This Matchweek

CharltonDerby

Charlton v Derby result

Full-time · Charlton 2–1 Derby

Championship · · The Valley

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Charlton · Derby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlton 2–1 Derby — Charlton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Charlton beat Derby 2–1 at The Valley in the Championship on Saturday 15 August. Charlton have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Derby have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Charlton came from behind: Derby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: Samuel Szmodics (23’, assisted by Carlton Morris); Charlton: Lloyd Jones (61’, assisted by Karlan Ahearne-Grant) and Tyreece Campbell (80’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tyreece Campbell’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Charlton 0.97, Derby 1.00, from 13 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

B. Speedie showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 27 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Derby: Sondre Langås (60’), Alex Mowatt (90’) and Rhian Brewster (90+8’).

What it changes

Charlton are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Derby are 22nd (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Derby have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lloyd Jones (Charlton) 7.0, Tyreece Campbell (Charlton) 6.9 and Carlton Morris (Derby) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Charlton or Derby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Charlton next travel to Wolves on 21 November 2026.

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Charlton: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Charlton 2–1 Derby · Championship
  • Venue: The Valley · London
  • Referee: B. Speedie
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Charlton 2 · draws 1 · Derby 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlton 2W 1D 2L · Derby 2W 0D 3L

Charlton 2–1 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4 / 4.25
Corners
against 7.25 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCharlton for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: B. Speedie.

Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Mannion19595 min10.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Mannion n 890.6
3.85/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Billy Dawson Koumetio19595 min10.9 /9000 /9000 /9043.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90
L. Jones19595 min10.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9076.6 /9010.9 /9000 /90
A. Bell17878 min11.2 /9033.5 /9000 /9066.9 /9000 /9000 /90
D. McNamara17070 min00 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9056.4 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Mesík12525 min27.2 /9013.6 /9000 /90310.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Conor Coventry n 884.1
2.57/7
0.75/0
B. Clark
L. Jones n 890.6
15/2
0.53/1
S. Langås
Tyreece Campbell n 867
14/1
0.73/1
C. Morris
S. Carey n 868.3
0.21/0
2.68/6
C. Morris
W. Mannion n 890.6
00/0
0.22/0
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conor Coventry n 884.1
1.66/3
L. Jones n 890.6
1.27/3
S. Carey n 868.3
0.73/1
Tyreece Campbell n 867
0.31/1
A. Bell n 879.5
1.16/1
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Godden17070 min11.3 /9000 /9033.9 /9022.6 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Leaburn12525 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.6 /90
M. Alli11717 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015.3 /9000 /90
Conor Coventry19595 min00 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9021.9 /9000 /90
S. Carey19595 min10.9 /9010.9 /9043.8 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9000 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tyreece Campbell n 867
1.75/3
0.83/2
S. Carey n 868.3
1.56/1
0.71/1
L. Jones n 890.6
0.52/1
0.11/0
Conor Coventry n 884.1
0.11/0
00/0
W. Mannion n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Carey n 868.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
Tyreece Campbell n 867
0.21/0
00/0
L. Jones n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
Conor Coventry n 884.1
00/0
0.11/0
W. Mannion n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström19595 min21.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
4.68/5

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Langås19595 min21.9 /9000 /9010.9 /9065.7 /9010.9 /9000 /90
C. Taylor16363 min34.3 /9000 /9011.4 /9057.1 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Sanderson15050 min00 /9000 /9000 /9035.4 /9011.8 /9000 /90
M. Clarke14545 min00 /9012 /9000 /9036 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Forsyth13232 min00 /9000 /9000 /9038.4 /9012.8 /9000 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Morris n 887.4
2.25/5
1.76/5
S. Carey
B. Clark n 876.5
1.67/3
1.26/2
Conor Coventry
S. Langås n 873.4
1.47/2
0.83/2
L. Jones
L. Travis n 887.6
1.25/3
2.38/7
—
J. Ward n 890.6
0.43/0
0.94/2
—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Travis n 887.6
3.18/7
B. Clark n 876.5
2.46/5
S. Langås n 873.4
1.86/5
J. Ward n 890.6
0.95/2
C. Morris n 887.4
0.85/1
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Morris19595 min00 /9000 /9021.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
L. Salvesen11515 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9016 /9000 /90
B. Clark19595 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.9 /9021.9 /90
L. Travis19595 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
S. Szmodics18080 min11.1 /9000 /9022.3 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Morris n 887.4
1.46/4
0.95/2
J. Ward n 890.6
0.64/1
0.53/1
S. Langås n 873.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
B. Clark n 876.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Morris n 887.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Langås n 873.4
0.21/0
00/0
J. Ward n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
B. Clark n 876.5
00/0
0.11/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CharltonDerby
45%Possession55%
0.97Expected goals (xG)1.00
13Shots15
4Shots on target4
4Shots off target5
5Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box11
5Corners4
0Offsides1
7Fouls16
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
375Passes453
76%Pass accuracy77%

Charlton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Mannion9000000006.9
L. Jones9010110107.6
Billy Dawson Koumetio9000200007.3
A. Bell9000000106.7
Conor Coventry9000000207.2
Tyreece Campbell9010221007.9
D. McNamara8500001207
N. Chalobah8500101307.2
K. Ahearne-Grant7301112007.3
S. Carey5900003007
M. Godden5900100006
M. Alli sub3100000106.3
M. Leaburn sub3100000007
J. Rankin-Costello sub1700000006.3
I. Mesík sub1400000106.9
C. Sichenje sub1400000006.6

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000100006.3
S. Langås90000002Y6.3
D. Sanderson9000100006.5
C. Taylor9000000106.3
B. Clark9000203006.2
C. Morris9001111105.9
J. Ward8400001106.7
L. Travis8400000407.5
O. Fraulo8300110106.3
C. Forsyth8300000106.9
S. Szmodics5410320007.3
A. Mowatt sub36000032Y7.3
C. Blackett-Taylor sub1600000006.9
R. Brewster sub16000000Y6.5
M. Johnston sub1500001006.9
L. Salvesen sub1500000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharltonDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
DerbyWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Charlton 2 · 1 draw · Derby 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-20 Charlton 1–2 Derby
  • 2025-09-30 Derby 1–1 Charlton
  • 2024-02-27 Derby 1–2 Charlton
  • 2024-02-03 Charlton 0–1 Derby
  • 2023-02-18 Derby 2–0 Charlton
  • 2022-08-06 Charlton 1–0 Derby
League standing · 2026/27
Charlton#21 pos14 pts14 pl-11 GD
Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Charlton scored0.79
Derby scored0.93
Charlton conceded1.57
Derby conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlton v Derby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Derby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, Charlton won 2, Derby won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Derby?
Recent form — Charlton 2W 1D 2L; Derby 2W 0D 3L.

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