Hamburger SV v FC Schalke 04 prediction

The match

Hamburger SV host FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

FC Schalke 04 have scored four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Hamburger SV are unbeaten in the last six meetings with FC Schalke 04, every meeting checked. FC Schalke 04 have failed to score in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hamburger SV have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Hamburger SV have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Hamburger SV have conceded 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of FC Schalke 04’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, FC Schalke 04 have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.88. FC Schalke 04 have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Hamburger SV have lost their last three matches in all competitions. FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Hamburger SV (15th) and FC Schalke 04 (17th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Hamburger SV the stronger side, 13 rating points above FC Schalke 04 (Hamburger SV 1449, FC Schalke 04 1435, after at least 80 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2025, finished FC Schalke 04 2–2 Hamburger SV.

Team news

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-4-2-1): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, M. Muheim, A. Sambi Lokonga, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Grønbæk, T. Moffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.5 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 574 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Schalke 04 XI (3-4-2-1): L. Karius, H. Kuruçay, N. Katić, T. Becker, S. Tanaka, A. Aouchiche, S. El-Faouzi, R. Gosens, D. Ljubičić, M. Ayhan, H. Hee-Chan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Soufian El-Faouzi (3.8 per match over eight appearances) and Hasan Kuruçay (3.6 per match over 10 appearances) have been FC Schalke 04’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Schalke 04 (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Soufian El-Faouzi averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Hasan Kuruçay averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 886 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.