VfB Stuttgart v Bayern München prediction

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Bayern München · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Bayern München, Bundesliga on Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

VfB Stuttgart host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 23 January (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 22 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Bayern München have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, VfB Stuttgart have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00. VfB Stuttgart have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Bayern München have four wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Bayern München have conceded five goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

VfB Stuttgart (13th) and Bayern München (first) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 376 rating points above VfB Stuttgart (Bayern München 2012, VfB Stuttgart 1637, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfB Stuttgart, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart.

Team news

Predicted VfB Stuttgart XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, R. Hendriks, A. Stiller, G. Prömel, C. Führich, A. Karazor, D. Undav, D. Pejčinović, E. Demirović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 794 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 866 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): M. Neuer, D. Upamecano, A. Davies, K. Min-Jae, J. Stanišić, M. Olise, J. Kimmich, A. Pavlović, L. Díaz, I. Saibari, H. Kane — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (10.0 per match over 10 appearances, nine goals and four assists) and Harry Kane (7.9 per match over 11 appearances, 10 goals and seven assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 1820 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1951 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · MHPArena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 6 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L · Bayern München 2W 3D 0L

VfB Stuttgart v Bayern München (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 3.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 9.13
Corners
against 4.63 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 9.75
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
9.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
17.88 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
23.5 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.21/1
4.21/1
—
D. Undav n 875.1
2.16/5
0.32/0
—
A. Karazor n 869.5
1.66/3
1.14/2
—
Finn Jeltsch n 878.6
1.46/2
1.15/2
—
E. Demirović n 855
1.46/1
0.84/0
—
VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Pejčinović n 841.8
2.75/2
0.52/0
E. Demirović n 855
2.35/2
13/1
L. Sauer n 825.6
2.24/1
0.92/0
D. Undav n 875.1
1.96/3
15/1
B. El Khannouss n 863.6
1.96/3
0.74/0
VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Sauer n 825.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stiller n 881.8
00/0
0.63/1
N. Nartey n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Mittelstädt n 888
0.11/0
0.32/0
D. Undav n 875.1
0.11/0
0.31/1
VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.22/1
A. Karazor n 869.5
2.86/5
M. Mittelstädt n 888
2.76/4
B. El Khannouss n 863.6
2.37/4
A. Al Dakhil n 845.3
23/1
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Seimen n 893.8
3.27/3
F. Bredlow n 890
3.26/4
Bayern München
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Ito n 861.5
2.25/3
0.21/0
—
K. Laimer n 866.5
25/4
0.72/1
—
L. Díaz n 866.5
1.76/4
0.52/1
—
T. Bischof n 859.4
1.76/2
0.84/0
—
D. Upamecano n 878.1
1.67/4
0.11/0
—
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
4.18/7
3.28/5
H. Kane n 879.4
48/8
2.38/5
S. Gnabry n 833.3
3.45/4
25/1
I. Saibari n 850.8
3.36/5
1.33/2
L. Karl n 838.1
2.45/2
1.23/1
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 879.4
1.47/3
0.94/2
M. Olise n 869.3
1.35/2
0.64/0
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/1
0.21/0
J. Musiala n 860.5
0.63/0
0.21/0
T. Bischof n 859.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Boey n 849.8
2.95/4
T. Bischof n 859.4
2.87/6
D. Upamecano n 878.1
2.47/5
Bara Ndiaye n 833.8
2.34/1
N. Brown n 851.6
24/2
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 892.6
1.96/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
1.84/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartLWWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 0 · 0 draws · Bayern München 6 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-28 Bayern München 5–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2026-05-23 Bayern München 3–0 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2026-04-19 Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern München
  • 2025-08-16 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2025-02-28 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Bayern München
League standing · 2026/27
VfB Stuttgart#13 pos6 pts6 pl-2 GD
Bayern München#1 pos14 pts6 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored1.33
Bayern München scored3.67
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.67
Bayern München conceded0.83

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 0, Bayern München won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Bayern München?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 1D 2L; Bayern München 2W 3D 0L.

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