Blackburn v Birmingham result

Full-time · Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Blackburn · Birmingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham won 2–1 at Blackburn in the Championship on Saturday 16 August. Birmingham have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackburn: Todd Cantwell (50’); Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (90’ pen) and Lyndon Dykes (90’, assisted by Demarai Gray).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Stansfield’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackburn 0.43, Birmingham 2.00, from 5 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Langford showed three yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Sean McLoughlin (90+8’); Birmingham: Bright Osayi-Samuel (30’) and Tomoki Iwata (76’).

What it changes

Blackburn are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) 7.2, Demarai Gray (Birmingham) 5.9 and Ethan Laird (Birmingham) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.6% of the time in the last 90 days (90 of 171).

Next up

Blackburn next host Wrexham on 24 October 2026.

Birmingham next travel to Cardiff on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v Wrexham, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Cardiff v Birmingham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham · Championship
  • Referee: O. Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Blackburn 3 · draws 1 · Birmingham 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Blackburn 2W 1D 2L · Birmingham 4W 1D 0L

Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.14
Corners
against 6.13 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 2.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 1.57
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · O. Langford
1.25 home / 1.08 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBlackburn for / againstLineBirmingham for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.14 for · 3.57 against n 7
Shots
9.38 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.71 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.14 for · 2.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 12.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: O. Langford — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 18.92 fouls over 12 matches (1.25 to the home side, 1.08 to the away side).

Blackburn
Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Henriksson n 842.6
3.77/4
1.63/2
—
A. Kargbo n 832.9
3.15/3
2.74/1
J. Stansfield
M. Gueye n 831
2.53/2
0.41/0
—
L. Travis n 885.5
1.77/5
1.78/4
—
R. Hedges n 874.3
1.77/4
0.95/1
J. Stansfield
Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Gueye n 831
2.24/1
1.12/1
Y. Ohashi n 874.9
1.87/5
0.95/1
A. Henriksson n 842.6
1.64/2
1.14/0
D. De Neve n 860.9
1.54/4
0.73/1
T. Dolan n 886.8
1.36/2
0.96/1
Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Cantwell n 869.1
0.21/0
0.73/1
Y. Ohashi n 874.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
D. De Neve n 860.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Dolan n 886.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Brittain n 882.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Travis n 885.5
3.78/6
T. Cantwell n 869.1
3.48/5
S. Tronstad n 885.1
2.97/5
Kristi Montgomery n 456.5
2.84/2
A. Kargbo n 832.9
2.44/3
Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Furuhashi n 832.4
3.16/2
13/0
—
K. Anderson n 858.9
2.77/4
3.27/4
—
L. Harris n 841.8
2.45/3
0.31/0
—
J. Stansfield n 863.5
2.15/4
1.67/2
R. Hedges
T. Gardner-Hickman n 849.3
2.16/3
1.13/1
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Furuhashi n 832.4
3.53/2
0.31/0
J. Stansfield n 863.5
2.57/5
1.16/0
E. Laird n 846.6
1.94/3
0.72/1
A. May n 859.8
1.74/3
1.14/1
T. Gardner-Hickman n 849.3
1.13/1
0.21/0
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Stansfield n 863.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
W. Willumsson n 868.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
Lee Myung-Jae n 879
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. May n 859.8
0.42/0
00/0
K. Dowell n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Cashin n 865.9
2.95/4
T. Iwata n 871.8
2.56/4
M. Leonard n 858.3
2.58/3
C. Klarer n 890
2.36/5
L. Harris n 841.8
2.25/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BlackburnBirmingham
41%Possession59%
0.43Expected goals (xG)2.00
5Shots8
2Shots on target4
2Shots off target2
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box4
3Corners5
3Offsides0
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
295Passes428
69%Pass accuracy85%

Blackburn player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Tóth9000000006.2
D. Hyam9000000106.2
S. McLoughlin90000001Y6.2
Yuri Ribeiro9000000207
S. Tronstad9000000206.7
Sidnei Tavares9000000306.2
A. Kargbo8800100007.2
T. Cantwell8710111007.2
Y. Ohashi8700000006.5
R. Alebiosu8200001407.2
R. Hedges6900001306.9
L. Miller sub2200001106.3
D. De Neve sub1600000106
M. Gueye sub1600110006.9
A. Henriksson sub1500000006.2
S. Wharton sub900100006

Birmingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Allsop9000000006.3
C. Klarer9000000107.5
D. Gray9001102307.7
Paik Seung-Ho9000002307
T. Iwata90001101Y7
J. Stansfield9010110007
K. Furuhashi8900000006.2
P. Neumann8800000206.5
B. Osayi-Samuel81000000Y6.2
K. Anderson8100001107.2
A. Cochrane4500111107
E. Laird sub4500100207.3
W. Willumsson sub1500000006.3
E. Cashin sub1100000107
T. Doyle sub1000000006.6
L. Dykes sub1010110007.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Blackburn v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BlackburnWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
BirminghamWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Blackburn 3 · 1 draw · Birmingham 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2024-02-13 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
  • 2023-11-29 Blackburn 4–2 Birmingham
  • 2023-04-01 Birmingham 1–0 Blackburn
  • 2023-01-31 Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn
  • 2023-01-28 Blackburn 2–2 Birmingham
  • 2022-10-22 Blackburn 2–1 Birmingham
League standing · 2025/26
Blackburn#20 pos52 pts46 pl-14 GD
Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Blackburn scored0.91
Birmingham scored1.24
Blackburn conceded1.22
Birmingham conceded1.22

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackburn v Birmingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v Birmingham was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Birmingham?
In their last 6 meetings, Blackburn won 3, Birmingham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and Birmingham?
Recent form — Blackburn 2W 1D 2L; Birmingham 4W 1D 0L.

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