This Matchweek

Werder BremenFC Augsburg

Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg result

Full-time · Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · · Weserstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Werder Bremen · FC Augsburg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg — Werder Bremen won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.67 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 829 of 1,283 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Werder Bremen: 2.41 to 0.74 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 45th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2 at Weserstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 September. It is Werder Bremen’s first win over FC Augsburg since 27 April 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Werder Bremen came from behind: FC Augsburg led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Augsburg: Robin Fellhauer (18’, assisted by Fabian Rieder) and Calvin Brackelmann (58’, assisted by Alexis Claude-Maurice); Werder Bremen: Marco Grüll (66’, assisted by Chuky San José), Niclas Füllkrug (86’, assisted by Marco Grüll) and Mitchell-Elijah Weiser (90’, assisted by Marco Grüll).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mitchell-Elijah Weiser’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Werder Bremen: Arthur (27’) and Marco Grüll (60’); FC Augsburg: Han-Noah Massengo (5’) and Hennes Behrens (77’).

What it changes

Werder Bremen move up from ninth to fifth (four league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Werder Bremen have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg move down from third to fourth (four league matches played). FC Augsburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). FC Augsburg have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Werder Bremen have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. FC Augsburg have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marco Grüll (Werder Bremen) 8.2, Niclas Füllkrug (Werder Bremen) 7.0 and Calvin Brackelmann (FC Augsburg) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC Augsburg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Werder Bremen.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or FC Augsburg, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Werder Bremen next travel to VfB Stuttgart on 7 November 2026.

FC Augsburg next travel to RB Leipzig on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Werder Bremen: VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for FC Augsburg: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Weserstadion · Bremen
  • Referee: B. Dankert
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Werder Bremen 2 · draws 2 · FC Augsburg 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Werder Bremen 2W 1D 2L · FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L

Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.75
Corners
against 6.38 / 6.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 5 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWerder Bremen for / againstLineFC Augsburg for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 6.88 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 18.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 7.75 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: B. Dankert.

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Hein390270 min93 /9062 /9010.3 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Hein n 590
44/4

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Pieper490360 min82 /9051.3 /9041 /90174.3 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Friedl490360 min30.8 /9061.5 /9051.3 /9082 /9051.3 /9000 /90
O. Deman490360 min153.8 /90102.5 /9030.8 /90235.8 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Mick Schmetgens368203 min52.2 /9020.9 /9000 /90125.3 /9031.3 /9000 /90
Arthur274148 min42.4 /9021.2 /9000 /90106.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Friedl n 876.1
1.26/2
0.32/0
C. Matsima
O. Deman n 890
1.17/2
0.42/1
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.32/0
0.42/1
C. Matsima
L. Reis n 483.8
1.12/1
0.81/1
Hennes Behrens
Chuky San José n 477
1.53/2
0.92/1
—
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
3.68/5
A. Pieper n 884.4
1.66/4
M. Friedl n 876.1
17/0
L. Reis n 483.8
3.84/3
Chuky San José n 477
1.53/1
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Füllkrug469276 min31 /9000 /9072.3 /9051.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
C. Itten32575 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9000 /9022.4 /9033.6 /90
J. Njinmah267134 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9000 /9042.7 /90
P. Erevbenagie23468 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9056.6 /90
S. Mbangula14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9024 /9000 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
0.94/3
0.64/1
A. Pieper n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
0.11/0
00/0
L. Reis n 483.8
0.51/1
0.31/0
Chuky San José n 477
1.23/1
0.31/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Deman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
A. Pieper n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 876.1
00/0
00/0
L. Reis n 483.8
0.31/0
00/0
Chuky San José n 477
00/0
0.31/0
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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Goalkeeper

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Dahmen490360 min205 /9030.8 /9000 /90
FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 890
4.68/8

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Matsima490360 min51.3 /9092.3 /9082 /90133.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9041 /90225.5 /9082 /9020.5 /90
C. Brackelmann388263 min103.4 /9041.4 /9041.4 /90268.9 /9020.7 /9000 /90
K. Schlotterbeck19090 min22 /9033 /9000 /9077 /9022 /9011 /90
Seol Young-Woo11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /9000 /90
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FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
1.66/5
0.64/0
O. Deman
Hennes Behrens n 490
0.52/0
0.82/1
L. Reis
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.43/0
00/0
A. Pieper
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
F. Rieder n 887.5
1.25/4
1.86/5
—
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 490
2.83/2
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
1.56/3
C. Matsima n 884.5
1.36/2
F. Rieder n 887.5
2.48/7
H. Massengo n 862.5
2.35/3
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Michael Gregoritsch479317 min30.9 /9010.3 /90102.8 /9072 /9072 /9000 /90
R. Fellhauer476304 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9041.2 /9000 /90
A. Kade290179 min21 /9010.5 /90126 /9063 /9021 /9010.5 /90
A. Ibrahimović260120 min00 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9021.5 /9000 /90
Hennes Behrens490360 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9082 /90
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FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
0.63/1
0.11/0
Hennes Behrens n 490
0.31/0
00/0
C. Matsima n 884.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Rieder n 887.5
0.94/2
0.52/2
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hennes Behrens n 490
00/0
0.31/0
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks n 876
00/0
0.11/0
F. Dahmen n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Matsima n 884.5
00/0
00/0
F. Rieder n 887.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
66%Possession34%
2.78Expected goals (xG)1.12
20Shots7
11Shots on target4
6Shots off target1
3Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box5
2Corners2
2Offsides1
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves7
683Passes356
88%Pass accuracy74%

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Chuky San José9001334008.5
O. Deman9000002106.6
M. Friedl9000100007.9
N. Füllkrug9010633106.9
M. Grüll90111130Y8.3
Y. Regeer9000003408.2
K. Hein9000000006.6
Arthur89000000Y6.6
A. Pieper7900001106.7
L. Reis7800320006.2
E. Dinkçi6800100106.7
M. Weiser sub2210220007.9
Salim Amani Musah sub1200000006.5
O. Wojcik sub1100000006.7
Mick Schmetgens sub10000000–

FC Augsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks9000000306.2
Hennes Behrens90000001Y6.6
R. Fellhauer9010112208
C. Matsima9000000006.7
F. Rieder9001002107.2
F. Dahmen9000000008.3
C. Brackelmann8310110207.7
M. Wolf7400000106.6
Michael Gregoritsch5300110006.7
M. Kömür5300000106.9
H. Massengo52000001Y6.9
Y. Keitel sub3800000006.2
A. Claude-Maurice sub3701111206.3
Rodrigo Ribeiro sub3700100006.2
Seol Young-Woo sub1600000106.2
J. Gouweleeuw sub1400001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Werder BremenLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
FC AugsburgLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Werder Bremen 2 · 2 draws · FC Augsburg 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg
  • 2025-12-20 FC Augsburg 0–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-01-19 Werder Bremen 0–2 FC Augsburg
  • 2024-08-24 FC Augsburg 2–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-04-27 FC Augsburg 0–3 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-12-09 Werder Bremen 2–0 FC Augsburg
League standing · 2026/27
Werder Bremen#5 pos15 pts8 pl+3 GD
FC Augsburg#10 pos9 pts8 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Werder Bremen scored2.13
FC Augsburg scored2.25
Werder Bremen conceded1.75
FC Augsburg conceded1.88

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Werder Bremen 2.41 xG from 20 shots, FC Augsburg 0.74 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chuki 67' · 0.34 xGMitchell Weiser 67' · 0.33 xGNiclas Füllkrug 49' · 0.33 xGChuki 45' · 0.11 xGRodrigo Ribeiro 63' · 0.10 xGEren Sami Dinkci 23' · 0.10 xGLudovit Reis 60' · 0.09 xGNiclas Füllkrug 66' · 0.09 xGNiclas Füllkrug 28' · 0.09 xGMichael Gregoritsch 7' · 0.08 xGLudovit Reis 77' · 0.08 xGLudovit Reis 39' · 0.07 xGChuki 5' · 0.06 xGFabian Rieder 76' · 0.06 xGLudovit Reis 41' · 0.06 xGMarco Grüll 30' · 0.06 xGNiclas Füllkrug 75' · 0.06 xGAlexis Claude Maurice 56' · 0.04 xGEren Sami Dinkci 49' · 0.03 xGNiclas Füllkrug 42' · 0.02 xGMarco Friedl 84' · 0.01 xGMarco Grüll 65' · 0.42 xG · goalRobin Fellhauer 17' · 0.37 xG · goalCalvin Brackelmann 57' · 0.08 xG · goalNiclas Füllkrug 85' · 0.06 xG · goalMitchell Weiser 92' · 0.04 xG · goal
Werder Bremen (attacking right)FC Augsburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Werder Bremen2032.41
FC Augsburg620.74

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Werder Bremen 0.55, FC Augsburg 0.45. At full time, Werder Bremen led on xG, 2.41 to 0.74. The widest gap was 1.67 xG to Werder Bremen, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.41.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - FC Augsburg 17 minGoal - FC Augsburg 57 minGoal - Werder Bremen 65 minGoal - Werder Bremen 85 minGoal - Werder Bremen 92 min
Werder Bremen 2.41 xGFC Augsburg 0.74 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Werder Bremen v FC Augsburg was Draw or Away (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg?
In their last 6 meetings, Werder Bremen won 2, FC Augsburg won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg?
Recent form — Werder Bremen 2W 1D 2L; FC Augsburg 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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