FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln result
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · 1. FC Köln
The model’s pre-match pick
FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln — this Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
What xG said
xG said FC St. Pauli: 2.31 to 1.27 in expected goals, 0.76 of 1. FC Köln’s from a penalty, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Friday 17 April.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — FC St. Pauli: Karol Mets (69’, assisted by H. Wahl); 1. FC Köln: L. Waldschmidt (86’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Waldschmidt’s goal on 86 minutes.
Discipline
Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC St. Pauli: Andréas Hountondji (71’), T. Ando (76’), Mathias Pereira Lage (87’) and D. Sinani (90+6’); 1. FC Köln: Said El Mala (87’).
What it changes
FC St. Pauli stay 16th after this result (30 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 29 goals, the fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FC St. Pauli have conceded 60 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 19 clubs.
1. FC Köln move up from 13th to 12th (30 league matches played). 1. FC Köln have scored 49 goals, the ninth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). 1. FC Köln have conceded 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 19 clubs.
FC St. Pauli are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. 1. FC Köln have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cenk Özkacar (1. FC Köln) 5.4, L. Waldschmidt (1. FC Köln) 5.4 and Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (1. FC Köln) 5.1 led the match.
Head-to-head
1. FC Köln are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC St. Pauli, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, 1. FC Köln to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
FC St. Pauli next travel to 1. FC Magdeburg on 8 November 2026.
1. FC Köln next host Bayer Leverkusen on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for FC St. Pauli: 1. FC Magdeburg v FC St. Pauli, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for 1. FC Köln: 1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
- Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
- Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): FC St. Pauli 0 · draws 1 · 1. FC Köln 2 · 5 goals/game
- Recent form: FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L · 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L
FC St. Pauli 1–1 1. FC Köln (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC St. Pauli for / against | Line | 1. FC Köln for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.63 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.75 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 30 | 902700 min | 1133.8 /90 | 511.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 4.5 |
FC St. Pauli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Wahl | 26 | 882295 min | 401.6 /90 | 240.9 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 1024 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| E. Smith | 25 | 882205 min | 301.2 /90 | 241 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 994 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Karol Mets | 22 | 841844 min | 251.2 /90 | 190.9 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 743.6 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| A. Dźwigała | 17 | 691173 min | 443.4 /90 | 191.5 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 786 /90 | 191.5 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| L. Ritzka | 13 | 57744 min | 303.6 /90 | 121.5 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 404.8 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 75.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 72 | 0.9 | 0.8 | S. El Mala |
| A. Pyrka n 8 | 89.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | J. Kamiński |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 75.9 | 1.8 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 72 | 1.4 |
| A. Pyrka n 8 | 89.8 | 1.3 |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
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FC St. Pauli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 28 | 742063 min | 20.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 291.3 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 261.1 /90 | 140.6 /90 |
| D. Sinani | 25 | 771925 min | 50.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 311.4 /90 | 180.8 /90 | 391.8 /90 | 130.6 /90 |
| M. Kaars | 23 | 551254 min | 40.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 191.4 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| A. Hountondji | 16 | 48761 min | 40.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 80.9 /90 |
| R. Jones | 8 | 45358 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 82 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 51.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 75.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 72 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| A. Pyrka n 8 | 89.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 75.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 72 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Pyrka n 8 | 89.8 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
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1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe | 29 | 902610 min | 842.9 /90 | 501.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe n 8 | 90 | 2 |
1. FC Köln Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lund | 29 | 712052 min | 331.4 /90 | 251.1 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 1145 /90 | 120.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| S. Sebulonsen | 28 | 812257 min | 411.6 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 923.7 /90 | 110.4 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| C. Özkacar | 21 | 681434 min | 251.6 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 795 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| J. Schmied | 15 | 761145 min | 120.9 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 413.2 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| R. van den Berg | 13 | 871128 min | 141.1 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 121 /90 | 433.4 /90 | 100.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kamiński n 8 | 89.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | A. Pyrka |
| S. El Mala n 8 | 64.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | Mathias Pereira Lage |
| M. Schwäbe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Lund n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | — |
| E. Martel n 8 | 83.8 | 1.5 | 2.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Kamiński n 8 | 89.8 | 1 |
| S. El Mala n 8 | 64.6 | 0.5 |
| K. Lund n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 |
| E. Martel n 8 | 83.8 | 2.4 |
| S. Sebulonsen n 8 | 77.6 | 2 |
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1. FC Köln Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ache | 28 | 631763 min | 80.4 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 432.2 /90 | 241.2 /90 | 301.5 /90 | 90.5 /90 |
| M. Bülter | 23 | 581336 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 281.9 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 211.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| L. Waldschmidt | 12 | 44531 min | 20.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 101.7 /90 | 61 /90 | 91.5 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| F. Schenten | 2 | 4385 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Kamiński | 31 | 882743 min | 70.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 391.3 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 501.6 /90 | 210.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kamiński n 8 | 89.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| S. El Mala n 8 | 64.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| M. Schwäbe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Lund n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| E. Martel n 8 | 83.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kamiński n 8 | 89.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| S. El Mala n 8 | 64.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| M. Schwäbe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Lund n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Martel n 8 | 83.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| FC St. Pauli | 1. FC Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Possession | 52% |
| 2.01 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.33 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 2 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 421 | Passes | 462 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
FC St. Pauli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Ando | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| H. Wahl | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Pyrka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Rasmussen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Irvine | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Sinani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| A. Hountondji | 77 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| L. Ritzka | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Saliakas sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Metcalfe sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Kaars sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
1. FC Köln Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Schwäbe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 |
| Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Özkacar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| E. Martel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Kamiński | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. El Mala | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| S. Sebulonsen | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Castro-Montes | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Ache | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Thielmann | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Maina sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Bülter sub | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Lund sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Chávez sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Waldschmidt sub | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-06 1. FC Köln 1–1 FC St. Pauli
- 2019-02-08 1. FC Köln 4–1 FC St. Pauli
- 2018-09-02 FC St. Pauli 3–5 1. FC Köln
Shot Map and Expected Goals
FC St. Pauli 2.31 xG from 13 shots, 1. FC Köln 1.27 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli | 13 | 1 | 2.31 |
| 1. FC Köln | 10 | 1 | 1.27 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, FC St. Pauli led on xG, 0.98 to 0.35. At full time, FC St. Pauli led on xG, 2.31 to 1.27, 0.76 of 1. FC Köln’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.77 xG to FC St. Pauli, in the 68th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Köln was Away win.
- What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln?
- In their last 3 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, 1. FC Köln won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Köln?
- Recent form — FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L; 1. FC Köln 1W 3D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.