Union Berlin v Hamburger SV prediction

The match

Union Berlin host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Union Berlin are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Hamburger SV have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Union Berlin have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.38. Union Berlin have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Union Berlin have conceded 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Hamburger SV have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 2.00. Hamburger SV have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Hamburger SV have conceded 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Union Berlin (16th) and Hamburger SV (15th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union Berlin the stronger side, 48 rating points above Hamburger SV (Union Berlin 1497, Hamburger SV 1449, after at least 80 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin.

Team news

Predicted Union Berlin XI (4-2-3-1): F. Rønnow, Z. Van Den Bosch, T. Rothe, J. Haberer, L. Querfeld, M. Aebischer, A. Schäfer, R. Khedira, J. Woo-Yeong, K. Imeri, T. Skarke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Tom Rothe (4.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Tom Rothe averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 765 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-4-2-1): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, M. Muheim, A. Sambi Lokonga, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Grønbæk, T. Moffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.5 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 574 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.