Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

Bundesliga · · Volksparkstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Bundesliga on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,812 of 2,438 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hamburger SV host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on Friday 6 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Hamburger SV or Borussia Mönchengladbach (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Hamburger SV have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Hamburger SV have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Hamburger SV have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Borussia Mönchengladbach have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 11 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Borussia Mönchengladbach are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Hamburger SV (13th) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (18th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hamburger SV the stronger side, 104 rating points above Borussia Mönchengladbach (Hamburger SV 1507, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1403, after at least 79 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Hamburger SV are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Borussia Mönchengladbach, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Team news

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-4-2-1): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, J. Torunarigha, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Sambi Lokonga, M. Muheim, L. Lemke, T. Moffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.7 per match over four appearances, two goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (4.2 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 484 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 509 minutes, with a shot in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach XI (3-4-2-1): M. Nicolas, F. Chiarodia, P. Sander, D. Hashioka, Z. Uno, J. Scally, L. Ullrich, W. Mohya, F. Neuhaus, R. Hack, S. Machino — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, H. Bolin (4.5 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) and Joseph Scally (4.0 per match over nine appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Borussia Mönchengladbach’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Mönchengladbach (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Bolin averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 691 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Joseph Scally averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 860 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Volksparkstadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Hamburger SV 1 · draws 2 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · 1.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 1D 2L

Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 3.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHamburger SV for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 17.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 6.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes790630 min263.7 /90152.1 /9000 /90
S. Tangvik290180 min63 /9000 /9000 /90
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
3.46/6
S. Tangvik n 390
4.33/2

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Capaldo788615 min202.9 /90142 /9020.3 /90416 /90131.9 /9020.3 /90
S. Bornauw784585 min50.8 /90111.7 /9081.2 /90274.2 /9060.9 /9000 /90
W. Omari678467 min61.2 /90112.1 /9061.2 /90203.9 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
S. Nandja578388 min71.6 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90173.9 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
J. Torunarigha477307 min30.9 /9061.8 /9041.2 /90133.8 /9072.1 /9000 /90
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Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Capaldo n 888.1
1.97/6
1.75/2
—
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
1.36/2
1.24/2
—
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.94/1
0.21/0
—
M. Adeline n 776.3
1.76/4
0.32/0
—
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Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Capaldo n 888.1
2.78/5
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
14/1
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.84/1
M. Adeline n 776.3
2.75/4
A. Grønbæk n 872.4
2.65/5
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Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Grønbæk770489 min20.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9050.9 /90101.8 /9061.1 /90
Otto Emerson Stange733232 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9000 /9041.6 /90
P. Daka652314 min00 /9010.3 /90102.9 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9051.4 /90
T. Moffi651304 min10.3 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
Y. Poulsen645270 min20.7 /9000 /9082.7 /9031 /9041.3 /9031 /90
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Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
1.15/3
0.53/1
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Bornauw n 783.6
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Adeline n 776.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Capaldo n 888.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 787.3
00/0
00/0
S. Bornauw n 783.6
00/0
00/0
M. Adeline n 776.3
00/0
00/0
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Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas890720 min374.6 /90202.5 /9000 /90
D. Batz290180 min84 /9000 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.67/7

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ullrich978703 min131.7 /90151.9 /9010.1 /90334.2 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90
K. Diks790630 min60.9 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90304.3 /9050.7 /9040.6 /90
D. Hashioka676456 min81.6 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90336.5 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
K. Itakura577387 min30.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90122.8 /9040.9 /9000 /90
F. Chiarodia484334 min41.1 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90113 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Sander n 883.6
1.98/3
0.43/0
—
L. Ullrich n 880
1.56/4
1.34/3
—
H. Bolin n 875.8
1.36/2
1.97/3
—
W. Mohya n 855.6
1.25/1
0.84/0
—
R. Hack n 851.8
1.14/1
0.41/1
—
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Sander n 883.6
1.95/4
L. Ullrich n 880
1.86/5
H. Bolin n 875.8
1.65/3
W. Mohya n 855.6
1.24/2
R. Hack n 851.8
1.14/1
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Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Machino847375 min20.5 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9000 /90
I. Lidberg752365 min10.2 /9000 /90102.5 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
T. Kleindienst373219 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
N. Kühn12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9028.6 /9000 /90
P. Sander1085849 min00 /9010.1 /90111.2 /9030.3 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Sander n 883.6
0.84/1
0.31/1
L. Ullrich n 880
0.75/0
0.32/0
H. Bolin n 875.8
1.35/3
0.94/2
W. Mohya n 855.6
26/2
14/1
R. Hack n 851.8
1.33/2
0.42/0
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Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Sander n 883.6
00/0
00/0
L. Ullrich n 880
0.11/0
0.31/1
H. Bolin n 875.8
0.31/1
00/0
W. Mohya n 855.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
R. Hack n 851.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamburger SVWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachLLWWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Hamburger SV 1 · 2 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · 1.75 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-08-24 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2018-05-12 Hamburger SV 2–1 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2017-12-15 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 Hamburger SV
League standing · 2026/27
Hamburger SV#13 pos9 pts7 pl-10 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos4 pts8 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Hamburger SV scored0.86
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.38
Hamburger SV conceded2.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded2.75

See the full prediction

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 4 meetings, Hamburger SV won 1, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 1D 2L.

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