RB Leipzig v Bayern München result
Team pages: RB Leipzig · Bayern München · Head-to-head
RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match.
What xG said
xG said Bayern München: 4.65 to 2.87 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 60th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Bayern München won 5–1 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 January. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.
The goals
Bayern München came from behind: RB Leipzig led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Rômulo (20’, assisted by David Raum); Bayern München: Serge Gnabry (50’, assisted by Dayotchanculle Upamecano), Harry Kane (67’, assisted by Michael Olise), Jonathan Tah (82’, assisted by Michael Olise), Aleksandar Pavlović (85’, assisted by Michael Olise) and Michael Olise (88’, assisted by Jamal Musiala).
Discipline
Sascha Stegemann, Germany showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: Nicolas Seiwald (29’).
What it changes
RB Leipzig move down from third to fourth (17 league matches played).
Bayern München stay first after this result (18 league matches played).
Bayern München recorded the only away win among the nine finished matches of round 18. RB Leipzig have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 14.9, Rômulo (RB Leipzig) 7.6 and Jonathan Tah (Bayern München) 7.6 led the match.
Next up
RB Leipzig next travel to Real Madrid on 21 October 2026.
Bayern München next host Arsenal on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for RB Leipzig: Real Madrid v RB Leipzig, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
- Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 1 · draws 2 · Bayern München 3 · 4.67 goals/game
- Recent form: RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L
RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | RB Leipzig for / against | Line | Bayern München for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 17.38 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.63 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 7 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 8.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.13 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.75 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 19.75 fouls over 12 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.5 to the away side).
RB Leipzig
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Banzuzi n 8 | 27.8 | 3.6 | 0 | — |
| J. Bakayoko n 8 | 48.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 86.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | — |
| C. Harder n 8 | 64.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | — |
| R. Baku n 8 | 72.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | J. Tah |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harder n 8 | 64.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| A. Nusa n 8 | 75 | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 86.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| A. Ouédraogo n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| J. Bakayoko n 8 | 48.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ouédraogo n 8 | 62.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 86.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Rômulo n 8 | 78.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| C. Harder n 8 | 64.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 69.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Max Finkgräfe n 8 | 53.1 | 3.6 |
| X. Schlager n 8 | 70.1 | 2.7 |
| E. Bitshiabu n 8 | 50.5 | 2.5 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 84.9 | 2.3 |
| R. Baku n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Bayern München
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jackson n 8 | 49 | 2.5 | 0.7 | — |
| W. Mike n 5 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| J. Tah n 8 | 87.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | R. Baku |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.9 | 1.2 | 1.9 | — |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 76.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mike n 5 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 2 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.8 | 4 | 2.6 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 49 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 59.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| L. Karl n 8 | 59.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 59.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 90.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 81.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.8 | 1 | 0.1 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 49 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Davies n 8 | 54 | 3.3 |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 76.4 | 3.2 |
| K. Laimer n 8 | 74 | 3.2 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 |
| A. Pavlović n 8 | 64.5 | 1.6 |
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Match statistics & details
| RB Leipzig | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 2.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 4.56 |
| 17 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 16 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 432 | Passes | 610 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
RB Leipzig player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| R. Baku | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5.5 |
| W. Orbán | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 |
| C. Lukeba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| D. Raum | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| X. Schlager | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Diomande | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| A. Nusa | 89 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Baumgartner | 84 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.7 |
| N. Seiwald | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Rômulo | 81 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| T. Gomis sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Banzuzi sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Harder sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. MaksimoviÄ sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
Bayern München player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| D. Upamecano | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Tah | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| A. Pavlović | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| L. Díaz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| H. Kane | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| S. Gnabry | 87 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| H. Ito | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Bischof | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Karl | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Goretzka | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Kimmich sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| M. Olise sub | 34 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| Kim Min-Jae sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Davies sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Musiala sub | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-22 Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig
- 2025-05-03 RB Leipzig 3–3 Bayern München
- 2024-12-20 Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig
- 2024-02-24 Bayern Munich 2–1 RB Leipzig
- 2023-09-30 RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayern Munich
- 2023-08-12 Bayern Munich 0–3 RB Leipzig
Shot map and expected goals
RB Leipzig 2.87 xG from 17 shots, Bayern München 4.65 from 19. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 17 | 1 | 2.87 |
| Bayern München | 19 | 5 | 4.65 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Bayern München?
- In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Bayern München won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Bayern München?
- Recent form — RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.
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