Hamburger SV v RB Leipzig prediction

The match

Hamburger SV host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday 6 February (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

RB Leipzig have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hamburger SV, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hamburger SV have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00. Hamburger SV have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Hamburger SV have conceded 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in seven of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, RB Leipzig have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.50. RB Leipzig have scored 27 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). RB Leipzig have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Hamburger SV (10th) and RB Leipzig (third) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have RB Leipzig the stronger side, 279 rating points above Hamburger SV (RB Leipzig 1780, Hamburger SV 1501, after at least 81 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 13 September 2026, finished RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV.

Team news

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-5-2): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, M. Muheim, A. Sambi Lokonga, Z. El Ouahdi, T. Moffi, P. Daka — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.9 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 664 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 677 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted RB Leipzig XI (4-5-1): M. Vandevoordt, W. Orbán, D. Raum, C. Lukeba, R. Baku, N. El Aynaoui, E. Banzuzi, A. Nusa, B. Gruda, T. Gomis, Rômulo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.6 per match over 15 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.4 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1880 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 832 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.