Derby v Watford result
Derby 0–2 Watford — Watford won this Championship match.
The result
Watford won 2–0 at Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday 18 January. Watford have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Watford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Watford: Imrân Louza (4’) and Edouard Kayembe (66’, assisted by M. Sissoko).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 1.25, Watford 1.82, from 15 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
A. Herczeg showed four yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derby: Callum Elder (19’); Watford: James Abankwah (1’), J. Ngakia (31’) and F. Sierralta (90+1’).
What it changes
Derby have scored 48 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Derby have conceded 56 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored 53 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 61 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.
Derby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eiran Cashin (Derby) 7.7, Imrân Louza (Watford) 6.0 and Callum Elder (Derby) 5.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Watford are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Derby, every meeting checked.
Next up
Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Derby 0–2 Watford · Championship
- Venue: Pride Park · Derby
- Referee: A. Herczeg
- Head-to-head (last 3): Derby 0 · draws 0 · Watford 3 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Watford 0W 1D 4L
Derby 0–2 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 January 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Derby for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.4 for · 5.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.6 for · 11.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.13 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.4 for · 7.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.2 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Herczeg — 3.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Derby
Derby Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.3 | M. Pollock |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 52.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | E. Kayembe |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 72.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | E. Kayembe |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | E. Kayembe |
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 52.8 | 1.3 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 72.3 | 2.2 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 2.4 |
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Derby Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 52.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 72.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 1 | 0.8 |
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 52.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 72.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Watford
Watford Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.8 | C. Nelson |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 81.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | — |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 60.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | N. Mendez-Laing |
| K. Baah n 8 | 72.1 | 2 | 1.9 | — |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 75.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | — |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 81.6 | 1.4 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 60.9 | 0.9 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 72.1 | 1.2 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 75.4 | 0.7 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Watford Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 81.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 60.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 72.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 75.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 81.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 72.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 75.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Derby | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 9 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 15 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 375 | Passes | 307 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Derby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Nelson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Cashin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8.2 |
| E. Adams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.6 |
| B. Osborn | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Yates | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Wilson | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Elder | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | Y | 7.9 |
| K. Goudmijn | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Mendez-Laing | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Jackson | 62 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Blackett-Taylor sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Forsyth sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Harness sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. Brown sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Ward sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Sierralta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Louza | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| E. Kayembe | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Rocco Vata | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| V. Bayo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Baah | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Abankwah | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| J. Ngakia | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| T. Dele-Bashiru | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Sissoko sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Y. Larouci sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Andrews sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Ogbonna sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Derby v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-08-24 Watford 2–1 Derby
- 2021-02-19 Watford 2–1 Derby
- 2020-10-16 Derby 0–1 Watford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Watford?
- In their last 3 meetings, Derby won 0, Watford won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Derby and Watford?
- Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Watford 0W 1D 4L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.