Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV prediction

Bundesliga · · Deutsche Bank Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV, Bundesliga on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Eintracht Frankfurt have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Hamburger SV have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.11. Hamburger SV have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hamburger SV have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Eintracht Frankfurt (14th) and Hamburger SV (11th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt the stronger side, 13 rating points above Hamburger SV (Eintracht Frankfurt 1520, Hamburger SV 1507, after at least 79 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 October 2026, finished Hamburger SV 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Team news

Predicted Eintracht Frankfurt XI (4-4-2): N. Atubolu, R. Koch, L. Brassier, E. Baum, N. Collins, R. Onyedika, R. Dōan, F. Chaïbi, N. Aséko Nkili, J. Burkardt, Y. Ebnoutalib — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Maluze (5.6 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Younes Ebnoutalib (5.2 per match over eight appearances, six goals and one assist) have been Eintracht Frankfurt’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eintracht Frankfurt (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Maluze averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Younes Ebnoutalib averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 661 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-4-2-1): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Bornauw, N. Capaldo, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Sambi Lokonga, M. Muheim, N. Remberg, T. Moffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.7 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (4.2 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 484 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 509 minutes, with a shot in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Deutsche Bank Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Eintracht Frankfurt 3 · draws 1 · Hamburger SV 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Eintracht Frankfurt 2W 1D 2L · Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L

Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.25 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.88
Corners
against 5.25 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 6.63 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.25
Cards
against 1 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEintracht Frankfurt for / againstLineHamburger SV for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5our book
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 17.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 6.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt Goalkeeper

Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Atubolu890720 min374.6 /90162 /9010.1 /90
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
4.68/8

Eintracht Frankfurt Defensive

Eintracht Frankfurt — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Koch884675 min101.3 /90131.7 /9030.4 /90537.1 /9060.8 /9000 /90
K. Kosugi776535 min142.4 /90122 /9020.3 /90386.4 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
Elias Baum776532 min203.4 /90122 /9020.3 /90447.4 /9061 /9010.2 /90
L. Brassier690540 min111.8 /90172.8 /9050.8 /90335.5 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
N. Collins566330 min51.4 /9071.9 /9020.5 /90133.5 /9082.2 /9020.5 /90
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Eintracht Frankfurt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Onyedika n 890
1.67/4
0.53/1
—
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
R. Koch n 884.4
0.85/1
0.11/0
—
J. Burkardt n 880
0.32/0
1.54/4
—
Y. Ebnoutalib n 863.9
0.53/0
1.24/2
—
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Eintracht Frankfurt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 890
2.17/6
R. Koch n 884.4
1.35/3
J. Burkardt n 880
0.42/1
Y. Ebnoutalib n 863.9
0.94/1
R. Dōan n 883.4
1.98/4
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Eintracht Frankfurt Attacking

Eintracht Frankfurt — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Burkardt880640 min40.6 /9020.3 /90142 /9071 /90131.8 /9060.8 /90
Y. Ebnoutalib864511 min61.1 /9010.2 /90173 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90111.9 /90
C. Uzun684504 min20.4 /9000 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90183.2 /90101.8 /90
A. Knauff346138 min00 /9000 /9032 /9021.3 /9032 /9000 /90
A. Amaimouni250100 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9032.7 /90
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Eintracht Frankfurt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Koch n 884.4
0.95/1
0.53/1
J. Burkardt n 880
26/6
15/2
Y. Ebnoutalib n 863.9
37/5
1.87/2
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Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eintracht Frankfurt before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Onyedika n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Atubolu n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Koch n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Burkardt n 880
0.64/0
0.32/0
Y. Ebnoutalib n 863.9
1.14/1
0.21/0
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Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes790630 min263.7 /90152.1 /9000 /90
S. Tangvik290180 min63 /9000 /9000 /90
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
3.46/6
S. Tangvik n 390
4.33/2

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Capaldo788615 min202.9 /90142 /9020.3 /90416 /90131.9 /9020.3 /90
S. Bornauw784585 min50.8 /90111.7 /9081.2 /90274.2 /9060.9 /9000 /90
W. Omari678467 min61.2 /90112.1 /9061.2 /90203.9 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
S. Nandja578388 min71.6 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90173.9 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
J. Torunarigha477307 min30.9 /9061.8 /9041.2 /90133.8 /9072.1 /9000 /90
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Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Capaldo n 888.1
1.97/6
1.75/2
—
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
1.36/2
1.24/2
—
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
M. Adeline n 776.3
1.76/4
0.32/0
—
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Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Capaldo n 888.1
2.78/5
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
14/1
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.84/1
M. Adeline n 776.3
2.75/4
A. Grønbæk n 872.4
2.65/5
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Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Grønbæk770489 min20.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9050.9 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90
Otto Emerson Stange733232 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9000 /9041.6 /90
P. Daka652314 min00 /9010.3 /90102.9 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9051.4 /90
T. Moffi651304 min10.3 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
Y. Poulsen645270 min20.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9031 /9041.3 /9031 /90
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Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
1.15/3
0.53/1
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Adeline n 776.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
00/0
00/0
S. Bornauw n 783.6
00/0
00/0
M. Adeline n 776.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Hamburger SVWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Eintracht Frankfurt 3 · 1 draw · Hamburger SV 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-10-27 Hamburger SV 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2026-05-02 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV
  • 2025-12-20 Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2018-05-05 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2017-12-12 Hamburger SV 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
League standing · 2026/27
Eintracht Frankfurt#14 pos8 pts7 pl-7 GD
Hamburger SV#11 pos9 pts7 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Eintracht Frankfurt scored1.43
Hamburger SV scored0.86
Eintracht Frankfurt conceded2.43
Hamburger SV conceded2.29

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV?
In their last 5 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 3, Hamburger SV won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV?
Recent form — Eintracht Frankfurt 2W 1D 2L; Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L.

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