This Matchweek

SC FreiburgWerder Bremen

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · · Europa-Park Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · Werder Bremen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen — SC Freiburg won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.

Free pick
Home team goals — Home under 2 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home team goals — Home under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 5126 landed (95% range 78–80.2%); it had given them 80.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said SC Freiburg: 2.39 to 0.95 in expected goals, from 19 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 20th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

SC Freiburg beat Werder Bremen 4–1 at Europa-Park Stadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday 30 August. SC Freiburg have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

SC Freiburg led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Freiburg: Yuito Suzuki (29’, assisted by Jan-Niklas Beste; 48’; 55’, assisted by Igor Matanović) and Igor Matanović (45’, assisted by Matthias Ginter); Werder Bremen: Dariusz Stalmach (76’, assisted by Marco Grüll).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yuito Suzuki’s goal on 29 minutes.

Discipline

Daniel Siebert, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Freiburg: Keisuke Goto (88’); Werder Bremen: Ludovit Reis (48’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg are second after this result (one league match played). SC Freiburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SC Freiburg have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Werder Bremen are 16th after this result (one league match played). Werder Bremen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Werder Bremen have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yuito Suzuki (SC Freiburg) 13.2, Marco Grüll (Werder Bremen) 10.1 and Igor Matanović (SC Freiburg) 9.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

SC Freiburg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Werder Bremen.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SC Freiburg team goals — Home under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (4054 of 5126).

Next up

SC Freiburg next host Union Berlin on 8 November 2026.

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: SC Freiburg v Union Berlin, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg
  • Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 5 · draws 0 · Werder Bremen 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 4W 0D 1L · Werder Bremen 1W 1D 3L

SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · Daniel Siebert, Germany
21.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineWerder Bremen for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Daniel Siebert, Germany — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Backhaus390270 min10.3 /9031 /9000 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 390
0.30/0

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter386258 min51.7 /9000 /9000 /90113.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
P. Treu290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9094.5 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Makengo286171 min21.1 /9052.6 /9000 /9084.2 /9021.1 /9000 /90
M. Rosenfelder272144 min116.9 /9053.1 /9000 /90127.5 /9010.6 /9000 /90
P. Lienhart258116 min00 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.62/1
—
M. Backhaus n 390
00/0
00/0
—
M. Ginter n 883.9
0.74/1
0.84/1
O. Deman
Y. Suzuki n 869.4
1.16/1
1.14/3
J. Njinmah
D. Scherhant n 850.1
2.26/3
1.85/2
J. Njinmah
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SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.16/3
M. Ginter n 883.9
1.15/2
Y. Suzuki n 869.4
0.83/2
D. Scherhant n 850.1
25/3
I. Matanović n 869.5
1.56/2
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SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Matanović356168 min31.6 /9021.1 /9073.8 /9052.7 /9073.8 /9021.1 /90
L. Höler257113 min10.8 /9000 /9032.4 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Goto12323 min13.9 /9000 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Eggestein390270 min00 /9010.3 /9031 /9010.3 /9082.7 /9020.7 /90
Y. Suzuki369207 min00 /9000 /9073 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Backhaus n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 883.9
1.65/4
0.94/1
Y. Suzuki n 869.4
1.85/4
14/2
D. Scherhant n 850.1
24/3
1.13/1
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SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Backhaus n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 883.9
0.42/1
00/0
Y. Suzuki n 869.4
0.31/1
00/0
D. Scherhant n 850.1
0.42/0
0.72/1
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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Pieper19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Friedl19090 min11 /9044 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
Mick Schmetgens19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
O. Deman19090 min11 /9077 /9000 /9055 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Reis19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9000 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Deman n 890
0.95/2
1.35/3
M. Ginter
M. Friedl n 876.1
0.64/0
0.43/0
—
A. Pieper n 879.3
0.43/0
0.94/1
—
J. Stage n 883.1
1.56/4
0.74/1
—
J. Njinmah n 872.3
00/0
1.65/3
D. Scherhant
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
2.98/5
M. Friedl n 876.1
1.27/1
A. Pieper n 879.3
1.15/2
J. Stage n 883.1
0.95/1
J. Njinmah n 872.3
0.83/2
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Njinmah17373 min00 /9000 /9022.5 /9022.5 /9000 /9033.7 /90
N. Füllkrug16060 min11.5 /9000 /9034.5 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
P. Erevbenagie14545 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90510 /90
S. Mbangula14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9024 /9000 /90
C. Itten13030 min00 /9000 /9039 /9000 /9013 /9039 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
0.52/2
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 879.3
0.11/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
J. Stage n 883.1
27/5
1.45/4
J. Njinmah n 872.3
26/5
1.14/2
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 879.3
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
J. Stage n 883.1
0.74/1
0.11/0
J. Njinmah n 872.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgWerder Bremen
53%Possession47%
2.37Expected goals (xG)0.54
19Shots9
5Shots on target3
7Shots off target1
7Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box6
6Corners5
0Offsides1
13Fouls16
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves1
487Passes432
89%Pass accuracy86%

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Backhaus9000000005.9
M. Ginter9001203007.3
J. Makengo9000000206.9
M. Eggestein9000101106.9
Y. Engelhardt9000100006.2
D. Scherhant9000111207.2
Y. Suzuki8030331009.5
I. Matanović7311212009.3
L. Kübler6900000107.9
P. Lienhart6900002007.9
J. Beste4501201007.3
Cyriaque Kalou Irié sub4500000006.7
P. Treu sub2100000106.5
M. Rosenfelder sub2100000006.2
L. Höler sub1700002106.7
K. Goto sub10000000Y6.5

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Hein9000000006
Mick Schmetgens9000000105.9
A. Pieper9000110206.7
M. Friedl9000001106.2
O. Deman9000000105.9
Chuky San José9000001106.3
L. Reis85000017Y6.9
M. Grüll8501102607.9
J. Njinmah6100000206.9
N. Füllkrug6100110006.3
S. Lynen4500000206.3
Dariusz Stalmach sub4510111408
S. Musah sub2900000106.3
C. Itten sub2900000106.5
Salim Amani Musah sub2900000106.3
P. Čović sub900000006.3
E. Dinkçi sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Werder BremenDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 5 · 0 draws · Werder Bremen 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-09-20 Werder Bremen 0–3 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-02-21 SC Freiburg 5–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-10-05 Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-01-27 Werder Bremen 3–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2023-08-26 SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen
League standing · 2026/27
SC Freiburg#3 pos16 pts8 pl+8 GD
Werder Bremen#5 pos15 pts8 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored2.25
Werder Bremen scored2.13
SC Freiburg conceded1.25
Werder Bremen conceded1.75

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 2.39 xG from 19 shots, Werder Bremen 0.95 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Niclas Füllkrug 58' · 0.25 xGMarco Grüll 9' · 0.09 xGNiclas Füllkrug 59' · 0.08 xGIgor Matanovic 20' · 0.07 xGDerry Scherhant 41' · 0.07 xGCedric Itten 77' · 0.06 xGIgor Matanovic 14' · 0.05 xGYannick Engelhardt 28' · 0.05 xGMatthias Ginter 20' · 0.04 xGLukas Kübler 20' · 0.04 xGJan-Niklas Beste 3' · 0.03 xGDerry Scherhant 69' · 0.03 xGJustin Njinmah 59' · 0.03 xGCyriaque Irié 92' · 0.03 xGIgor Matanovic 47' · 0.03 xGMaximilian Eggestein 81' · 0.03 xGPatrice Covic 85' · 0.03 xGIgor Matanovic 26' · 0.02 xGJan-Niklas Beste 39' · 0.02 xGMaximilian Eggestein 18' · 0.02 xGLudovit Reis 52' · 0.02 xGAmos Pieper 8' · 0.01 xGMatthias Ginter 24' · 0.01 xGYuito Suzuki 54' · 0.63 xG · goalYuito Suzuki 47' · 0.61 xG · goalYuito Suzuki 28' · 0.58 xG · goalDariusz Stalmach 75' · 0.38 xG · goalIgor Matanovic 44' · 0.03 xG · goal
SC Freiburg (attacking right)Werder Bremen (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
SC Freiburg1942.39
Werder Bremen910.95

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, SC Freiburg led on xG, 1.03 to 0.10. At full time, SC Freiburg led on xG, 2.39 to 0.95. The widest gap was 2.18 xG to SC Freiburg, in the 54th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.41.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - SC Freiburg 28 minGoal - SC Freiburg 44 minGoal - SC Freiburg 47 minGoal - SC Freiburg 54 minGoal - Werder Bremen 75 min
SC Freiburg 2.39 xGWerder Bremen 0.95 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 5, Werder Bremen won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 4W 0D 1L; Werder Bremen 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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