FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln

FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln result

Full-time · FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln

Bundesliga · · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.8% of 125 landed (95% range 77.5–90%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said FC St. Pauli: 2.31 to 1.27 in expected goals, 0.76 of 1. FC Köln’s from a penalty, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Friday 17 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FC St. Pauli: Karol Mets (69’, assisted by H. Wahl); 1. FC Köln: L. Waldschmidt (86’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Waldschmidt’s goal on 86 minutes.

Discipline

Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC St. Pauli: Andréas Hountondji (71’), T. Ando (76’), Mathias Pereira Lage (87’) and D. Sinani (90+6’); 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (87’).

What it changes

FC St. Pauli stay 16th after this result (30 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 29 goals, the fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FC St. Pauli have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.

1. FC Köln move up from 13th to 12th (30 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.

FC St. Pauli are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cenk Özkacar (1. FC Köln) 5.4, L. Waldschmidt (1. FC Köln) 5.4 and Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (1. FC Köln) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC St. Pauli, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, 1. FC Köln to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC St. Pauli next travel to 1. FC Magdeburg on 8 November 2026.

1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC St. Pauli: 1. FC Magdeburg v FC St. Pauli, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
  • Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): FC St. Pauli 0 · draws 1 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L · 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L

FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.38 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.18 yellows
Referee · Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC St. Pauli for / againstLine1. FC Köln for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
9 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Vasilj30902700 min1133.8 /90511.7 /9020.1 /90
FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Vasilj n 890
4.58/6

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Wahl26882295 min401.6 /90240.9 /90150.6 /901024 /9090.4 /9010 /90
E. Smith25882205 min301.2 /90241 /90170.7 /90994 /90140.6 /9040.2 /90
Karol Mets22841844 min251.2 /90190.9 /9090.4 /90743.6 /90120.6 /9020.1 /90
A. Dźwigała17691173 min443.4 /90191.5 /9040.3 /90786 /90191.5 /9050.4 /90
L. Ritzka1357744 min303.6 /90121.5 /9020.2 /90404.8 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Fujita n 875.9
0.95/1
0.95/1
—
Mathias Pereira Lage n 872
0.94/2
0.83/1
S. El Mala
A. Pyrka n 889.8
0.32/0
1.66/4
J. Kamiński
H. Wahl n 890
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Fujita n 875.9
1.87/2
Mathias Pereira Lage n 872
1.46/3
A. Pyrka n 889.8
1.35/4
H. Wahl n 890
1.56/4
E. Smith n 890
1.46/3
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mathias Pereira Lage28742063 min20.1 /9020.1 /90291.3 /90150.7 /90261.1 /90140.6 /90
D. Sinani25771925 min50.2 /9030.1 /90311.4 /90180.8 /90391.8 /90130.6 /90
M. Kaars23551254 min40.3 /9010.1 /90191.4 /90120.9 /90100.7 /9040.3 /90
A. Hountondji1648761 min40.5 /9000 /90111.3 /9080.9 /9040.5 /9080.9 /90
R. Jones845358 min20.5 /9000 /9082 /9061.5 /9061.5 /9051.3 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Fujita n 875.9
0.96/0
0.64/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 872
1.14/2
0.53/0
A. Pyrka n 889.8
0.32/0
00/0
H. Wahl n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Fujita n 875.9
0.11/0
00/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 872
0.32/0
00/0
A. Pyrka n 889.8
00/0
00/0
H. Wahl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln Goalkeeper

1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Schwäbe29902610 min842.9 /90501.7 /9020.1 /90
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
24/3

1. FC Köln Defensive

1. FC Köln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Lund29712052 min331.4 /90251.1 /9060.3 /901145 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
S. Sebulonsen28812257 min411.6 /90130.5 /9050.2 /90923.7 /90110.4 /9050.2 /90
C. Özkacar21681434 min251.6 /90171.1 /90110.7 /90795 /90100.6 /9020.1 /90
J. Schmied15761145 min120.9 /90110.9 /90100.8 /90413.2 /90141.1 /9040.3 /90
R. van den Berg13871128 min141.1 /90141.1 /90121 /90433.4 /90100.8 /9000 /90
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1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kamiński n 889.8
0.53/1
1.35/4
A. Pyrka
S. El Mala n 864.6
0.52/1
0.94/1
Mathias Pereira Lage
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
K. Lund n 884.4
0.53/1
1.97/4
—
E. Martel n 883.8
1.56/4
2.68/4
—
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1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
15/3
S. El Mala n 864.6
0.52/1
K. Lund n 884.4
1.66/4
E. Martel n 883.8
2.47/5
S. Sebulonsen n 877.6
26/4
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1. FC Köln Attacking

1. FC Köln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Ache28631763 min80.4 /9050.3 /90432.2 /90241.2 /90301.5 /9090.5 /90
M. Bülter23581336 min20.1 /9030.2 /90281.9 /90120.8 /90211.4 /9030.2 /90
L. Waldschmidt1244531 min20.3 /9030.5 /90101.7 /9061 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
F. Schenten24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
J. Kamiński31882743 min70.2 /9030.1 /90391.3 /90240.8 /90501.6 /90210.7 /90
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1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
1.46/2
1.14/2
S. El Mala n 864.6
1.67/2
0.95/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 884.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
E. Martel n 883.8
0.86/0
0.32/0
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1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for 1. FC Köln before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kamiński n 889.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. El Mala n 864.6
0.74/0
0.21/0
M. Schwäbe n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Lund n 884.4
00/0
00/0
E. Martel n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC St. Pauli1. FC Köln
48%Possession52%
2.01Expected goals (xG)1.33
14Shots10
6Shots on target1
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box6
8Corners5
3Offsides1
6Fouls2
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
421Passes462
80%Pass accuracy82%

FC St. Pauli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Vasilj9000000006.2
T. Ando90002114Y6.6
H. Wahl9001001007.2
Karol Mets9010110006.6
A. Pyrka9000000206.6
M. Rasmussen9000101106.9
J. Irvine9000002107
D. Sinani90000040Y6.7
Mathias Pereira Lage87002012Y6.6
A. Hountondji77003300Y6.6
L. Ritzka6500111006.6
M. Saliakas sub2500000106.3
C. Metcalfe sub1300000106.2
M. Kaars sub1100000006.3

1. FC Köln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Schwäbe9000000008.6
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey9000000006.9
C. Özkacar9000100207.5
E. Martel9000000406.9
J. Kamiński9000002007.2
S. El Mala90002000Y6.3
S. Sebulonsen7900000006.3
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson7900002507.2
A. Castro-Montes7000101206.3
R. Ache5100001006.2
J. Thielmann4500100006.7
L. Maina sub4500000006.7
M. Bülter sub3900000007.2
K. Lund sub2000000107.2
F. Chávez sub1100000006.3
L. Waldschmidt sub1110110007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC St. PauliDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
1. FC KölnLDDDW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
FC St. Pauli 0 · 1 draw · 1. FC Köln 2 · 5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-06 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC St. Pauli
  • 2019-02-08 1. FC Köln 4–1 FC St. Pauli
  • 2018-09-02 FC St. Pauli 3–5 1. FC Köln
League standing · 2025/26
FC St. Pauli#18 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD
1. FC Köln#14 pos32 pts34 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
FC St. Pauli scored0.85
1. FC Köln scored1.44
FC St. Pauli conceded1.76
1. FC Köln conceded1.85

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 2.31 xG from 13 shots, 1. FC Köln 1.27 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mathias Rasmussen 65' · 0.50 xGAndréas Hountondji 9' · 0.48 xGAndréas Hountondji 32' · 0.35 xGTomoya Ando 56' · 0.17 xGSaid El Mala 6' · 0.12 xGEric Martel 53' · 0.09 xGJan Thielmann 44' · 0.07 xGJakub Kaminski 4' · 0.06 xGManolis Saliakas 94' · 0.06 xGAndréas Hountondji 55' · 0.06 xGPereira Lage 57' · 0.06 xGLars Ritzka 34' · 0.06 xGTomoya Ando 9' · 0.05 xGEric Martel 26' · 0.05 xGCenk Özkacar 92' · 0.04 xGAlessio Castro-Montes 5' · 0.03 xGSaid El Mala 53' · 0.03 xGPereira Lage 38' · 0.02 xGPereira Lage 57' · 0.02 xGJan Thielmann 45' · 0.02 xGPereira Lage 8' · 0.01 xGGian-Luca Waldschmidt 85' · 0.76 xG · goalKarol Mets 68' · 0.46 xG · goal
FC St. Pauli (attacking right)1. FC Köln (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FC St. Pauli1312.31
1. FC Köln1011.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, FC St. Pauli led on xG, 0.98 to 0.35. At full time, FC St. Pauli led on xG, 2.31 to 1.27, 0.76 of 1. FC Köln’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.77 xG to FC St. Pauli, in the 68th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FC St. Pauli 68 minGoal - 1. FC Köln 85 min
FC St. Pauli 2.31 xG1. FC Köln 1.27 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln?
In their last 3 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln?
Recent form — FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L; 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L.

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