Francs Borains v Dender result

Full-time · Francs Borains 1–0 Dender

Challenger Pro League · Wed, 04 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT · Stade Robert Urbain

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Francs Borains 1–0 Dender — Francs Borains won this Challenger Pro League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Francs Borains beat Dender 1–0 at Stade Robert Urbain in Challenger Pro League on Wednesday 4 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Dender out-shot Francs Borains 16 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.07 xG to 1.20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Francs Borains: M. Bastian (49’, assisted by D. Ndongala).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Bastian’s goal on 49 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Francs Borains: R. Asante (35’); Dender: C. Jullien (10’) and Bo De Kerf (39’).

What it changes

Francs Borains move up from fifth to fourth (eight league matches played). Francs Borains have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Francs Borains have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Dender stay second after this result (nine league matches played). Dender have scored 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Dender have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Bastian (Francs Borains) 7.8, Victor Swinnen (Francs Borains) 7.1 and J. Devriendt (Dender) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Francs Borains or Dender (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Francs Borains next travel to KAA Gent II on 22 November 2026.

Dender next travel to Lokeren-Temse on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Francs Borains: KAA Gent II v Francs Borains, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Dender: Lokeren-Temse v Dender, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Francs Borains 1–0 Dender · Challenger Pro League
Venue: Stade Robert Urbain · Boussu
Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Francs Borains 0 · draws 0 · Dender 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Francs Borains 2W 0D 3L · Dender 4W 0D 1L

Francs Borains 1–0 Dender (Challenger Pro League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 242 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.2 / 7

Corners

against 4.8 / 3.8 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4.8 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.8 / 2 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.4 / 2

Cards

against 1.2 / 2.8 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 5 matches

242

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Francs Borains for / against	Line	Dender for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.2 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	7 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	15.6 for · 14 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	16.2 for · 11 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	4.8 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	17 for · 15.6 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	15.8 for · 12.8 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2.4 for · 1.2 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.8 against n 5 Last 5

Francs Borains

Francs Borains Goalkeeper

Francs Borains — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Victor Swinnen	4	90360 min	133.3 /90	–	00 /90

Francs Borains — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Francs Borains before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Victor Swinnen n 6	90	3.8 6/4

Francs Borains Defensive

Francs Borains — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Dessoleil	4	90360 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	143.5 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
J. Molle	4	90360 min	41 /90	92.3 /90	00 /90	102.5 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90
M. Francotte	3	90270 min	93 /90	103.3 /90	10.3 /90	134.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90
Romeo Monticelli	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	113.7 /90	10.3 /90	206.7 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
L. Malungu	1	7575 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
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Francs Borains — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Francs Borains before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Bastian n 8	85.8	1.8 8/5	2.6 8/5	—
J. Molle n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.4 2/1	I. Breugelmans
D. Dessoleil n 8	90	0.6 4/1	1 4/3	I. Breugelmans
Victor Swinnen n 6	90	0 0/0	0.8 4/1	—
A. Ali n 8	80.5	2.4 8/6	1.3 6/3	—
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Francs Borains — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Francs Borains before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Bastian n 8	85.8	3.7 8/7
J. Molle n 8	90	1.1 6/3
D. Dessoleil n 8	90	0.5 4/0
A. Ali n 8	80.5	1 5/2
R. Asante n 4	70.8	1.6 4/1
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Francs Borains Attacking

Francs Borains — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ali	4	76303 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.3 /90	41.2 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90
C. Lavie	3	2780 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	44.5 /90	11.1 /90	22.3 /90	11.1 /90
E. Faty	2	3672 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90
M. Bastian	4	91365 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	153.7 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90	41 /90
R. Asante	4	71283 min	00 /90	00 /90	113.5 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90
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Francs Borains — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Francs Borains before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bastian n 8	85.8	2.5 7/4	1.2 5/2
D. Dessoleil n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
J. Molle n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Victor Swinnen n 6	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ali n 8	80.5	2.7 7/7	1.3 6/2
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Francs Borains — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Francs Borains before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Bastian n 8	85.8	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Victor Swinnen n 6	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
D. Dessoleil n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Molle n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Ali n 8	80.5	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Dender

Dender Goalkeeper

Dender — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Devriendt	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	–	00 /90

Dender — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dender before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Devriendt n 3	90	0.7 0/0

Dender Defensive

Dender — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
I. Breugelmans	3	90270 min	31 /90	31 /90	00 /90	124 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni	3	90270 min	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	217 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
K. Cools	3	90270 min	62 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	217 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
M. Expérience	3	90270 min	93 /90	72.3 /90	10.3 /90	206.7 /90	124 /90	10.3 /90
Bo De Kerf	2	90180 min	21 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	84 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90
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Dender — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dender before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Expérience n 3	90	4 3/3	1.3 3/1	—
K. Cools n 8	88.4	1.9 6/5	0.6 4/1	—
I. Breugelmans n 3	90	1 1/1	0.7 1/1	D. Dessoleil
Nathan Rodes n 8	87.5	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0	—
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni n 8	82.5	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Dender — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dender before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Expérience n 3	90	3 3/2
Nathan Rodes n 8	87.5	2.4 7/5
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni n 8	82.5	2.2 6/4
K. Cools n 8	88.4	1.4 6/4
I. Breugelmans n 3	90	1 3/0
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Dender Attacking

Dender — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Mballa Amougou	3	75225 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	83.2 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Amine Daali	3	66199 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.3 /90	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	62.7 /90
A. Nhaili	3	39117 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	43.1 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	21.5 /90
G. Vandeplas	2	1734 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.6 /90
David Toshevski	1	2323 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	27.8 /90
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Dender — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dender before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Expérience n 3	90	1 2/1	0.3 1/0
Nathan Rodes n 8	87.5	0.8 3/2	0 0/0
K. Cools n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
I. Breugelmans n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni n 8	82.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Dender — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dender before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nathan Rodes n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Devriendt n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Expérience n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Breugelmans n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Cools n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Francs Borains		Dender
42%	Possession	58%
1.20	Expected goals (xG)	2.07
11	Shots	16
8	Shots on target	6
3	Shots off target	6
0	Blocked shots	4
6	Shots inside the box	11
5	Corners	9
0	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	15
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	7
355	Passes	472

Francs Borains Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Victor Swinnen	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	8.8
M. Francotte	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Molle	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Dessoleil	90	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	7.1
Romeo Monticelli	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
M. Bastian	90	1	0	2	2	2	0	0	8.2
Enguerran Faucon	85	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.4
A. Ali	85	0	0	3	2	1	0	0	6.6
K. Masangu	73	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
R. Asante	73	0	0	2	2	2	3	Y	6.8
D. Ndongala	68	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	7.4
P. Wydra	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Y. kari	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Faty	17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.4
L. Malungu	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Diliberto	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Dender Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Devriendt	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.6
I. Breugelmans	90	3	0	0	0	0	6.4
C. Jullien	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.5
Malcolm Viltard	90	2	0	0	2	0	6.4
M. Expérience	90	0	0	2	3	0	5.9
E. Mballa Amougou	90	6	3	0	1	0	6.3
Bo De Kerf	85	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
A. Nhaili	85	1	1	3	0	0	7.2
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni	63	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Nathan Rodes	63	0	0	0	2	0	6
G. Vandeplas	63	0	0	1	1	0	6.1
Krzysztof Koton	27	1	0	3	0	0	6.9
O. Szulc	27	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Amine Daali	27	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
P. Kestens	5	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
David Toshevski	5	0	0	1	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Francs Borains v Dender — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Francs BorainsWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

DenderWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Francs Borains 0 · 0 draws · Dender 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2024-04-19 Francs Borains 0–3 Dender
2023-12-05 Dender 2–0 Francs Borains

League standing · 2026/27

Francs Borains#3 pos18 pts9 pl+1 GD

Dender#2 pos19 pts9 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Francs Borains scored1.22

Dender scored1.33

Francs Borains conceded1.11

Dender conceded0.44

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Francs Borains v Dender?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Francs Borains v Dender was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Francs Borains and Dender?: In their last 2 meetings, Francs Borains won 0, Dender won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Francs Borains and Dender?: Recent form — Francs Borains 2W 0D 3L; Dender 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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