Cardiff v Burnley prediction
Team pages: Cardiff · Burnley · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cardiff v Burnley, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Cardiff host Burnley in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Both teams scored in 13 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).
Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).
Burnley have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Cardiff have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.38. Cardiff have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cardiff have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Away from home, Burnley have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Burnley have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burnley have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Cardiff (19th) and Burnley (22nd) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cardiff the stronger side, 7 rating points above Burnley (Cardiff 1423, Burnley 1416, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 23 September 2025, finished Burnley 1–2 Cardiff.
Team news
Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, G. Osho, J. Bagan, P. Ng, K. Bielik, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, C. Willock, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Yousef Salech (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1355 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Yousef Salech averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 813 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, K. Walker, Igor, L. Pires, A. Ahmedhodžić, J. Laurent, M. Alleyne, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, U. Raghouber, Z. Amdouni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.3 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Zian Flemming (4.0 per match over four appearances, three goals) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 532 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Zian Flemming averages 5.0 shots per 90 over 428 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Cardiff City Stadium
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff 1 · draws 1 · Burnley 4 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 2W 1D 2L · Burnley 1W 2D 2L
Cardiff v Burnley (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Burnley for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.88 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cardiff
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Colwill n 8 | 59.1 | 2.3 | 3.6 | — |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 59.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| I. Davies n 8 | 18 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 2 | — |
| O. Tanner n 8 | 84.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Salech n 8 | 79.1 | 3.3 | 2 |
| O. Tanner n 8 | 84.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| C. Robinson n 8 | 34 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| J. Moylan n 8 | 72.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| D. Turnbull n 8 | 38.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moylan n 8 | 72.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| C. Robinson n 8 | 34 | 1 | 0.3 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 59.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| O. Tanner n 8 | 84.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Y. Salech n 8 | 79.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Bagan n 8 | 66.4 | 2.4 |
| P. Ng n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| D. Turnbull n 8 | 38.1 | 1.8 |
| R. Kpakio n 8 | 47 | 1.7 |
| C. Scanlon n 8 | 14.4 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Trott n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Burnley
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ramazani n 8 | 68.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 1.8 | 2 | — |
| H. Mejbri n 8 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.6 | — |
| J. Laurent n 8 | 88.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Marcus Edwards n 8 | 55.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| D. Satpaev n 8 | 59.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| A. Ramsey n 8 | 65.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| A. Hountondji n 8 | 31.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zeki Amdouni n 8 | 78.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| J. Bruun Larsen n 8 | 56.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| J. Vardy n 8 | 56.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Marcus Edwards n 8 | 55.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pires n 8 | 64.8 | 4 |
| R. Hatate n 8 | 57 | 2.2 |
| H. Ekdal n 8 | 47.8 | 2.1 |
| H. Mejbri n 8 | 56 | 2 |
| D. Satpaev n 8 | 59.5 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Coudert n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| M. Weiß n 8 | 90.9 | 2 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-23 Burnley 1–2 Cardiff
- 2025-03-04 Cardiff 1–2 Burnley
- 2024-08-17 Burnley 5–0 Cardiff
- 2023-05-08 Burnley 3–0 Cardiff
- 2022-10-01 Cardiff 1–1 Burnley
- 2019-04-13 Burnley 2–0 Cardiff
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Burnley?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff won 1, Burnley won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Burnley?
- Recent form — Cardiff 2W 1D 2L; Burnley 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.