SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg result

Full-time · SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:30 BST · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg — SV Elversberg won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said SV Elversberg: 4.52 to 3.76 in expected goals, 1.52 of it from penalties and 1.52 of FC Augsburg’s from penalties, from 19 shots to 29, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

SV Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4–3 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October. FC Augsburg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

SV Elversberg led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — SV Elversberg: Lukas Petkov (4’), Lasse Günther (7’, assisted by Maurice Krattenmacher), Maximilian Rohr (28’, assisted by Felix Keidel) and F. Schmahl (89’, assisted by Lukas Petkov); FC Augsburg: Fabian Rieder (45’ pen), Michael Gregoritsch (76’ pen) and Mert Kömür (90’, assisted by Hennes Behrens).

Discipline

Florian Exner, Germany showed seven yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SV Elversberg: Felix Keidel (54’), Lukas Pinckert (75’), Nicolas Kristof (84’) and F. Schmahl (90+6’); FC Augsburg: Rodrigo Ribeiro (30’), Han-Noah Massengo (30’) and Chrislain Matsima (52’).

What it changes

SV Elversberg move up from eighth to sixth (six league matches played). SV Elversberg have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SV Elversberg have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg move down from fourth to 10th (six league matches played). FC Augsburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). FC Augsburg have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lukas Petkov (SV Elversberg) 12.5, Hennes Behrens (FC Augsburg) 11.5 and Lasse Günther (SV Elversberg) 10.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, SV Elversberg or FC Augsburg (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

SV Elversberg next travel to Borussia Dortmund on 7 November 2026.

FC Augsburg next travel to RB Leipzig on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SV Elversberg: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for FC Augsburg: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
Venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde · Spiesen-Elversberg
Referee: Florian Exner, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: SV Elversberg 2W 1D 2L · FC Augsburg 2W 2D 1L

SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.25

Corners

against 5.38 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 7.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.09 yellows

Referee · Florian Exner, Germany

20.27 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	SV Elversberg for / against	Line	FC Augsburg for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.25 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.25 for · 20.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Florian Exner, Germany — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg Goalkeeper

SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Kristof	6	90540 min	162.7 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90

SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Kristof n 8	90	2.3 7/2

SV Elversberg Defensive

SV Elversberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Rohr	6	89532 min	50.8 /90	81.4 /90	152.5 /90	233.9 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
L. Günther	6	81483 min	61.1 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	183.4 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90
L. Pinckert	5	90450 min	40.8 /90	81.6 /90	91.8 /90	295.8 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
J. Gyamerah	5	77386 min	122.8 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	235.4 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
L. Sirch	3	47140 min	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	117.1 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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SV Elversberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ł. Poręba n 8	87	1.2 6/3	0.8 4/2	F. Rieder
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
L. Petkov n 8	85.9	0.9 4/2	1.4 8/3	R. Fellhauer
M. Rohr n 8	86	0.5 3/1	0.9 5/2	C. Matsima
F. Keidel n 8	76.9	1.3 5/2	0.7 4/1	Hennes Behrens
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SV Elversberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ł. Poręba n 8	87	1 5/2
L. Petkov n 8	85.9	2.6 8/5
M. Rohr n 8	86	0.8 4/2
F. Keidel n 8	76.9	1.2 6/2
L. Günther n 8	81.5	1.2 6/3
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SV Elversberg Attacking

SV Elversberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Mokwa	6	59353 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	61.5 /90
N. Futkeu	3	34102 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90	00 /90
Ł. Poręba	6	90540 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
L. Petkov	6	89533 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	81.4 /90
F. Keidel	6	87522 min	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	40.7 /90
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SV Elversberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ł. Poręba n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Petkov n 8	85.9	1.2 6/2	0.7 4/1
M. Rohr n 8	86	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
F. Keidel n 8	76.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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SV Elversberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Kristof n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ł. Poręba n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Petkov n 8	85.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Rohr n 8	86	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Keidel n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Goalkeeper

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Dahmen	6	90540 min	355.8 /90	61 /90	00 /90

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 8	90	5.4 8/8

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Matsima	6	90540 min	71.2 /90	152.5 /90	132.2 /90	172.8 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks	5	90450 min	91.8 /90	81.6 /90	40.8 /90	255 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90
C. Brackelmann	5	87436 min	142.9 /90	51 /90	71.4 /90	347 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90
Seol Young-Woo	3	3296 min	32.8 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	32.8 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	1	9090 min	22 /90	33 /90	00 /90	77 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hennes Behrens n 6	90	0.7 4/0	1.2 4/2	F. Keidel
C. Matsima n 8	86.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0	M. Rohr
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
F. Rieder n 8	87.5	1 5/3	1.4 5/4	Ł. Poręba
R. Fellhauer n 8	81.3	1 4/2	0.6 4/0	L. Petkov
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 6	90	3 5/3
C. Matsima n 8	86.4	1.3 5/3
F. Rieder n 8	87.5	2.6 8/6
R. Fellhauer n 8	81.3	0.8 4/2
H. Massengo n 8	66.6	2 5/2
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Fellhauer	6	81484 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	71.3 /90	00 /90
Michael Gregoritsch	5	74370 min	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	112.7 /90	81.9 /90	71.7 /90	00 /90
A. Kade	3	69207 min	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	135.7 /90	73 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
A. Ibrahimović	3	67202 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.2 /90	31.3 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90
Rodrigo Ribeiro	3	43130 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90
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FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Matsima n 8	86.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Hennes Behrens n 6	90	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Rieder n 8	87.5	0.8 3/2	0.5 2/2
R. Fellhauer n 8	81.3	1.2 5/2	0.8 5/1
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 6	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Matsima n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Rieder n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
R. Fellhauer n 8	81.3	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SV Elversberg		FC Augsburg
40%	Possession	60%
3.78	Expected goals (xG)	3.92
19	Shots	29
8	Shots on target	8
4	Shots off target	9
7	Blocked shots	12
17	Shots inside the box	26
4	Corners	12
3	Offsides	2
16	Fouls	14
4	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	4
325	Passes	468
77%	Pass accuracy	81%

SV Elversberg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Rohr	90	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.9
L. Günther	90	1	0	1	1	0	6	0	7.9
L. Petkov	90	1	1	3	2	1	4	0	8.9
L. Pinckert	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Ł. Poręba	90	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.5
N. Kristof	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
F. Keidel	89	0	1	0	0	1	0	Y	7
M. Krattenmacher	78	0	1	1	1	3	2	0	7.9
D. Mokwa	77	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Noah Darvich	40	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
J. Gyamerah	40	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
F. Schmahl sub	50	1	0	1	1	1	0	Y	7.2
L. Sirch sub	50	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
N. Futkeu sub	13	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
R. Adam sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
A. Condé sub	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–

FC Augsburg Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Hennes Behrens	90	0	1	0	0	7	4	0	8.2
C. Brackelmann	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.5
H. Massengo	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.6
C. Matsima	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	Y	5.9
F. Rieder	90	1	0	2	1	3	1	0	7.2
F. Dahmen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
R. Fellhauer	74	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.5
A. Ibrahimović	74	0	0	2	2	6	0	0	7.3
M. Wolf	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
Abdulay Bah	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	5.9
Rodrigo Ribeiro	45	0	0	2	0	1	0	Y	6.2
J. Gouweleeuw sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Michael Gregoritsch sub	45	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.9
A. Kade sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
M. Kömür sub	16	1	0	3	2	1	1	0	7.6
Seol Young-Woo sub	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SV ElversbergWWLDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

FC AugsburgWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

SV Elversberg#7 pos13 pts8 pl0 GD

FC Augsburg#10 pos9 pts8 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

SV Elversberg scored2

FC Augsburg scored2.25

SV Elversberg conceded2

FC Augsburg conceded1.88

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SV Elversberg 4.52 xG from 19 shots, FC Augsburg 3.76 from 29. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

SV Elversberg (attacking right)FC Augsburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
SV Elversberg	19	4	4.52
FC Augsburg	29	3	3.76

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, SV Elversberg led on xG, 2.61 to 0.87, 0.76 of it from a penalty. At full time, SV Elversberg led on xG, 4.52 to 3.76, 1.52 of it from a penalty and 1.52 of FC Augsburg’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.17 xG to SV Elversberg, in the 19th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

SV Elversberg 4.52 xGFC Augsburg 3.76 xGdots = goals · 48 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for SV Elversberg v FC Augsburg was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the recent form of SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg?: Recent form — SV Elversberg 2W 1D 2L; FC Augsburg 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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