Birmingham v Luton result

Full-time · Birmingham 0–1 Luton

Championship · · St Andrew's Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Luton · Head-to-head

Birmingham 0–1 Luton — Luton won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton won 1–0 at St Andrew's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 25 February. It is Luton’s first win over Birmingham since 13 February 2021, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Carlton Morris (47’, assisted by Alfie Doughty).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Birmingham 0.00, Luton 0.00, from 8 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Webb showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Birmingham: M. Roberts (67’); Luton: Alfie Doughty (19’).

What it changes

Birmingham have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cody Drameh (Luton) 6.8, Carlton Morris (Luton) 6.4 and K. Long (Birmingham) 6.3 led the match.

Next up

Birmingham next travel to Cardiff on 24 October 2026.

Luton next host Barnsley on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Cardiff v Birmingham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Barnsley, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 0–1 Luton · Championship
  • Venue: St Andrew's Stadium · Birmingham
  • Referee: D. Webb
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 2 · Luton 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 2W 0D 3L · Luton 1W 2D 2L

Birmingham 0–1 Luton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.33 / 8.83
Corners
against 3.5 / 3.33 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.33 / 4.17
Shots on target
against 5.67 / 3.17 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.83 / 3 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · D. Webb
1.1 home / 1.7 away
over 10 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 February 2023. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 February 2023. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLineLuton for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.33 for · 3.5 against n 6
9.5standard
8.83 for · 3.33 against n 6
Shots
12.83 for · 11.83 against n 6
19.5standard
12 for · 9.17 against n 6
Shots on target
5.33 for · 5.67 against n 6
8.5standard
4.17 for · 3.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.67 for · 9.5 against n 6
21.5standard
13 for · 9.67 against n 6
Cards shown
2 for · 1.83 against n 6
3.5standard
2.5 for · 3 against n 6

Referee: D. Webb — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches (1.1 to the home side, 1.7 to the away side).

Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. James n 824
3.83/2
0.92/0
—
J. Bacuna n 857
3.48/4
0.84/0
—
L. Jutkiewicz n 846.9
2.26/3
1.45/1
—
H. Mejbri n 866.4
25/4
26/3
—
G. Gardner n 832.8
1.74/1
0.72/0
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jutkiewicz n 846.9
3.17/3
1.95/3
R. Khadra n 842.1
2.15/2
1.94/2
T. Chong n 869.3
1.86/3
15/1
J. Bacuna n 857
1.44/1
0.41/1
S. Hogan n 885.3
1.25/3
0.53/1
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Mejbri n 866.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
L. Jutkiewicz n 846.9
0.52/0
00/0
R. Khadra n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
J. James n 824
0.51/0
00/0
T. Deeney n 858.6
0.42/0
00/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mejbri n 866.4
2.76/4
T. Chong n 869.3
2.35/4
G. Hall n 825.4
2.23/1
G. Gardner n 832.8
2.15/1
A. Trusty n 893.8
27/5
Luton
Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Adebayo n 882.5
2.56/5
16/1
—
G. Osho n 881.3
2.17/4
0.85/1
—
C. Morris n 873.5
2.17/4
0.94/1
—
H. Lansbury n 851.9
25/2
1.34/2
—
F. Onyedinma n 840.3
24/3
0.82/1
—
Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Woodrow n 829.8
2.66/1
1.94/1
E. Adebayo n 882.5
2.38/7
1.47/2
L. Berry n 823.6
1.94/0
1.43/0
J. Taylor n 818
1.93/0
0.61/0
C. Morris n 873.5
1.88/2
0.64/0
Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Berry n 823.6
12/0
00/0
E. Adebayo n 882.5
0.54/0
0.11/0
H. Cornick n 842.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
A. Campbell n 865.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
James Bree n 888.8
00/0
0.32/0
Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 February 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Nakamba n 852.3
57/7
C. Drameh n 866.9
3.98/7
A. Campbell n 865.1
3.17/6
L. Watson n 859.3
37/5
A. Doughty n 871
2.58/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamLuton
46%Possession54%
8Shots11
0Shots on target5
2Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box7
2Corners7
2Offsides0
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves0
295Passes341
53%Pass accuracy59%

Birmingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Ruddy9000000006.9
M. Colin9000000206.9
K. Long9000000207.3
T. Chong9000001306.2
L. Jutkiewicz9000001206.9
S. Hogan9000201106.9
H. Dean8900000106.7
M. Emmanuel8600000206.2
G. Gardner6400001206.9
H. Mejbri6400000306.6
G. Hall6400000006.2
M. Roberts sub26000002Y6.9
J. Bacuna sub2600001106.9
A. Chang sub2600000006.5
J. Graham sub1200000006.7
J. James sub10000000–

Luton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000006.9
G. Osho9000000207.3
A. Bell9000001307.2
C. Drameh9000004407.7
M. Nakamba9000000206.2
P. Mpanzu9000001306.7
A. Doughty90010033Y7.3
J. Clark9000221107.2
E. Adebayo9000310206.9
C. Morris7310210107.3
R. Burke5500000106.7
A. Campbell sub3500000206.9
C. Woodrow sub1700110006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
LutonWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Birmingham 3 · 2 draws · Luton 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2022-07-30 Luton 0–0 Birmingham
  • 2022-02-12 Birmingham 3–0 Luton
  • 2021-08-21 Luton 0–5 Birmingham
  • 2021-02-13 Birmingham 0–1 Luton
  • 2020-11-24 Luton 1–1 Birmingham
  • 2020-01-11 Luton 1–2 Birmingham
League standing · 2022/23
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Birmingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-11 GD
Luton#3 pos80 pts46 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham scored1.02
Luton scored1.24
Birmingham conceded1.26
Luton conceded0.85

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Luton?
In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Luton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Luton?
Recent form — Birmingham 2W 0D 3L; Luton 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →