Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 result
Team pages: Hamburger SV · FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 — Hamburger SV won this Bundesliga match.
What xG said
xG said Hamburger SV: 1.67 to 0.59 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Hamburger SV beat FSV Mainz 05 4–0 at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday 5 October.
The goals
Hamburger SV led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Hamburger SV: Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga (6’, assisted by G. Gocholeishvili), Rayan Philippe (10’, assisted by Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer; 61’, assisted by Nicolai Remberg) and J. Dompé (52’, assisted by N. Capaldo).
Discipline
Robert Hartmann, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hamburger SV: Daniel Elfadli (17’) and Nicolai Remberg (65’); FSV Mainz 05: Lee Jae-Sung (42’), Dominik Kohr (45+3’) and Nadiem Amiri (65’).
What it changes
Hamburger SV move up from 13th to eighth (six league matches played).
FSV Mainz 05 move down from 13th to 16th (six league matches played).
Hamburger SV’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 6, across nine matches. Hamburger SV are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rayan Philippe (Hamburger SV) 10.4, N. Capaldo (Hamburger SV) 6.4 and Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga (Hamburger SV) 6.4 led the match.
Next up
Hamburger SV next travel to SC Paderborn 07 on 24 October 2026.
FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Hamburger SV: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Venue: Volksparkstadion · Hamburg
- Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 2): Hamburger SV 0 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Hamburger SV 1W 2D 2L · FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L
Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Hamburger SV for / against | Line | FSV Mainz 05 for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3 for · 6.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.8 for · 17.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 for · 6.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.8 for · 13.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.67 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany — 2.91 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.45 fouls over 11 matches (1.73 to the home side, 1.18 to the away side).
Hamburger SV
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Poulsen n 8 | 16.8 | 4.7 | 2 | — |
| Guilherme Ramos n 8 | 55.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | — |
| M. Muheim n 8 | 81.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 | — |
| Otto Emerson Stange n 4 | 21 | 2.1 | 5.4 | — |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 4 | 23.8 | 1.9 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Poulsen n 8 | 16.8 | 6 | 4.7 |
| Otto Emerson Stange n 4 | 21 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Fábio Vieira n 8 | 80.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 51.3 | 2 | 0.9 |
| R. Königsdörffer n 8 | 69.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Emerson Stange n 4 | 21 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Y. Poulsen n 8 | 16.8 | 1.3 | 0 |
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 51.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 8 | 66.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| L. Vušković n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Mikelbrencis n 8 | 40.5 | 2.8 |
| Emir Sahiti n 8 | 54.5 | 2.5 |
| Daniel Elfadli n 8 | 82.5 | 2.2 |
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 8 | 66.9 | 2.2 |
| R. Philippe n 8 | 62.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 19.5 | 4 | 0 | — |
| L. Maloney n 8 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | — |
| S. Kawasaki n 8 | 69 | 2.4 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Sieb n 8 | 41.8 | 2.2 | 0.5 | — |
| B. Hollerbach n 8 | 64.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Weiper n 8 | 40.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| A. Nordin n 8 | 54.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| A. Sieb n 8 | 41.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 85.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| B. Hollerbach n 8 | 64.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Amiri n 8 | 85.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| N. Weiper n 8 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| W. Bøving n 8 | 78.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| S. Kawasaki n 8 | 69 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| P. Nebel n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Maloney n 8 | 6.8 | 5 |
| S. Widmer n 8 | 42.3 | 2.9 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 85.4 | 2.5 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 72 | 2 |
| A. Caci n 8 | 80.4 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Rieß n 3 | 67 | 3.1 |
| R. Zentner n 8 | 87.1 | 2.6 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Hamburger SV | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Possession | 65% |
| 1.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.67 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 285 | Passes | 514 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
Hamburger SV player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| N. Capaldo | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Vušković | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Daniel Elfadli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| N. Remberg | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| M. Muheim | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Gocholeishvili | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Philippe | 82 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| J. Dompé | 68 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| R. Königsdörffer | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | 62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Meffert sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Glatzel sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Mikelbrencis sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
FSV Mainz 05 player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Rieß | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| A. Nordin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Nebel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Amiri | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| D. Kohr | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| B. Hollerbach | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Mwene | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Weiper sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Bell sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Sieb sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Veratschnig sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Maloney sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Hamburger SV v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2018-03-03 Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2017-10-14 FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Hamburger SV
Shot map and expected goals
Hamburger SV 1.67 xG from 15 shots, FSV Mainz 05 0.59 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 15 | 4 | 1.67 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 11 | 0 | 0.59 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?
- In their last 2 meetings, Hamburger SV won 0, FSV Mainz 05 won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05?
- Recent form — Hamburger SV 1W 2D 2L; FSV Mainz 05 2W 1D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.