VfL Wolfsburg v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · · Volkswagen Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 — VfL Wolfsburg won this Bundesliga match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

VfL Wolfsburg beat FSV Mainz 05 4–3 at Volkswagen Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 December. VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

VfL Wolfsburg came from behind: FSV Mainz 05 led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: P. Nebel (11’, assisted by Lee Jae-Sung; 66’, assisted by Jonathan Burkardt) and Jonathan Burkardt (39’, assisted by Stefan Bell); VfL Wolfsburg: Mohammed Amoura (19’), Tiago Tomás (57’, assisted by Mohammed Amoura) and Jonas Wind (83’, assisted by J. Mæhle; 90’, assisted by M. Arnold).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: FSV Mainz 05 out-shot VfL Wolfsburg 12 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.34 xG to 1.23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

T. Gerach showed seven yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: R. Baku (21’), M. Arnold (22’) and Tiago Tomás (68’); FSV Mainz 05: Nadiem Amiri (43’), Lee Jae-Sung (45+2’), Dominik Kohr (56’) and M. Leitsch (90+1’).

What it changes

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 13, across nine matches. VfL Wolfsburg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Nebel (FSV Mainz 05) 9.5, Jonas Wind (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.4 and Mohammed Amoura (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.3 led the match.

Next up

VfL Wolfsburg next travel to VfL Bochum on 23 October 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg
  • Referee: T. Gerach
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Wolfsburg 3 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Wolfsburg 4W 1D 0L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L

VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.2 / 5
Corners
against 4.4 / 3.14 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.4 / 5.43
Shots on target
against 4.2 / 3 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.6 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.4 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 December 2024. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVfL Wolfsburg for / againstLineFSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6.2 for · 4.4 against n 5
9.5standard
5 for · 3.14 against n 7
Shots
12.8 for · 12.4 against n 5
19.5standard
15.14 for · 9.71 against n 7
Shots on target
5.4 for · 4.2 against n 5
8.5standard
5.43 for · 3 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.8 for · 11.2 against n 5
21.5standard
13.29 for · 11.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.6 for · 1.4 against n 5
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.71 against n 7
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lovro Majer n 856.3
2.46/4
27/3
—
C. Zesiger n 876.4
2.16/5
0.73/2
—
P. Wimmer n 857.9
2.17/1
1.95/4
—
K. Fischer n 861.9
26/3
0.21/0
—
L. Nmecha n 816.6
23/0
2.74/0
—
VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Behrens n 814.8
3.14/0
1.52/0
M. Amoura n 884.8
2.37/6
1.57/3
L. Nmecha n 816.6
23/0
1.42/0
Tiago Tomás n 869.5
1.97/3
1.37/1
M. Svanberg n 852.1
1.33/2
0.62/1
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Amoura n 884.8
0.53/1
0.53/1
J. Wind n 859
0.62/1
0.21/0
K. Behrens n 814.8
0.81/0
00/0
L. Nmecha n 816.6
0.71/0
00/0
Lovro Majer n 856.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Zesiger n 876.4
2.47/5
K. Fischer n 861.9
2.26/3
Bence Dárdai n 568.8
2.13/2
K. Koulierakis n 886.9
1.88/4
R. Baku n 875.3
1.86/4
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Grabara n 890
37/6
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Hanche-Olsen n 875
2.37/5
0.32/0
—
N. Amiri n 880.3
27/4
2.56/5
—
D. Kohr n 888
1.97/5
1.36/3
—
S. Bell n 869.5
1.86/5
0.32/0
—
A. Caci n 882.3
1.65/4
0.43/0
—
FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Onisiwo n 830
34/3
1.13/0
A. Sieb n 834.6
2.95/3
1.34/0
J. Burkardt n 863.8
2.16/4
1.24/3
G. Vidovic n 845
24/3
1.54/2
N. Amiri n 880.3
1.76/4
1.36/3
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Burkardt n 863.8
1.14/2
00/0
Hong Hyun-Seok n 820.6
00/0
0.51/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Caci n 882.3
00/0
0.43/0
N. Amiri n 880.3
0.11/0
0.31/1
FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 890
2.97/7
D. da Costa n 849.8
2.96/4
N. Veratschnig n 828.4
2.84/3
S. Widmer n 817.1
2.64/0
M. Jenz n 884.4
2.57/6
FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 4 December 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Zentner n 890
2.87/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL WolfsburgFSV Mainz 05
44%Possession56%
1.23Expected goals (xG)2.34
10Shots12
5Shots on target5
3Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box10
3Corners5
0Offsides1
10Fouls15
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves1
396Passes508
79%Pass accuracy81%

VfL Wolfsburg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Grabara9000000006.2
D. Vavro9000100006.9
K. Koulierakis9000000006.3
J. Mæhle9001101106.7
R. Baku90001103Y6.7
M. Arnold90011010Y6.6
K. Fischer8100000006.5
Tiago Tomás81101110Y7
Bence Dárdai6900000006.5
M. Amoura6911111007.6
P. Wimmer4500000306.9
J. Wind sub4520220008.5
Y. Gerhardt sub2100000306.6
L. Nmecha sub2100000006.6
J. Kamiński sub900000006.7
K. Behrens sub900000006.3

FSV Mainz 05 player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Zentner9000000005.7
S. Bell9001001006.6
D. Kohr90001013Y7.3
K. Sano9000000206.9
N. Amiri90001030Y7.5
P. Mwene9000100106.5
Lee Jae-Sung90010020Y7
J. Burkardt9011421008.3
A. Caci8400111106.6
P. Nebel8420221108.6
D. da Costa50000000–
A. Hanche-Olsen sub8400000006.2
Hong Hyun-Seok sub1300000006.2
S. Widmer sub1300000106.3
M. Leitsch sub8000000Y6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind VfL Wolfsburg v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL WolfsburgDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
FSV Mainz 05LDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfL Wolfsburg 3 · 1 draw · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2024-01-13 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2022-11-05 FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 FSV Mainz 05
  • 2021-12-04 FSV Mainz 05 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
VfL Wolfsburg#11 pos43 pts34 pl+2 GD
FSV Mainz 05#6 pos52 pts34 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
VfL Wolfsburg scored1.65
FSV Mainz 05 scored1.62
VfL Wolfsburg conceded1.59
FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?
In their last 6 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 3, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?
Recent form — VfL Wolfsburg 4W 1D 0L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →