FC St. PauliRB Leipzig

FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig result

Full-time · FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · · Millerntor-Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig — this Bundesliga match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 2.06 to 1.33 in expected goals, 0.76 of FC St. Pauli’s from a penalty, from 12 shots to 7, ahead on xG from the 43rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig drew 1–1 at Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga on Tuesday 27 January. RB Leipzig have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Yan Diomande (66’); FC St. Pauli: M. Kaars (90’ pen).

Discipline

Florian Exner, Germany showed one yellow card — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: C. Baumgartner (49’).

What it changes

FC St. Pauli move down from 16th to 17th (19 league matches played). FC St. Pauli have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FC St. Pauli have conceded 55 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig stay fourth after this result (19 league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 63 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FC St. Pauli are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig) 10.5, M. Kaars (FC St. Pauli) 6.7 and H. Wahl (FC St. Pauli) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC St. Pauli, every meeting checked.

Next up

FC St. Pauli next host VfL Bochum on 21 November 2026.

RB Leipzig next travel to Union Berlin on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC St. Pauli: FC St. Pauli v VfL Bochum, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for RB Leipzig: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg
  • Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
  • Head-to-head (last 3): FC St. Pauli 0 · draws 1 · RB Leipzig 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L · RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L

FC St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4
Corners
against 6.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · Florian Exner, Germany
20.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 January 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC St. Pauli for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
8.13 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Florian Exner, Germany — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Vasilj19901710 min663.5 /90321.7 /9020.1 /90
FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Vasilj n 890
3.26/4

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Smith18881575 min201.1 /90181 /90130.7 /90724.1 /9090.5 /9030.2 /90
H. Wahl18881575 min281.6 /9090.5 /9060.3 /90693.9 /9080.5 /9000 /90
Karol Mets13831079 min141.2 /90131.1 /9060.5 /90393.3 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Dźwigała1268812 min323.5 /90101.1 /9030.3 /90515.7 /90121.3 /9050.6 /90
L. Ritzka856445 min183.6 /9091.8 /9020.4 /90244.9 /9051 /9010.2 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
00/0
—
J. Fujita n 890
0.95/2
0.31/1
Y. Diomande
L. Oppie n 862.9
0.72/1
1.14/1
—
Mathias Pereira Lage n 877.8
1.67/2
1.45/3
—
H. Wahl n 884.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
D. Raum
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Fujita n 890
2.57/5
L. Oppie n 862.9
0.72/1
Mathias Pereira Lage n 877.8
1.35/2
H. Wahl n 884.4
1.66/3
E. Smith n 884.4
1.36/3
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mathias Pereira Lage19771460 min00 /9020.1 /90221.4 /90120.7 /90231.4 /9070.4 /90
M. Kaars1554807 min30.3 /9010.1 /90101.1 /9070.8 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
D. Sinani1368888 min20.2 /9020.2 /90141.4 /9070.7 /90222.2 /9070.7 /90
A. Hountondji1251616 min40.6 /9000 /90101.5 /9071 /9040.6 /9071 /90
Abdoulie Ceesay724169 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9000 /9021.1 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Fujita n 890
0.63/1
0.11/0
L. Oppie n 862.9
0.73/1
0.21/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 877.8
1.25/2
0.63/1
E. Smith n 884.4
0.42/1
0.32/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Vasilj n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Fujita n 890
00/0
0.42/1
L. Oppie n 862.9
0.21/0
00/0
Mathias Pereira Lage n 877.8
00/0
0.11/0
E. Smith n 884.4
0.11/0
0.31/1
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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Gulácsi18901620 min482.7 /90241.3 /9000 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 890
3.16/4

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Orbán21891877 min291.4 /90231.1 /90231.1 /901135.4 /90110.5 /9020.1 /90
D. Raum21891861 min422 /90271.3 /9070.3 /90763.7 /90201 /9050.2 /90
C. Lukeba18901622 min221.2 /90261.4 /90150.8 /90633.5 /9090.5 /9010.1 /90
R. Baku18841515 min442.6 /90130.8 /9070.4 /90734.3 /90191.1 /9040.2 /90
K. Nedeljković472286 min10.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
0.64/1
0.85/1
—
D. Raum n 885.5
0.73/2
0.53/1
H. Wahl
N. Seiwald n 886.4
0.43/0
00/0
—
C. Baumgartner n 883.5
1.87/4
1.66/3
—
Y. Diomande n 879
0.63/1
1.48/1
J. Fujita
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.38/2
D. Raum n 885.5
2.57/5
N. Seiwald n 886.4
1.45/2
C. Baumgartner n 883.5
1.37/3
Y. Diomande n 879
1.46/3
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Diomande19661249 min70.5 /9050.4 /90231.7 /90161.2 /90231.7 /90574.1 /90
A. Nusa17721227 min30.2 /9020.1 /90292.1 /90100.7 /90181.3 /90342.5 /90
Rômulo15791186 min60.5 /9030.2 /90221.7 /90131 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90
J. Bakayoko1457792 min30.3 /9000 /90141.6 /9080.9 /90111.3 /90182 /90
C. Harder1154596 min10.2 /9030.5 /90243.6 /90132 /9071.1 /9030.5 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.63/2
0.42/1
D. Raum n 885.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
N. Seiwald n 886.4
0.73/1
0.52/1
C. Baumgartner n 883.5
2.48/7
1.16/2
Y. Diomande n 879
1.66/3
1.15/2
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Raum n 885.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Seiwald n 886.4
00/0
0.32/0
C. Baumgartner n 883.5
0.42/1
0.42/1
Y. Diomande n 879
0.41/1
0.42/1
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC St. PauliRB Leipzig
46%Possession54%
1.45Expected goals (xG)1.04
7Shots12
2Shots on target5
3Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
3Shots inside the box9
4Corners3
5Offsides3
6Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves1
513Passes603
78%Pass accuracy84%

FC St. Pauli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Vasilj9000000007.5
T. Ando9000000407.2
H. Wahl9000000307.2
Karol Mets9000000407.3
E. Smith9000001206.6
A. Pyrka9000001306.9
M. Saliakas8700000206.9
J. Sands7700001206.7
J. Fujita7700201206.7
D. Sinani7600001206.7
R. Jones6700101106.2
M. Kaars sub2310220007.5
Mathias Pereira Lage sub1400000006.6
M. Rasmussen sub1300000006.7
J. Irvine sub1300000006.6
Abdoulie Ceesay sub800000006.5

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Gulácsi9000000007.2
R. Baku9000001107
W. Orbán9000000207.5
E. Bitshiabu9000000107.2
D. Raum9000100005.5
X. Schlager9000102006.9
N. Seiwald9000100006.7
Y. Diomande8910114208.2
C. Baumgartner85000023Y6.3
A. Nusa8500330106.7
Rômulo6400201005.5
C. Harder sub2600000006.2
E. Banzuzi sub1000001006.5
T. Gomis sub1000110006.7
B. Henrichs sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC St. PauliWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
RB LeipzigLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
FC St. Pauli 0 · 1 draw · RB Leipzig 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-09 RB Leipzig 2–0 FC St. Pauli
  • 2024-10-29 RB Leipzig 4–2 FC St. Pauli
  • 2024-09-22 FC St. Pauli 0–0 RB Leipzig
League standing · 2025/26
FC St. Pauli#18 pos26 pts34 pl-31 GD
RB Leipzig#3 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
FC St. Pauli scored0.85
RB Leipzig scored1.94
FC St. Pauli conceded1.76
RB Leipzig conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

FC St. Pauli 1.33 xG from 7 shots, RB Leipzig 2.06 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Rômulo 56' · 0.73 xGAntonio Nusa 70' · 0.50 xGRicky-Jade Jones 20' · 0.29 xGRômulo 46' · 0.26 xGRicky-Jade Jones 17' · 0.14 xGAntonio Nusa 43' · 0.13 xGYan Diomande 14' · 0.09 xGXaver Schlager 14' · 0.08 xGMartijn Kaars 89' · 0.07 xGNicolas Seiwald 20' · 0.07 xGAntonio Nusa 34' · 0.06 xGTidiam Gomis 85' · 0.04 xGDavid Raum 36' · 0.04 xGJoel Chima Fujita 74' · 0.03 xGXaver Schlager 7' · 0.02 xGJoel Chima Fujita 46' · 0.02 xGJoel Chima Fujita 54' · 0.01 xGMartijn Kaars 92' · 0.76 xG · goalYan Diomande 65' · 0.04 xG · goal
FC St. Pauli (attacking right)RB Leipzig (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
FC St. Pauli711.33
RB Leipzig1212.06

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: FC St. Pauli 0.43, RB Leipzig 0.49. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 2.06 to 1.33, 0.76 of FC St. Pauli’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.56 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - RB Leipzig 65 minGoal - FC St. Pauli 92 min
FC St. Pauli 1.33 xGRB Leipzig 2.06 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig?
In their last 3 meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0, RB Leipzig won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC St. Pauli and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — FC St. Pauli 1W 2D 2L; RB Leipzig 2W 0D 3L.

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