CharltonBristol City

Charlton v Bristol City result

Full-time · Charlton 1–2 Bristol City

Championship · · The Valley

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlton 1–2 Bristol City — Bristol City won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bristol City won 2–1 at The Valley in the Championship on Friday 3 April.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Bristol City: Scott Twine (11’, assisted by Max Bird) and Noah Eile (55’); Charlton: Lyndon Dykes (30’, assisted by C. Kelman).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noah Eile’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Charlton 1.56, Bristol City 2.59, from 13 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

B. Toner showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Charlton: K. Ramsay (60’) and Harrison Clarke (70’); Bristol City: Scott Twine (30’) and Mark Sykes (90+4’).

What it changes

Charlton have scored 44 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Charlton have conceded 58 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City have scored 59 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bristol City have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Charlton are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Scott Twine (Bristol City) 7.6, Lyndon Dykes (Charlton) 7.4 and Noah Eile (Bristol City) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Charlton next travel to Wolves on 21 November 2026.

Bristol City next travel to Middlesbrough on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Charlton: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Charlton 1–2 Bristol City · Championship
  • Venue: The Valley · London
  • Referee: B. Toner
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Charlton 1 · draws 1 · Bristol City 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlton 2W 1D 2L · Bristol City 0W 1D 4L

Charlton 1–2 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 5.86
Corners
against 5.5 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2.86
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 3.14
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.56 yellows
Referee · B. Toner
23.89 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCharlton for / againstLineBristol City for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
8.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 14.71 against n 7
Shots on target
2.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
11 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.71 for · 10.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.14 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: B. Toner — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.89 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Kaminski34903060 min942.8 /90431.3 /9010 /90
W. Mannion790630 min253.6 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Kaminski n 890
2.96/5
W. Mannion n 890
3.23/3

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Jones39873404 min391 /90491.3 /90481.3 /903168.4 /90471.2 /9080.2 /90
K. Ramsay32852722 min551.8 /90401.3 /90200.7 /901605.3 /90401.3 /9070.2 /90
A. Bell30802398 min301.1 /90311.2 /90200.8 /901325 /90180.7 /9040.2 /90
M. Gillesphey25781948 min281.3 /90120.6 /90180.8 /90843.9 /90170.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Burke1167741 min91.1 /90141.7 /9070.9 /90404.9 /90111.3 /9010.1 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tyreece Campbell n 867.9
0.83/1
0.73/1
—
L. Jones n 883.1
1.14/2
1.25/2
R. McCrorie
S. Carey n 889.9
0.63/2
0.43/0
A. Randell
Conor Coventry n 861
1.86/4
0.74/0
A. Randell
M. Leaburn n 844.6
2.56/4
2.86/3
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tyreece Campbell n 867.9
14/2
L. Jones n 883.1
1.26/3
S. Carey n 889.9
0.94/1
Conor Coventry n 861
2.86/4
M. Leaburn n 844.6
1.55/1
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tyreece Campbell40682731 min30.1 /9030.1 /90351.2 /90110.4 /90351.2 /90401.3 /90
M. Leaburn36592111 min30.1 /9020.1 /90291.2 /90110.5 /90200.9 /90150.6 /90
C. Kelman30491467 min60.4 /9000 /90191.2 /90171 /9060.4 /9050.3 /90
I. Olaofe1551770 min00 /9020.2 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90111.3 /90101.2 /90
H. Knibbs1438527 min10.2 /9000 /9050.9 /9020.3 /9081.4 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tyreece Campbell n 867.9
0.32/0
00/0
L. Jones n 883.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Carey n 889.9
16/2
0.64/1
Conor Coventry n 861
0.42/0
00/0
M. Leaburn n 844.6
0.52/0
00/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tyreece Campbell n 867.9
00/0
00/0
L. Jones n 883.1
00/0
00/0
S. Carey n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Conor Coventry n 861
00/0
00/0
M. Leaburn n 844.6
00/0
00/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek34903060 min1083.2 /90401.2 /9000 /90
M. O’Leary590450 min81.6 /9051 /9000 /90
J. Lumley390270 min31 /9031 /9000 /90
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 890
3.98/5
M. O’Leary n 890
1.85/3

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Dickie33862851 min321 /90411.3 /90300.9 /902056.5 /90150.5 /9040.1 /90
G. Tanner32862747 min812.7 /90301 /90240.8 /901745.7 /90120.4 /9010 /90
Z. Vyner30862592 min451.6 /90281 /90200.7 /901133.9 /90230.8 /9040.1 /90
Neto Borges29752169 min602.5 /90411.7 /9080.3 /901395.8 /90271.1 /9070.3 /90
R. Atkinson26741922 min341.6 /90321.5 /90130.6 /901607.5 /9050.2 /9010 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Randell n 871.9
0.31/1
1.44/2
Conor Coventry
S. Twine n 858.9
0.84/0
1.36/1
—
E. Riis n 864.6
15/1
0.74/0
—
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
R. McCrorie n 883
1.15/1
0.73/1
L. Jones
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Randell n 871.9
1.35/2
S. Twine n 858.9
1.77/2
E. Riis n 864.6
0.74/0
R. McCrorie n 883
28/5
S. Armstrong n 848.9
0.52/0
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Twine40702812 min100.3 /9090.3 /90491.6 /90230.7 /90672.1 /9080.3 /90
E. Riis40682712 min120.4 /9030.1 /90531.8 /90260.9 /90280.9 /90160.5 /90
S. Armstrong34481644 min40.2 /9000 /90372 /90191 /9050.3 /90150.8 /90
Anis Mehmeti31822543 min90.3 /9060.2 /90541.9 /90291 /90511.8 /90421.5 /90
Y. Hirakawa1638614 min20.3 /9020.3 /9050.7 /9030.4 /9071 /9081.2 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Randell n 871.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
S. Twine n 858.9
1.74/2
1.14/1
E. Riis n 864.6
1.24/1
0.72/1
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
00/0
R. McCrorie n 883
0.85/1
0.43/0
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Randell n 871.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Twine n 858.9
0.42/0
00/0
E. Riis n 864.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Vítek n 890
00/0
00/0
R. McCrorie n 883
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CharltonBristol City
47%Possession53%
1.56Expected goals (xG)2.59
13Shots17
4Shots on target8
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box10
7Corners3
2Offsides0
19Fouls8
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves3
371Passes430
76%Pass accuracy79%

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Mannion9000000007.3
K. Ramsay90000010Y6.3
L. Jones9000003107.3
A. Bell9000001107.2
S. Carey9000100006.6
L. Dykes9010312106.9
G. Docherty8600000306.3
H. Clarke79002000Y6
Conor Coventry7900001206.5
C. Kelman6501001006.9
L. Chambers6400000006.5
Tyreece Campbell sub2600101006.7
I. Fullah sub2500110206.6
J. Rankin-Costello sub1100110106.6
M. Godden sub1100210006.5
J. Fevrier sub1000001006.3

Bristol City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Vítek9000000007.2
N. Eile9010110107.3
Neto Borges9000101207.2
C. Pring9000000306.9
J. Knight9000001006.2
A. Randell9000002106.9
M. Sykes90000001Y6.3
S. Twine90105322Y8.7
E. Riis8600210105.9
M. Bird8301113007.2
R. McCrorie4500000006.3
Sam Morsy sub4500111007
George Earthy sub1300000006.6
S. Armstrong sub1000110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharltonLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Bristol CityLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Charlton 1 · 1 draw · Bristol City 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-16 Bristol City 0–0 Charlton
  • 2019-12-26 Charlton 3–2 Bristol City
  • 2019-10-23 Bristol City 2–1 Charlton
League standing · 2025/26
Charlton#19 pos53 pts46 pl-14 GD
Bristol City#12 pos62 pts46 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Charlton scored0.96
Bristol City scored1.28
Charlton conceded1.26
Bristol City conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlton v Bristol City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Bristol City was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Bristol City?
In their last 3 meetings, Charlton won 1, Bristol City won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Bristol City?
Recent form — Charlton 2W 1D 2L; Bristol City 0W 1D 4L.

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