FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig result
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig — this Bundesliga match was drawn.
What xG said
xG said RB Leipzig: 2.06 to 1.33 in expected goals, 0.76 of FC St. Pauli’s from a penalty, from 12 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 43rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.
The result
FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig drew 1–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Tuesday 27 January. RB Leipzig have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Yan Diomande (66’); FC St. Pauli: M. Kaars (90’ pen).
Discipline
Florian Exner, Germany showed one yellow card — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (49’).
What it changes
FC St. Pauli move down from 16th to 17th (19 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FC St. Pauli have conceded 55 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
RB Leipzig stay fourth after this result (19 league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 63 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.
FC St. Pauli are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig) 10.5, M. Kaars (FC St. Pauli) 6.7 and H. Wahl (FC St. Pauli) 5.6 led the match.
Head-to-head
RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC St. Pauli, every meeting checked.
Next up
FC St. Pauli next host VfL Bochum on 21 November 2026.
RB Leipzig next travel to Union Berlin on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for FC St. Pauli: FC St. Pauli v VfL Bochum, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for RB Leipzig: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
- Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
- Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 3): FC St. Pauli 0 · draws 1 · RB Leipzig 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L · RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L
FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | FC St. Pauli for / against | Line | RB Leipzig for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 19 | 901710 min | 663.5 /90 | 321.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 3.2 |
FC St. Pauli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Smith | 18 | 881575 min | 201.1 /90 | 181 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 724.1 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| H. Wahl | 18 | 881575 min | 281.6 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 60.3 /90 | 693.9 /90 | 80.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Karol Mets | 13 | 831079 min | 141.2 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 393.3 /90 | 70.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| A. Dźwigała | 12 | 68812 min | 323.5 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 515.7 /90 | 121.3 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
| L. Ritzka | 8 | 56445 min | 183.6 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 244.9 /90 | 51 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.3 | Y. Diomande |
| L. Oppie n 8 | 62.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 77.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 84.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | D. Raum |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Fujita n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| L. Oppie n 8 | 62.9 | 0.7 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 77.8 | 1.3 |
| H. Wahl n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 1.3 |
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FC St. Pauli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 19 | 771460 min | 00 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 221.4 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 231.4 /90 | 70.4 /90 |
| M. Kaars | 15 | 54807 min | 30.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| D. Sinani | 13 | 68888 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 141.4 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 222.2 /90 | 70.7 /90 |
| A. Hountondji | 12 | 51616 min | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 71 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 71 /90 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 7 | 24169 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| L. Oppie n 8 | 62.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 77.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Fujita n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 |
| L. Oppie n 8 | 62.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage n 8 | 77.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| E. Smith n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
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RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi | 18 | 901620 min | 482.7 /90 | 241.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
RB Leipzig Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán | 21 | 891877 min | 291.4 /90 | 231.1 /90 | 231.1 /90 | 1135.4 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| D. Raum | 21 | 891861 min | 422 /90 | 271.3 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 763.7 /90 | 201 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| C. Lukeba | 18 | 901622 min | 221.2 /90 | 261.4 /90 | 150.8 /90 | 633.5 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| R. Baku | 18 | 841515 min | 442.6 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 734.3 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| K. Nedeljković | 4 | 72286 min | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.6 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.8 | — |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | H. Wahl |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0.4 | 0 | — |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 83.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | — |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 0.6 | 1.4 | J. Fujita |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 2.5 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 1.4 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 83.5 | 1.3 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 1.4 |
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RB Leipzig Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diomande | 19 | 661249 min | 70.5 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 231.7 /90 | 161.2 /90 | 231.7 /90 | 574.1 /90 |
| A. Nusa | 17 | 721227 min | 30.2 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 292.1 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 342.5 /90 |
| Rômulo | 15 | 791186 min | 60.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 221.7 /90 | 131 /90 | 171.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| J. Bakayoko | 14 | 57792 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 182 /90 |
| C. Harder | 11 | 54596 min | 10.2 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 243.6 /90 | 132 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 83.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 83.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| FC St. Pauli | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 46% | Possession | 54% |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 3 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 513 | Passes | 603 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
FC St. Pauli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| T. Ando | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| H. Wahl | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Pyrka | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Saliakas | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Sands | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Fujita | 77 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Sinani | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Jones | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Kaars sub | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Rasmussen sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Irvine sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
RB Leipzig Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Baku | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| W. Orbán | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| E. Bitshiabu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. Raum | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| X. Schlager | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Seiwald | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Diomande | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| C. Baumgartner | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Nusa | 85 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Rômulo | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| C. Harder sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Banzuzi sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Gomis sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Henrichs sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli
- 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli
- 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 0–0 RB Leipzig
Shot Map and Expected Goals
FC St. Pauli 1.33 xG from 7 shots, RB Leipzig 2.06 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli | 7 | 1 | 1.33 |
| RB Leipzig | 12 | 1 | 2.06 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: FC St. Pauli 0.43, RB Leipzig 0.49. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 2.06 to 1.33, 0.76 of FC St. Pauli’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.56 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 85th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig?
- In their last 3 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig?
- Recent form — FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L; RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L.
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