BlackburnQPR

Blackburn v QPR result

Full-time · Blackburn 1–2 QPR

Championship · · Ewood Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Blackburn · QPR · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Blackburn 1–2 QPR — QPR won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR won 2–1 at Ewood Park in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Blackburn have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackburn: Ryoya Morishita (49’, assisted by Andri Guðjohnsen); QPR: Paul Smyth (51’, assisted by Rumarn Burrell) and James Dunne (74’, assisted by Tariq Lamptey).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with James Dunne’s goal on 74 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Blackburn 0.92, QPR 1.34, from 12 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Gavin Ward, England showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Blackburn: Andri Guðjohnsen (65’), Sean McLoughlin (76’) and Sam Morsy (80’); QPR: Jake-Liam Clarke-Salter (30’) and Ronnie Edwards (40’).

What it changes

Blackburn move down from second to 11th (three league matches played).

QPR stay third after this result (three league matches played).

QPR are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Dunne (QPR) 7.5, Ryoya Morishita (Blackburn) 6.9 and Rumarn Burrell (QPR) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Blackburn or QPR (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Blackburn next travel to Burnley on 21 November 2026.

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Blackburn: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Blackburn 1–2 QPR · Championship
  • Venue: Ewood Park · Blackburn
  • Referee: Gavin Ward, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Blackburn 3 · draws 0 · QPR 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Blackburn 2W 1D 2L · QPR 1W 2D 2L

Blackburn 1–2 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.86
Corners
against 6 / 5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.38 / 5.71
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 1 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Gavin Ward, England
19.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBlackburn for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
5.86 for · 5 against n 7
Shots
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.57 for · 12.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.71 for · 8.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.57 against n 7

Referee: Gavin Ward, England — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 19.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
A. Pears19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
3.15/4
A. Pears n 890
1.95/3

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin490360 min61.5 /9030.8 /9071.8 /90235.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
H. Pickering479315 min51.4 /9020.6 /9041.1 /90144 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
R. Alebiosu390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9000 /9072.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Tom Atcheson390270 min51.7 /9010.3 /9072.3 /90134.3 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Carter19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /901010 /9000 /9000 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.64/1
1.14/3
J. Clarke-Salter
R. Morishita n 879
0.42/1
0.74/1
—
H. Pickering n 869.3
0.85/0
0.64/0
—
T. Cantwell n 863.1
1.13/2
0.94/1
—
O. Afolayan n 847.1
2.65/2
1.75/2
—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
1.15/4
R. Morishita n 879
0.43/0
H. Pickering n 869.3
1.55/2
T. Cantwell n 863.1
3.27/4
O. Afolayan n 847.1
1.74/2
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Fevrier438151 min10.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9031.8 /9042.4 /90
A. Guðjohnsen359176 min31.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Y. Ohashi335105 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
R. Morishita480320 min00 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9061.7 /9072 /90
T. Cantwell471283 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.9 /9041.3 /9082.5 /9041.3 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
R. Morishita n 879
1.16/2
0.75/0
H. Pickering n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
T. Cantwell n 863.1
2.16/3
0.73/1
O. Afolayan n 847.1
1.73/2
0.72/1
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Morishita n 879
0.32/0
0.43/0
H. Pickering n 869.3
00/0
0.21/0
T. Cantwell n 863.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
O. Afolayan n 847.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Clarke-Salter290180 min21 /9021 /9000 /9042 /9021 /9010.5 /90
J. Dunne290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /90126 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Mbengue268136 min10.7 /9021.3 /9000 /9064 /9010.7 /9000 /90
K. Adamson266132 min21.4 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9064.1 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Dennis Cirkin12828 min26.4 /9000 /9013.2 /90619.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Chair n 857.3
1.24/2
0.83/1
—
J. Dunne n 890
1.17/1
0.54/0
—
R. Edwards n 890
0.83/1
00/0
—
H. Vale n 890
0.84/2
0.63/2
—
J. Clarke-Salter n 874.8
0.64/0
0.31/1
S. McLoughlin
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Vale n 890
1.58/3
I. Chair n 857.3
1.44/1
J. Clarke-Salter n 874.8
1.25/2
R. Edwards n 890
0.94/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burrell251102 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
R. Kone16262 min00 /9000 /9045.8 /9045.8 /9034.4 /9000 /90
P. Smyth13232 min00 /9000 /9012.8 /9012.8 /9025.6 /9000 /90
A. Lloyd11616 min00 /9000 /9015.6 /9000 /9000 /9015.6 /90
H. Vale290180 min00 /9010.5 /9063 /9042 /9052.5 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Chair n 857.3
25/2
0.82/1
H. Vale n 890
1.96/5
13/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
R. Edwards n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 874.8
0.21/0
00/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Chair n 857.3
0.41/1
0.21/0
H. Vale n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Edwards n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 874.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BlackburnQPR
55%Possession45%
0.92Expected goals (xG)1.34
12Shots19
2Shots on target6
6Shots off target7
4Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box11
3Corners3
1Offsides0
12Fouls6
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
519Passes438
86%Pass accuracy85%

Blackburn Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Alebiosu9000003106.9
Tom Atcheson9000000006.6
A. Guðjohnsen90010010Y6.5
S. McLoughlin90001002Y6.9
R. Morishita9010111107.9
B. Tóth9000000006.9
T. Cantwell8800610106.3
Yuri Ribeiro8100001006.5
O. Afolayan8100000106.2
Kristi Montgomery8100000306.6
A. Forshaw5700001106.6
Sam Morsy sub33000000Y6.7
J. Fevrier sub900001006.3
J. Garrett sub900000006.6
Harvey Pates sub900000006.5
F. Vare sub20000000–

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Burrell9001106107
I. Chair9000222006.5
J. Clarke-Salter90000000Y6.9
J. Dunne9010110107.9
R. Edwards90002103Y7.2
P. Charles9000000007.7
A. Mbengue8000100006.3
P. Smyth6410111008.2
R. Kone5700001106.5
Dennis Cirkin4500000306.9
N. Madsen4500001206.9
Glen Kamara sub4500000307.2
T. Lamptey sub4501103307.2
A. Lloyd sub3300310006.2
K. Poku sub2600101106.9
K. Adamson sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Blackburn v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BlackburnLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
QPRLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Blackburn 3 · 0 draws · QPR 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 QPR 1–3 Blackburn
  • 2025-11-26 Blackburn 0–1 QPR
  • 2025-02-04 QPR 2–1 Blackburn
  • 2024-09-28 Blackburn 2–0 QPR
  • 2024-02-03 Blackburn 1–2 QPR
  • 2023-10-07 QPR 0–4 Blackburn
League standing · 2026/27
Blackburn#13 pos21 pts15 pl-1 GD
QPR#8 pos24 pts15 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Blackburn scored1.47
QPR scored1.6
Blackburn conceded1.53
QPR conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Blackburn v QPR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Blackburn v QPR was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and QPR?
In their last 6 meetings, Blackburn won 3, QPR won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Blackburn and QPR?
Recent form — Blackburn 2W 1D 2L; QPR 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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