Union Berlin v VfB Stuttgart result
Team pages: Union Berlin · VfB Stuttgart · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Union Berlin 2–1 VfB Stuttgart — Union Berlin won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
What xG said
xG said VfB Stuttgart: 1.80 to 0.54 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 11th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.
The result
Union Berlin beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the Bundesliga on Saturday 23 August. It is Union Berlin’s first win over VfB Stuttgart since 1 April 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Union Berlin led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Union Berlin: Ilyas Ansah (18’; 45’, assisted by A. Ilić); VfB Stuttgart: Tiago Tomás (86’, assisted by Chris Führich).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ilyas Ansah’s goal on 45 minutes.
Discipline
Robert Hartmann, Germany showed eight yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Union Berlin: Christopher Trimmel (26’), Janik Haberer (50’), Rani Khedira (58’) and A. Ilić (82’); VfB Stuttgart: Deniz Undav (33’), Ermedin Demirović (36’), Josha Vagnoman (52’) and Jamie Leweling (83’).
What it changes
Union Berlin are fifth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Union Berlin have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Union Berlin have conceded 13 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
VfB Stuttgart are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played). VfB Stuttgart have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). VfB Stuttgart have conceded nine goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.
Union Berlin have won their last three matches in all competitions. VfB Stuttgart have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ilyas Ansah (Union Berlin) 10.4, Tiago Tomás (VfB Stuttgart) 4.9 and Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart) 4.5 led the match.
Head-to-head
VfB Stuttgart are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Union Berlin.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or VfB Stuttgart, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1009 of 1471).
Next up
Union Berlin next host RB Leipzig on 21 November 2026.
VfB Stuttgart next travel to FC Schalke 04 on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Union Berlin: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for VfB Stuttgart: FC Schalke 04 v VfB Stuttgart, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Union Berlin 2–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
- Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Berlin
- Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Union Berlin 1 · draws 1 · VfB Stuttgart 4 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Union Berlin 2W 2D 1L · VfB Stuttgart 4W 0D 1L
Union Berlin 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Union Berlin for / against | Line | VfB Stuttgart for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.43 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.63 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.43 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.29 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.57 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.57 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany — 2.82 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.64 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Union Berlin
Union Berlin Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schäfer n 8 | 76.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | — |
| A. Ilić n 8 | 63.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | D. Undav |
| R. Khedira n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.6 | — |
| L. Querfeld n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 1.1 | M. Mittelstädt |
| D. Doekhi n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 | M. Mittelstädt |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Schäfer n 8 | 76.4 | 4.1 |
| C. Trimmel n 8 | 73.9 | 1.8 |
| L. Querfeld n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| R. Khedira n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| D. Doekhi n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
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Union Berlin Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ilić n 8 | 63.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| L. Querfeld n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| A. Schäfer n 8 | 76.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| R. Khedira n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| C. Trimmel n 8 | 73.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ilić n 8 | 63.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| L. Querfeld n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| C. Trimmel n 8 | 73.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| R. Khedira n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| D. Doekhi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
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VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jaquez n 5 | 65.8 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 76.6 | 1.3 | 2.3 | — |
| D. Undav n 8 | 75.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | A. Ilić |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 87.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | D. Doekhi |
| F. Bredlow n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 87.1 | 2.1 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 56.8 | 1.6 |
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 76.6 | 1 |
| L. Jaquez n 5 | 65.8 | 0.8 |
| D. Undav n 8 | 75.9 | 0.4 |
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VfB Stuttgart Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 76.6 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| D. Undav n 8 | 75.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 56.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 87.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| L. Jaquez n 5 | 65.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Woltemade n 8 | 76.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| D. Undav n 8 | 75.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Leweling n 8 | 56.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| M. Mittelstädt n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| F. Bredlow n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% | Possession | 75% |
| 0.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 9 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 14 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 198 | Passes | 618 |
| 63% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
Union Berlin Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Rønnow | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| D. Doekhi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| L. Querfeld | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| T. Rothe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Schäfer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Khedira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| A. Ilić | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Trimmel | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 76 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 |
| R. Skov | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Haberer | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| D. Köhn sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Alex Král sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Juranović sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Burke sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
VfB Stuttgart Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nübel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| M. Mittelstädt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Stiller | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Woltemade | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Undav | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Leweling | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| L. Jaquez | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Chabot | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| A. Karazor | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Vagnoman | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.9 |
| E. Demirović | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6 |
| Tiago Tomás sub | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Führich sub | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Hendriks sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. JovanoviÄ sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Union Berlin v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-19 Union Berlin 4–4 VfB Stuttgart
- 2024-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Union Berlin
- 2024-03-08 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Union Berlin
- 2023-10-31 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Union Berlin
- 2023-10-21 Union Berlin 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
- 2023-04-01 Union Berlin 3–0 VfB Stuttgart
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Union Berlin 0.54 xG from 8 shots, VfB Stuttgart 1.80 from 21. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 8 | 2 | 0.54 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 21 | 1 | 1.80 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 1.22 to 0.07. At full time, VfB Stuttgart led on xG, 1.80 to 0.54. The widest gap was 1.32 xG to VfB Stuttgart, in the 87th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Union Berlin v VfB Stuttgart?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Berlin v VfB Stuttgart was Draw or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart?
- In their last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, VfB Stuttgart won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Union Berlin and VfB Stuttgart?
- Recent form — Union Berlin 2W 2D 1L; VfB Stuttgart 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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