This Matchweek

CharltonBristol City

Charlton v Bristol City result

Full-time · Charlton 1–1 Bristol City

Championship · · The Valley

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Charlton · Bristol City

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlton 1–1 Bristol City — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Charlton and Bristol City drew 1–1 at The Valley in the Championship on Saturday 10 October. Charlton are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Charlton: Karlan Ahearne-Grant (8’, assisted by Tyreece Campbell); Bristol City: Scott Twine (27’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Scott Twine’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Charlton 1.78, Bristol City 1.47, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tom Reeves, England showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Charlton: Billy Dawson Koumetio (69’) and Ivan Mesík (90+2’); Bristol City: Elijah Adebayo (90+2’).

What it changes

Charlton move down from eighth to 10th (nine league matches played). Charlton have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Charlton have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City move down from sixth to eighth (nine league matches played). Bristol City have scored 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bristol City have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Scott Twine (Bristol City) 11.3, Karlan Ahearne-Grant (Charlton) 6.2 and Robert Atkinson (Bristol City) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Charlton or Bristol City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Charlton next host Sheffield Utd on 7 November 2026.

Bristol City next host Norwich on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Charlton: Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Charlton 1–1 Bristol City · Championship
  • Venue: The Valley · London
  • Referee: Tom Reeves, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Charlton 1 · draws 1 · Bristol City 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlton 0W 3D 2L · Bristol City 3W 0D 2L

Charlton 1–1 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.25
Corners
against 7.25 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Tom Reeves, England
21.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCharlton for / againstLineBristol City for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
8.75 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
2.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Tom Reeves, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo790630 min253.6 /9081.1 /9000 /90
W. Mannion293185 min41.9 /9021 /9000 /90
T. Brooks19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 790
3.66/4
W. Mannion n 890.6
3.45/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Jones1089890 min60.6 /90161.6 /90131.3 /90535.4 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
D. McNamara977697 min111.4 /9060.8 /9050.6 /90405.2 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90
A. Bell883663 min172.3 /90111.5 /9060.8 /90405.4 /9020.3 /9000 /90
I. Mesík874595 min182.7 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90365.4 /9081.2 /9010.2 /90
Tyler Bindon581405 min61.3 /90102.2 /9010.2 /90214.7 /9071.6 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jones n 888.1
0.42/1
0.95/2
—
M. Leaburn n 869
2.97/5
24/3
—
Conor Coventry n 881.8
2.18/4
0.43/0
—
Tyreece Campbell n 881.6
1.14/3
1.26/3
—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 881
0.43/0
0.85/1
J. Knight
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.53/1
M. Leaburn n 869
1.86/4
Conor Coventry n 881.8
2.18/5
Tyreece Campbell n 881.6
0.74/1
K. Ahearne-Grant n 881
0.63/1
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Leaburn1061608 min00 /9000 /9081.2 /9020.3 /9020.3 /9030.4 /90
Micah Mbick438153 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.8 /90
M. Godden265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Kelman12020 min00 /9000 /9014.5 /9014.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Conor Coventry983749 min00 /9010.1 /9010.1 /9000 /9050.6 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.83/2
0.53/1
M. Leaburn n 869
1.35/3
0.32/0
Conor Coventry n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
Tyreece Campbell n 881.6
15/2
0.84/2
K. Ahearne-Grant n 881
1.15/2
0.64/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 888.1
0.32/0
00/0
M. Leaburn n 869
00/0
00/0
Conor Coventry n 881.8
00/0
00/0
Tyreece Campbell n 881.6
0.64/0
00/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 881
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Tickle991815 min161.8 /90131.4 /9000 /90
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 890
1.54/1

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Dickie889711 min91.1 /9081 /9081 /90638 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90
Lisav Naif Eissat886691 min91.2 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90384.9 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
Rio Cardines882652 min131.8 /9060.8 /9000 /90283.9 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
G. Tanner775528 min91.5 /9061 /9061 /90244.1 /9050.9 /9000 /90
C. Pring653320 min113.1 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90267.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Knight n 890
1.47/3
0.83/3
K. Ahearne-Grant
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Tolaj n 869.1
2.98/5
2.16/4
—
Y. Hirakawa n 863.5
1.26/1
1.65/2
—
J. Wallace n 846
13/1
0.72/1
—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Knight n 890
0.95/2
L. Tolaj n 869.1
0.32/0
Y. Hirakawa n 863.5
1.86/3
J. Wallace n 846
24/3
D. Ballard n 838.5
1.54/1
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Tolaj969622 min20.3 /9010.1 /90253.6 /9081.2 /9091.3 /9030.4 /90
D. Ballard938345 min30.8 /9000 /90133.4 /9051.3 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90
L. Tolaj279158 min10.6 /9010.6 /9063.4 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
E. Riis22652 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Knight991815 min10.1 /9000 /9050.6 /9020.2 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Knight n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Tolaj n 869.1
3.48/7
0.84/1
Y. Hirakawa n 863.5
1.65/2
0.93/2
J. Wallace n 846
0.73/0
0.52/0
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Knight n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Tolaj n 869.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Y. Hirakawa n 863.5
0.21/0
00/0
J. Wallace n 846
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CharltonBristol City
53%Possession47%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.47
12Shots13
4Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box6
5Corners5
0Offsides1
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
390Passes330
69%Pass accuracy68%

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Okonkwo9000000006.3
D. McNamara9000000206.3
L. Jones9000000006.6
Billy Dawson Koumetio90000000Y7.3
Conor Coventry9000111206.5
O. Skipp9000000306.3
T. Campbell8901212106.3
K. Ahearne-Grant7710112107.7
M. Leaburn7700001006.5
J. Edwards5300000006.6
Micah Mbick5300200006.3
I. Mesík sub37000000Y6.6
K. Ramsay sub3700001007.2
C. Kelman sub1300100006.3
H. Knibbs sub1300110006.3
M. Alli sub10000000–

Bristol City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Tickle9000000006.2
G. Tanner9000102207.7
L. McNally9000000106.7
R. Atkinson9000001407.6
Rio Cardines9000111006.9
J. Knight9000001006.5
D. Ballard8900200006.5
A. Randell7800000307.2
S. Twine7810320507.7
Y. Hirakawa6500100106.3
B. De Keersmaecker6500001206.9
Sam Greenwood sub2500000006.3
C. Pring sub2500000006.7
E. Adebayo sub12000000Y6.2
G. Yah sub1200000006.6
S. Bell sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharltonDLDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Bristol CityWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Charlton 1 · 1 draw · Bristol City 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Charlton 1–2 Bristol City
  • 2025-08-16 Bristol City 0–0 Charlton
  • 2019-12-26 Charlton 3–2 Bristol City
  • 2019-10-23 Bristol City 2–1 Charlton
League standing · 2026/27
Charlton#21 pos14 pts14 pl-11 GD
Bristol City#15 pos18 pts14 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Charlton scored0.79
Bristol City scored1.14
Charlton conceded1.57
Bristol City conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlton v Bristol City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Bristol City was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Bristol City?
In their last 4 meetings, Charlton won 1, Bristol City won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Bristol City?
Recent form — Charlton 0W 3D 2L; Bristol City 3W 0D 2L.

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