Charlton v Bolton prediction

Championship · Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · The Valley

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Charlton · Bolton · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Charlton v Bolton, Championship on Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.75 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Charlton host Bolton in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Charlton are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Charlton have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 0.83. Charlton have scored 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Charlton have conceded 18 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bolton have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Bolton have scored 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bolton have conceded 23 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Charlton (19th) and Bolton (18th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bolton the stronger side, 185 rating points above Charlton (Bolton 1420, Charlton 1235, after at least 104 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Charlton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bolton. The most recent meeting, on 21 January 2025, finished Bolton 1–2 Charlton.

Team news

Predicted Charlton XI (4-2-3-1): A. Okonkwo, L. Jones, B. Koumetio, K. Ramsay, I. Mesík, C. Coventry, K. Ahearne-Grant, O. Skipp, T. Campbell, J. Rankin-Costello, M. Leaburn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tyreece Campbell (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and Lloyd Jones (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Charlton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Charlton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tyreece Campbell averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1083 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Lloyd Jones averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1303 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bolton XI (4-2-3-1): G. Bazunu, E. Toal, G. Larrazabal, L. Brunt, A. Famewo, J. Sheehan, T. Gale, E. Erhahon, K. Dong, R. Rodrigues, S. Dalby — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Chris Forino-Joseph (4.3 per match over eight appearances) and Lewis Brunt (3.3 per match over eight appearances) have been Bolton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Chris Forino-Joseph averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 667 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Lewis Brunt averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 586 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · The Valley
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Charlton 2 · draws 1 · Bolton 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Charlton 0W 2D 3L · Bolton 2W 1D 2L

Charlton v Bolton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.38

Corners

against 6.38 / 6.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Charlton for / against	Line	Bolton for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.13 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.5 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.25 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Okonkwo	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	141.3 /90
W. Mannion	2	93185 min	41.9 /90	21 /90
T. Brooks	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90

Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 8	90	3.5 8/4
W. Mannion n 8	90.6	3.4 5/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Jones	14	891250 min	100.7 /90	201.4 /90	151.1 /90	836 /90	70.5 /90	10.1 /90
D. McNamara	12	77924 min	131.3 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	484.7 /90	80.8 /90	50.5 /90
I. Mesík	12	64772 min	232.7 /90	91 /90	30.3 /90	445.1 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90
A. Bell	9	82738 min	192.3 /90	111.3 /90	60.7 /90	425.1 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90
Billy Dawson Koumetio	8	81650 min	91.2 /90	20.3 /90	71 /90	476.5 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Jones n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.9 3/3	—
M. Leaburn n 8	70.8	2.1 5/4	1.6 5/2	—
Conor Coventry n 8	76.5	2.2 8/4	0.4 3/0	—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	79.3	0.6 4/0	0.6 3/1	—
D. McNamara n 8	75.5	0.9 4/2	0.6 3/1	—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.8 3/3
M. Leaburn n 8	70.8	1.3 5/3
Conor Coventry n 8	76.5	2.1 8/5
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	79.3	0.4 3/0
D. McNamara n 8	75.5	1.3 4/3
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Leaburn	14	63884 min	00 /90	00 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90	40.4 /90	80.8 /90
Micah Mbick	7	34238 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90
C. Kelman	4	38152 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	74.1 /90	53 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
M. Godden	2	65129 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	42.8 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Conor Coventry	13	821066 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70.8	1.3 4/3	0.3 2/0
Conor Coventry n 8	76.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	79.3	1 5/1	0.6 4/0
D. McNamara n 8	75.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Conor Coventry n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	79.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. McNamara n 8	75.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bolton

Bolton Goalkeeper

Bolton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Gavin Bazunu	7	90630 min	294.1 /90	142 /90	00 /90
J. Bonham	6	91547 min	172.8 /90	101.6 /90	00 /90

Bolton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 7	90	4.1 6/3
J. Bonham n 8	90.9	2.7 5/2

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gaizka Larrazabal	12	75898 min	60.6 /90	202 /90	20.2 /90	252.5 /90	131.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Conway	10	72717 min	222.8 /90	111.4 /90	60.8 /90	577.2 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
A. Famewo	9	75674 min	141.9 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90	456 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90
E. Toal	8	81651 min	101.4 /90	101.4 /90	60.8 /90	283.9 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
C. Forino-Joseph	7	88616 min	182.6 /90	142 /90	81.2 /90	527.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
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Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Sheehan n 8	89.5	1.5 6/4	1.9 7/5	—
S. Dalby n 8	62.5	1.3 5/1	0.9 3/1	—
T. Gale n 8	66.6	0.5 2/1	0.5 2/1	—
Gaizka Larrazabal n 8	83.1	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
E. Erhahon n 8	68	1.8 7/2	1.2 6/1	—
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 8	89.5	1 6/1
S. Dalby n 8	62.5	1.1 4/1
T. Gale n 8	66.6	1.4 5/3
Gaizka Larrazabal n 8	83.1	0.7 3/1
E. Erhahon n 8	68	2.3 6/4
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Dalby	13	74957 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	181.7 /90	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Thelonius Bair	5	43213 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.7 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
R. Hardie	5	25126 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	00 /90
J. Nelson	5	22112 min	00 /90	00 /90	64.8 /90	32.4 /90	32.4 /90	43.2 /90
J. Sheehan	13	901173 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	161.2 /90	80.6 /90	151.2 /90	50.4 /90
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Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 8	89.5	1.3 7/3	0.6 4/1
S. Dalby n 8	62.5	2 6/1	0.9 5/0
T. Gale n 8	66.6	1.4 5/3	0.7 4/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 8	83.1	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
E. Erhahon n 8	68	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 8	89.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Dalby n 8	62.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
T. Gale n 8	66.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 8	83.1	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
E. Erhahon n 8	68	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CharltonLDDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

BoltonWLWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Charlton 2 · 1 draw · Bolton 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2025-01-21 Bolton 1–2 Charlton
2024-08-24 Charlton 2–0 Bolton
2024-02-17 Bolton 3–3 Charlton
2023-10-28 Charlton 0–2 Bolton
2023-01-28 Charlton 1–2 Bolton
2022-09-03 Bolton 3–1 Charlton

League standing · 2026/27

Charlton#19 pos14 pts12 pl-7 GD

Bolton#18 pos14 pts12 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Charlton scored0.92

Bolton scored1.33

Charlton conceded1.5

Bolton conceded1.92

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Charlton v Bolton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Bolton is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Bolton?: In their last 6 meetings, Charlton won 2, Bolton won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Bolton?: Recent form — Charlton 0W 2D 3L; Bolton 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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