3
1Offsides0
8Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves6
449Passes360
80%Pass accuracy75%

Eintracht Frankfurt Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Brassier90002112Y7.3
K. Kosugi9000002407.5
R. Koch9000000308
Y. Ebnoutalib9010420207.5
R. Dōan9000003307.5
F. Chaïbi9000542007.2
N. Atubolu9000000008.3
R. Onyedika9000000307.2
J. Burkardt8200001006.7
M. Götze71000001Y7.2
N. Collins7100001207.3
A. Knauff sub1900001106.7
N. Aséko Nkili sub1901001007.2
Elias Baum sub800000106.9

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Sosa90000047Y7.7
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000107.2
L. Lochoshvili9000000206.7
T. Krauß90000011007.2
M. Bülter9000330007
M. Schwäbe9000001008.2
S. Sebulonsen8400100406.2
S. El Mala8400100106
J. Schmied6800000107
L. Maina6800001206.3
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson68000000Y6.3
A. Castro-Montes sub2200000006.6
M. Moore sub2200000106.5
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler sub2200001006.7
Reigan Heskey sub1100000006.5
L. Waldschmidt sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
1. FC KölnWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 · 3 draws · 1. FC Köln 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-05 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-11-22 1. FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2024-02-03 1. FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2023-09-03 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-02-12 1. FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2022-08-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2026/27
Eintracht Frankfurt#15 pos8 pts7 pl-7 GD
1. FC Köln#12 pos9 pts8 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Eintracht Frankfurt scored1.43
1. FC Köln scored1.13
Eintracht Frankfurt conceded2.43
1. FC Köln conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Eintracht Frankfurt 1.27 xG from 15 shots, 1. FC Köln 1.02 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Marius Bülter 31' · 0.34 xGFarès Chaïbi 21' · 0.29 xGMarius Bülter 0' · 0.28 xGFarès Chaïbi 57' · 0.20 xGMarius Bülter 74' · 0.14 xGYounes Ebnoutalib 48' · 0.12 xGYounes Ebnoutalib 2' · 0.12 xGSaid El Mala 47' · 0.10 xGLilian Brassier 73' · 0.08 xGYounes Ebnoutalib 50' · 0.07 xGReigan Heskey 84' · 0.06 xGFarès Chaïbi 36' · 0.06 xGFarès Chaïbi 8' · 0.06 xGFarès Chaïbi 86' · 0.05 xGJonathan Burkardt 55' · 0.05 xGYounes Ebnoutalib 61' · 0.04 xGRitsu Doan 94' · 0.03 xGSebastian Sebulonsen 35' · 0.03 xGÍsak Bergmann Jóhannesson 32' · 0.03 xGSaid El Mala 16' · 0.02 xGLilian Brassier 54' · 0.02 xGFarès Chaïbi 61' · 0.02 xGSaid El Mala 39' · 0.02 xGYounes Ebnoutalib 76' · 0.07 xG · goal
Eintracht Frankfurt (attacking right)1. FC Köln (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Eintracht Frankfurt1511.27
1. FC Köln901.02

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Eintracht Frankfurt 0.52, 1. FC Köln 0.72. At full time, xG was level: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.27, 1. FC Köln 1.02.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Eintracht Frankfurt 76 min
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.27 xG1. FC Köln 1.02 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v 1. FC Köln was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 6 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Eintracht Frankfurt and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — Eintracht Frankfurt 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Köln 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+