Werder BremenRB Leipzig

Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig result

Full-time · Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · · Weserstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig — RB Leipzig won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 1.62 to 0.90 in expected goals, from 7 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 51st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

RB Leipzig won 2–1 at Weserstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 4 April. RB Leipzig are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Werder Bremen, every meeting checked.

The goals

RB Leipzig led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Antonio Nusa (15’) and Rômulo (52’); Werder Bremen: S. Musah (90’, assisted by Jovan Milošević).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Antonio Nusa’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

Robert Hartmann, Germany showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Werder Bremen: Cameron Puertas (73’) and Marco Friedl (90+8’); RB Leipzig: Tidiam Gomis (90+2’).

What it changes

Werder Bremen move down from 13th to 14th (28 league matches played). Werder Bremen have scored 37 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). Werder Bremen have conceded 57 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

RB Leipzig move down from third to fourth (28 league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 63 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games). RB Leipzig have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig) 7.9, Rômulo (RB Leipzig) 6.0 and Senne Lynen (Werder Bremen) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Werder Bremen next host Hamburger SV on 21 November 2026.

RB Leipzig next travel to Union Berlin on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Werder Bremen: Werder Bremen v Hamburger SV, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for RB Leipzig: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Weserstadion · Bremen
  • Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Werder Bremen 0 · draws 3 · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Werder Bremen 3W 0D 2L · RB Leipzig 3W 1D 1L

Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.38
Corners
against 3.38 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 3 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.82 yellows
Referee · Robert Hartmann, Germany
22.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWerder Bremen for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany — 2.82 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen Goalkeeper

Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Backhaus25902250 min753 /90431.7 /9000 /90
K. Hein290180 min115.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Werder Bremen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.83/2

Werder Bremen Defensive

Werder Bremen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Friedl26882300 min421.6 /90321.3 /90220.9 /901094.3 /90160.6 /9080.3 /90
Y. Sugawara24872083 min281.2 /90110.5 /9020.1 /90582.5 /90160.7 /9010 /90
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly21831750 min231.2 /90201 /90150.8 /90673.4 /90160.8 /9050.3 /90
A. Pieper1280960 min232.2 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90666.2 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
Isaac Schmidt1243515 min122.1 /9071.2 /9000 /90356.1 /9061 /9020.3 /90
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Werder Bremen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Schmid n 889
0.64/1
0.83/2
Y. Diomande
M. Grüll n 866.1
1.46/2
14/1
Y. Diomande
M. Friedl n 890
0.63/2
0.84/2
D. Raum
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
0.63/2
—
S. Lynen n 889.8
1.68/5
0.43/0
C. Baumgartner
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Werder Bremen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889
1.97/3
M. Grüll n 866.1
14/2
M. Friedl n 890
1.97/5
S. Lynen n 889.8
1.55/4
Y. Sugawara n 882.6
1.57/3
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Werder Bremen Attacking

Werder Bremen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Grüll28681907 min30.1 /9010 /90281.3 /90120.6 /90311.5 /90200.9 /90
J. Njinmah24621491 min50.3 /9000 /90362.2 /90161 /90130.8 /90130.8 /90
S. Mbangula19561060 min30.3 /9020.2 /90100.8 /9070.6 /90151.3 /90282.4 /90
K. Topp1443602 min00 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9050.7 /90
V. Boniface934305 min00 /9020.6 /90113.2 /9061.8 /9061.8 /9030.9 /90
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Werder Bremen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889
1.66/5
0.64/1
M. Grüll n 866.1
14/2
0.32/0
M. Friedl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 889.8
0.32/0
00/0
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Werder Bremen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Werder Bremen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Schmid n 889
00/0
0.32/0
M. Grüll n 866.1
0.21/0
00/0
M. Friedl n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Lynen n 889.8
00/0
00/0
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RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Gulácsi22871919 min522.4 /90281.3 /9000 /90
Maarten Vandevoordt1088878 min293 /90131.3 /9010.1 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 882.4
2.64/2
Maarten Vandevoordt n 886.4
2.97/4

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Orbán31902777 min431.4 /90341.1 /90301 /901926.2 /90180.6 /9040.1 /90
D. Raum30892663 min521.8 /90361.2 /90110.4 /90973.3 /90301 /9070.2 /90
R. Baku28792217 min572.3 /90230.9 /9090.4 /90984 /90230.9 /9040.2 /90
C. Lukeba24902161 min291.2 /90341.4 /90190.8 /90843.5 /90110.5 /9020.1 /90
E. Bitshiabu671426 min91.9 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90173.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
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RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
0.93/3
0.96/1
—
N. Seiwald n 886.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
—
D. Raum n 889
14/4
0.43/0
M. Friedl
C. Baumgartner n 889.9
2.57/6
0.65/0
S. Lynen
Y. Diomande n 885.6
0.42/1
2.18/5
M. Grüll
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RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.46/3
N. Seiwald n 886.6
2.18/6
D. Raum n 889
1.35/5
C. Baumgartner n 889.9
1.44/3
Y. Diomande n 885.6
0.86/0
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RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Diomande29732113 min110.5 /9070.3 /90351.5 /90241 /90441.9 /90994.2 /90
A. Nusa27711904 min30.1 /9030.1 /90361.7 /90150.7 /90331.6 /90592.8 /90
Rômulo25751882 min70.3 /9040.2 /90422 /90221.1 /90231.1 /9090.4 /90
C. Harder1749836 min20.2 /9040.4 /90313.3 /90171.8 /90111.2 /9060.6 /90
J. Bakayoko1653840 min30.3 /9000 /90141.5 /9080.9 /90111.2 /90192 /90
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RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.53/1
0.31/1
N. Seiwald n 886.6
0.42/1
0.31/1
D. Raum n 889
0.42/1
0.32/0
C. Baumgartner n 889.9
27/5
14/3
Y. Diomande n 885.6
1.45/4
0.94/2
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RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Seiwald n 886.6
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 889
00/0
0.43/0
C. Baumgartner n 889.9
0.83/3
00/0
Y. Diomande n 885.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Werder BremenRB Leipzig
55%Possession45%
1.51Expected goals (xG)1.49
13Shots7
5Shots on target2
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box4
1Corners0
5Offsides1
13Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
558Passes454
85%Pass accuracy80%

Werder Bremen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Backhaus9000000006.7
M. Friedl90000002Y6.6
O. Deman9000000206.9
S. Lynen9000111106.6
Cameron Puertas90001005Y7.5
R. Schmid9000223006.9
L. Bittencourt7600001206.7
J. Njinmah7600202006.5
F. Agu6100001206
M. Grüll6100001206.3
A. Pieper4900000307.2
P. Čović sub4100000306.7
S. Mbangula sub2900000006.2
Y. Sugawara sub2900001207
S. Musah sub1410320007.3
J. Milošević sub1401101006.6

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Maarten Vandevoordt9000000006.9
R. Baku9000001206.7
W. Orbán9000000106.9
D. Raum9000001006.9
X. Schlager9000000206.2
N. Seiwald9000000306.6
C. Baumgartner8600001407
Y. Diomande8600200106.7
Rômulo7810110207.2
A. Nusa7810111108.5
C. Lukeba5600000007.2
E. Banzuzi sub3400000106.3
A. Ouédraogo sub1300001006.7
B. Henrichs sub1300000006.2
T. Gomis sub12000000Y6.3
C. Harder sub1200100006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Werder BremenLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
RB LeipzigDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Werder Bremen 0 · 3 draws · RB Leipzig 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-23 RB Leipzig 2–0 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-05-10 Werder Bremen 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-01-12 RB Leipzig 4–2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-05-11 RB Leipzig 1–1 Werder Bremen
  • 2023-12-19 Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-05-14 RB Leipzig 2–1 Werder Bremen
League standing · 2025/26
Werder Bremen#15 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
RB Leipzig#3 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Werder Bremen scored1.09
RB Leipzig scored1.94
Werder Bremen conceded1.76
RB Leipzig conceded1.38

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Werder Bremen 0.90 xG from 13 shots, RB Leipzig 1.62 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Conrad Harder 79' · 0.46 xGYan Diomande 80' · 0.46 xGRomano Schmid 13' · 0.13 xGRômulo 14' · 0.10 xGCameron Puertas 33' · 0.10 xGEzechiel Banzuzi 86' · 0.08 xGCameron Puertas 42' · 0.08 xGSalim Musah 81' · 0.08 xGRomano Schmid 36' · 0.07 xGJovan Milosevic 88' · 0.06 xGJustin Njinmah 75' · 0.06 xGSalim Musah 92' · 0.05 xGJustin Njinmah 7' · 0.05 xGSenne Lynen 40' · 0.04 xGJustin Njinmah 60' · 0.03 xGRomano Schmid 58' · 0.03 xGYan Diomande 5' · 0.02 xGRômulo 51' · 0.43 xG · goalSalim Musah 93' · 0.13 xG · goalAntonio Nusa 14' · 0.06 xG · goal
Werder Bremen (attacking right)RB Leipzig (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Werder Bremen1310.90
RB Leipzig721.62

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Werder Bremen 0.46, RB Leipzig 0.17. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 1.62 to 0.90. The widest gap was 0.97 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 86th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - RB Leipzig 14 minGoal - RB Leipzig 51 minGoal - Werder Bremen 93 min
Werder Bremen 0.90 xGRB Leipzig 1.62 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig?
In their last 6 meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, RB Leipzig won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — Werder Bremen 3W 0D 2L; RB Leipzig 3W 1D 1L.

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