RB Leipzig v FSV Mainz 05 result
Team pages: RB Leipzig · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head
RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this Bundesliga match.
What xG said
xG said FSV Mainz 05: 2.58 to 2.10 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 11 shots to 15 (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
FSV Mainz 05 won 2–1 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 January. RB Leipzig have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: C. Harder (40’, assisted by Antonio Nusa); FSV Mainz 05: Nadiem Amiri (45’ pen) and S. Katompa Mvumpa (49’, assisted by Phillip Tietz).
Discipline
Daniel Schlager, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FSV Mainz 05: Stefan Bell (38’), Stefan Posch (45+3’), Kacper Potulski (90+3’) and Nelson Weiper (90+6’).
What it changes
RB Leipzig stay fourth after this result (20 league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 63 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.
FSV Mainz 05 move up from 16th to 14th (20 league matches played). FSV Mainz 05 have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). FSV Mainz 05 have conceded 50 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Katompa Mvumpa (FSV Mainz 05) 9.0, Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) 7.2 and Kaishu Sano (FSV Mainz 05) 6.6 led the match.
Next up
RB Leipzig next travel to Union Berlin on 21 November 2026.
FSV Mainz 05 next travel to FC Augsburg on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for RB Leipzig: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
- Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 2 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 3 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: RB Leipzig 2W 1D 2L · FSV Mainz 05 2W 2D 1L
RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | RB Leipzig for / against | Line | FSV Mainz 05 for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.75 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany — 4.55 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 20.82 fouls over 11 matches.
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RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi | 19 | 901710 min | 492.6 /90 | 251.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
RB Leipzig Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán | 22 | 891967 min | 311.4 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 1205.5 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| D. Raum | 22 | 891951 min | 421.9 /90 | 271.2 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 773.6 /90 | 221 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| R. Baku | 19 | 841605 min | 452.5 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 754.2 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| C. Lukeba | 18 | 901622 min | 221.2 /90 | 261.4 /90 | 150.8 /90 | 633.5 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| E. Bitshiabu | 5 | 73367 min | 71.7 /90 | 41 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 133.2 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | — |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0.5 | 0 | Lee Jae-Sung |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 82.9 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 0.6 | 1.3 | Lee Jae-Sung |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 2.2 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0.9 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 82.9 | 1.8 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 1.4 |
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RB Leipzig Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diomande | 20 | 671338 min | 80.5 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 241.6 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 271.8 /90 | 624.2 /90 |
| A. Nusa | 18 | 731312 min | 30.2 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 322.2 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 181.2 /90 | 372.5 /90 |
| Rômulo | 16 | 781250 min | 60.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 241.7 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| J. Bakayoko | 14 | 57792 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.6 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 111.3 /90 | 182 /90 |
| C. Harder | 12 | 52622 min | 10.1 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 243.5 /90 | 131.9 /90 | 71 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 82.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 1.3 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Orbán n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Raum n 8 | 85.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| N. Seiwald n 8 | 86.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| C. Baumgartner n 8 | 82.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Y. Diomande n 8 | 79 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zentner | 17 | 851441 min | 503.1 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| D. Batz | 9 | 90810 min | 333.7 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Rieß | 5 | 71357 min | 153.8 /90 | 133.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Zentner n 8 | 81.8 | 3.2 |
| D. Batz n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
| L. Rieß n 7 | 76.7 | 3.5 |
FSV Mainz 05 Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. da Costa | 25 | 872180 min | 331.4 /90 | 261.1 /90 | 120.5 /90 | 1074.4 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| D. Kohr | 24 | 852043 min | 482.1 /90 | 401.8 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 1225.4 /90 | 381.7 /90 | 100.4 /90 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | 21 | 671403 min | 151 /90 | 261.7 /90 | 151 /90 | 946 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| S. Bell | 19 | 621185 min | 120.9 /90 | 211.6 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 916.9 /90 | 141.1 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| N. Veratschnig | 12 | 49590 min | 101.5 /90 | 111.7 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 324.9 /90 | 142.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 89.9 | 0.3 | 1 | — |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 86.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 85.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | Y. Diomande |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80 | 1.3 | 1.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 89.9 | 1.5 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 86.9 | 1.8 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 85.4 | 1.1 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80 | 0.6 |
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FSV Mainz 05 Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nebel | 24 | 761814 min | 10 /90 | 10 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 442.2 /90 | 190.9 /90 |
| B. Hollerbach | 19 | 611163 min | 20.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 201.5 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 171.3 /90 |
| A. Sieb | 18 | 42754 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 91.1 /90 |
| A. Nordin | 14 | 53742 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 141.7 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 40.5 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
| N. Weiper | 12 | 66790 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 192.2 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 86.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 85.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80 | 1.3 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 86.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 85.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| RB Leipzig | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 1.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.33 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 14 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 700 | Passes | 300 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
RB Leipzig Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Gulácsi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| W. Orbán | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Raum | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Y. Diomande | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| X. Schlager | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Nusa | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| C. Harder | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| N. Seiwald | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Rômulo | 72 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| R. Baku | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Bitshiabu | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Henrichs sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Banzuzi sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Gomis sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Bakayoko sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
FSV Mainz 05 Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| S. Posch | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| S. Bell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| K. Potulski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| D. da Costa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Widmer | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Tietz | 82 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Amiri | 72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Hollerbach | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Katompa Mvumpa sub | 68 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| L. Maloney sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. Mwene sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. Nebel sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| N. Weiper sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind RB Leipzig v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-13 FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig
- 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05
- 2024-10-19 FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig
- 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2023-11-04 FSV Mainz 05 2–0 RB Leipzig
- 2023-04-01 RB Leipzig 0–3 FSV Mainz 05
Shot Map and Expected Goals
RB Leipzig 2.10 xG from 15 shots, FSV Mainz 05 2.58 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 15 | 1 | 2.10 |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 11 | 2 | 2.58 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: RB Leipzig 0.52, FSV Mainz 05 0.62. At full time, FSV Mainz 05 led on xG, 2.58 to 2.10, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.45 xG to FSV Mainz 05, in the 50th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?
- In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 2, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and FSV Mainz 05?
- Recent form — RB Leipzig 2W 1D 2L; FSV Mainz 05 2W 2D 1L.
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