VfL Wolfsburg v FSV Mainz 05 result
Team pages: VfL Wolfsburg · FSV Mainz 05 · Head-to-head
VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 — VfL Wolfsburg won this Bundesliga match.
The result
VfL Wolfsburg beat FSV Mainz 05 4–3 at Volkswagen Arena in the Bundesliga on Sunday 8 December. VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.
The goals
VfL Wolfsburg came from behind: FSV Mainz 05 led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: P. Nebel (11’, assisted by Lee Jae-Sung; 66’, assisted by Jonathan Burkardt) and Jonathan Burkardt (39’, assisted by Stefan Bell); VfL Wolfsburg: Mohammed Amoura (19’), Tiago Tomás (57’, assisted by Mohammed Amoura) and Jonas Wind (83’, assisted by J. Mæhle; 90’, assisted by M. Arnold).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: FSV Mainz 05 out-shot VfL Wolfsburg 12 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.34 xG to 1.23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
Discipline
T. Gerach showed seven yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: R. Baku (21’), M. Arnold (22’) and Tiago Tomás (68’); FSV Mainz 05: Nadiem Amiri (43’), Lee Jae-Sung (45+2’), Dominik Kohr (56’) and M. Leitsch (90+1’).
What it changes
With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 13, across nine matches. VfL Wolfsburg have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Nebel (FSV Mainz 05) 9.5, Jonas Wind (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.4 and Mohammed Amoura (VfL Wolfsburg) 8.3 led the match.
Next up
VfL Wolfsburg next travel to VfL Bochum on 23 October 2026.
FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Venue: Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg
- Referee: T. Gerach
- Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Wolfsburg 3 · draws 1 · FSV Mainz 05 2 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: VfL Wolfsburg 4W 1D 0L · FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L
VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | VfL Wolfsburg for / against | Line | FSV Mainz 05 for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.2 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.8 for · 12.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.14 for · 9.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.43 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.8 for · 11.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.29 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.6 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovro Majer n 8 | 56.3 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| C. Zesiger n 8 | 76.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| P. Wimmer n 8 | 57.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | — |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 61.9 | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 16.6 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Behrens n 8 | 14.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| M. Amoura n 8 | 84.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 16.6 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Tiago Tomás n 8 | 69.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| M. Svanberg n 8 | 52.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Amoura n 8 | 84.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Wind n 8 | 59 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| K. Behrens n 8 | 14.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| L. Nmecha n 8 | 16.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Lovro Majer n 8 | 56.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Zesiger n 8 | 76.4 | 2.4 |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 61.9 | 2.2 |
| Bence Dárdai n 5 | 68.8 | 2.1 |
| K. Koulierakis n 8 | 86.9 | 1.8 |
| R. Baku n 8 | 75.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Grabara n 8 | 90 | 3 |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hanche-Olsen n 8 | 75 | 2.3 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80.3 | 2 | 2.5 | — |
| D. Kohr n 8 | 88 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| S. Bell n 8 | 69.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| A. Caci n 8 | 82.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Onisiwo n 8 | 30 | 3 | 1.1 |
| A. Sieb n 8 | 34.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| J. Burkardt n 8 | 63.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| G. Vidovic n 8 | 45 | 2 | 1.5 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burkardt n 8 | 63.8 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Hong Hyun-Seok n 8 | 20.6 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Lee Jae-Sung n 8 | 82.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Caci n 8 | 82.3 | 0 | 0.4 |
| N. Amiri n 8 | 80.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Sano n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| D. da Costa n 8 | 49.8 | 2.9 |
| N. Veratschnig n 8 | 28.4 | 2.8 |
| S. Widmer n 8 | 17.1 | 2.6 |
| M. Jenz n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Zentner n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| VfL Wolfsburg | FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% | Possession | 56% |
| 1.23 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.34 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 396 | Passes | 508 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
VfL Wolfsburg player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Grabara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Vavro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Koulierakis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Mæhle | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Baku | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| M. Arnold | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| K. Fischer | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Tiago Tomás | 81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Bence Dárdai | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Amoura | 69 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| P. Wimmer | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Wind sub | 45 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| Y. Gerhardt sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Nmecha sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Kamiński sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Behrens sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
FSV Mainz 05 player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zentner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| S. Bell | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Kohr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 7.3 |
| K. Sano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Amiri | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| P. Mwene | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| J. Burkardt | 90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| A. Caci | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Nebel | 84 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 |
| D. da Costa | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| A. Hanche-Olsen sub | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Hong Hyun-Seok sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Widmer sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Leitsch sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind VfL Wolfsburg v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 FSV Mainz 05
- 2024-01-13 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
- 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2022-11-05 FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg
- 2022-04-22 VfL Wolfsburg 5–0 FSV Mainz 05
- 2021-12-04 FSV Mainz 05 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?
- In their last 6 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 3, FSV Mainz 05 won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?
- Recent form — VfL Wolfsburg 4W 1D 0L; FSV Mainz 05 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.