Bristol City v Blackburn result

Full-time · Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn

Championship · Tue, 13 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Ashton Gate Stadium

Updated 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol City · Blackburn · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn — Blackburn won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home shots on over 2.5.

Free pick

Home shots on over 2.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Blackburn won 1–0 at Ashton Gate Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bristol City out-shot Blackburn 20 to 3 and created the better chances, 1.95 xG to 0.15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Blackburn led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Blackburn: Oladapo Afolayan (38’, assisted by Sean McLoughlin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oladapo Afolayan’s goal on 38 minutes.

What it changes

Bristol City move down from eighth to 12th (10 league matches played).

Blackburn move up from 12th to sixth (10 league matches played).

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Blackburn have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sean McLoughlin (Blackburn) 9.1, Balázs Tóth (Blackburn) 5.9 and Oladapo Afolayan (Blackburn) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bristol City shots on over 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Bristol City next travel to Stoke City on 24 October 2026.

Blackburn next host Wrexham on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol City: Stoke City v Bristol City, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v Wrexham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn · Championship
Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium · Bristol
Referee: David Webb
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol City 3 · draws 0 · Blackburn 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Bristol City 2W 1D 2L · Blackburn 2W 1D 2L

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 7.25

Corners

against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 2.88 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bristol City for / against	Line	Blackburn for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: David Webb.

Bristol City

Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Tolaj n 8	69.1	2.9 8/5	2.1 6/4	—
Sam Greenwood n 8	33.5	2.7 5/1	3.4 5/4	O. Afolayan
Lisav Naif Eissat n 8	73.4	2.1 6/4	0.3 2/0	Tom Atcheson
J. Knight n 8	81.5	1.9 7/5	1.1 5/3	—
D. Ballard n 8	41.6	1.9 4/3	1.6 4/2	—

Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Ballard n 8	41.6	3.5 7/4	1.4 4/1
L. Tolaj n 8	69.1	3.4 8/7	0.8 4/1
T. Horvat n 8	42.3	2.4 5/3	1.6 4/1
Sam Greenwood n 8	33.5	2 4/2	2 4/2
S. Twine n 8	71.4	1.9 7/3	0.9 4/2

Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Bell n 8	27	1.3 3/0	0 0/0
Rio Cardines n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.8 6/0
D. Ballard n 8	41.6	0.8 3/0	0 0/0
T. Horvat n 8	42.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
S. Twine n 8	71.4	0.5 3/0	0 0/0

Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Pring n 8	44.6	2.8 4/2
L. McNally n 8	87.9	2.3 7/6
B. De Keersmaecker n 8	73.9	2 8/5
J. Wallace n 8	46	2 4/3
Sam Greenwood n 8	33.5	2 2/1

Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 8	90	1.6 4/2

Blackburn

Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gady Beyuku n 8	46.5	2.4 6/3	0.5 2/0	—
O. Afolayan n 8	74.3	2.1 6/3	2 6/4	Sam Greenwood
J. Garrett n 8	35.9	1.6 3/1	2.5 5/3	—
Tom Atcheson n 8	83	1.4 6/2	0.3 2/0	Lisav Naif Eissat
A. Guðjohnsen n 8	61.3	1.3 5/2	1.7 5/3	—

Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Fevrier n 8	35	3.9 6/2	1.3 4/0
O. Afolayan n 8	74.3	2.4 7/5	1.5 6/4
T. Cantwell n 8	78.4	2.3 8/3	1.3 8/1
D. De Neve n 8	30.3	2.2 3/2	1.5 2/2
A. Guðjohnsen n 8	61.3	1.8 6/4	1.1 5/1

Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Guðjohnsen n 8	61.3	0.7 4/0	0.2 1/0
O. Afolayan n 8	74.3	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
R. Morishita n 8	86.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
H. Pickering n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
J. Garrett n 8	35.9	0.3 1/0	0 0/0

Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kristi Montgomery n 8	79.5	2.8 7/6
J. Garrett n 8	35.9	2.5 4/2
O. Afolayan n 8	74.3	1.7 6/3
A. Forshaw n 8	56.9	1.6 6/2
H. Pickering n 8	80.9	1.5 6/3

Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 8	90	2.4 5/4
A. Pears n 8	90	1.4 3/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol City		Blackburn
56%	Possession	44%
1.95	Expected goals (xG)	0.15
20	Shots	3
7	Shots on target	1
5	Shots off target	1
8	Blocked shots	1
14	Shots inside the box	2
10	Corners	5
3	Offsides	5
8	Fouls	7
0	Saves	7
428	Passes	349
79%	Pass accuracy	77%

Bristol City player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
G. Yah	90	0	0	0	1	6.6
R. Atkinson	90	1	0	0	3	7.3
D. Ballard	90	3	2	0	1	7
Lisav Naif Eissat	90	2	0	2	2	7.3
C. Pring	90	0	0	0	2	6.9
S. Tickle	90	0	0	0	0	5.9
G. Tanner	75	1	1	1	2	7
J. Wallace	75	0	0	2	1	6.9
J. Knight	67	0	0	1	1	6.2
S. Twine	67	1	1	1	2	6.6
Sam Greenwood	45	0	0	3	0	6.6
Y. Hirakawa sub	45	1	1	2	0	6.7
B. De Keersmaecker sub	23	0	0	0	1	6.9
T. Horvat sub	23	1	1	1	0	6.3
E. Adebayo sub	15	2	1	2	0	7.2
Rio Cardines sub	15	0	0	1	0	6.6

Blackburn player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
H. Pickering	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	7.2
R. Alebiosu	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	6.6
Tom Atcheson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
H. Carter	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
S. McLoughlin	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	8.3
Sam Morsy	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	7
B. Tóth	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
Kristi Montgomery	73	0	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
O. Afolayan	63	1	0	1	1	0	0	7.7
T. Cantwell	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Morishita	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
M. Baradji sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	3	7.3
A. Kargbo sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Fevrier sub	27	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
A. Guðjohnsen sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bristol City v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bristol CityWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

BlackburnLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bristol City 3 · 0 draws · Blackburn 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-02-24 Blackburn 1–2 Bristol City
2025-11-04 Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn
2025-01-25 Bristol City 2–1 Blackburn
2024-09-14 Blackburn 3–0 Bristol City
2024-04-10 Bristol City 5–0 Blackburn
2023-12-12 Blackburn 2–1 Bristol City

League standing · 2026/27

Bristol City#16 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD

Blackburn#10 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Bristol City scored1.09

Blackburn scored1.55

Bristol City conceded1.36

Blackburn conceded1.45

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol City v Blackburn?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol City v Blackburn was Home shots on over 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Blackburn?: In their last 6 meetings, Bristol City won 3, Blackburn won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol City and Blackburn?: Recent form — Bristol City 2W 1D 2L; Blackburn 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 18 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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