Leicester v Swansea result

Full-time · Leicester 0–1 Swansea

Championship · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leicester · Swansea · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 0–1 Swansea — Swansea won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Swansea won 1–0 at Leicester in the Championship on Saturday 11 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Leicester out-shot Swansea 19 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.37 xG to 0.68 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Swansea: Žan Vipotnik (53’, assisted by Eom Ji-Sung).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Žan Vipotnik’s goal on 53 minutes.

Discipline

S. Allison showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leicester: J. Vestergaard (10’) and Luke Thomas (59’).

What it changes

Leicester have scored 58 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Leicester have conceded 68 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Swansea have scored 57 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Swansea have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Leicester are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Swansea are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eom Ji-Sung (Swansea) 6.0, Harry Winks (Leicester) 5.5 and Lawrence Vigouroux (Swansea) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Leicester are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Swansea, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Leicester next host Bradford on 14 November 2026.

Swansea next host West Brom on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Leicester v Bradford, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Swansea: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Leicester 0–1 Swansea · Championship
Referee: S. Allison
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Leicester 4 · draws 1 · Swansea 0 · 3.4 goals/game
Recent form: Leicester 1W 3D 1L · Swansea 1W 2D 2L

Leicester 0–1 Swansea (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.38

Corners

against 6.25 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.2 yellows

Referee · S. Allison

23.7 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Leicester for / against	Line	Swansea for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.75 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.5 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Allison — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Leicester

Leicester Goalkeeper

Leicester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Stolarczyk	33	892933 min	892.7 /90	451.4 /90	20.1 /90
A. Begović	10	86855 min	262.7 /90	181.9 /90	00 /90

Leicester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Stolarczyk n 8	91	2.1 4/3
A. Begović n 8	90	2.9 6/6

Leicester Defensive

Leicester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Thomas	39	823196 min	691.9 /90	491.4 /90	100.3 /90	1624.6 /90	461.3 /90	100.3 /90
Ricardo Pereira	32	792523 min	863.1 /90	491.7 /90	110.4 /90	1465.2 /90	331.2 /90	60.2 /90
C. Okoli	28	842363 min	381.4 /90	411.6 /90	331.3 /90	1505.7 /90	261 /90	20.1 /90
J. Vestergaard	26	852209 min	351.4 /90	210.9 /90	130.5 /90	1566.4 /90	150.6 /90	40.2 /90
B. Nelson	24	831997 min	391.8 /90	291.3 /90	200.9 /90	1125 /90	90.4 /90	30.1 /90
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Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Fatawu n 8	83	1.4 6/3	3 8/5	—
L. Thomas n 8	91	0.7 4/2	1 5/3	J. Tymon
S. Mavididi n 8	73.4	0.9 3/2	1.4 4/2	—
J. Stolarczyk n 8	91	0 0/0	0.2 2/0	—
O. Skipp n 8	80.4	0.8 4/2	0.7 2/1	—
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Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Fatawu n 8	83	0.9 5/1
L. Thomas n 8	91	2.6 6/6
S. Mavididi n 8	73.4	1.1 6/1
O. Skipp n 8	80.4	1.1 6/1
Ricardo Pereira n 8	81.4	3.7 4/4
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Leicester Attacking

Leicester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Ayew	32	672153 min	60.3 /90	30.1 /90	341.4 /90	190.8 /90	261.1 /90	180.8 /90
P. Daka	29	571656 min	60.3 /90	40.2 /90	372 /90	150.8 /90	140.8 /90	50.3 /90
Silko Amari Otieno Thomas	8	33261 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	41.4 /90	10.3 /90
A. Fatawu	40	843376 min	90.2 /90	70.2 /90	651.7 /90	270.7 /90	521.4 /90	1042.8 /90
S. Mavididi	36	692499 min	30.1 /90	20.1 /90	341.2 /90	170.6 /90	210.8 /90	481.7 /90
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Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Fatawu n 8	83	1.9 6/3	0.4 3/0
L. Thomas n 8	91	0.9 4/2	0.4 3/0
S. Mavididi n 8	73.4	1.5 6/3	0.8 4/1
J. Stolarczyk n 8	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Skipp n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leicester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Fatawu n 8	83	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Thomas n 8	91	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
S. Mavididi n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stolarczyk n 8	91	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Skipp n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Vigouroux	41	903690 min	1253 /90	541.3 /90	00 /90

Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 8	90	2.4 5/4

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Burgess	44	903960 min	400.9 /90	581.3 /90	491.1 /90	2315.3 /90	130.3 /90	80.2 /90
J. Tymon	43	873726 min	491.2 /90	491.2 /90	60.1 /90	1142.8 /90	190.5 /90	90.2 /90
E. Galbraith	42	803378 min	651.7 /90	471.3 /90	70.2 /90	1854.9 /90	320.9 /90	70.2 /90
B. Cabango	40	903585 min	721.8 /90	461.2 /90	300.8 /90	2365.9 /90	240.6 /90	80.2 /90
J. Key	27	772090 min	361.6 /90	200.9 /90	70.3 /90	813.5 /90	231 /90	40.2 /90
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Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Burgess n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.6 4/1	—
Ronald n 8	59.6	1.5 4/2	2.6 6/5	—
J. Tymon n 8	87.3	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1	L. Thomas
E. Galbraith n 8	80.8	1 5/2	1 6/1	—
Gonçalo Franco n 8	67.6	1.3 6/1	2.7 7/5	—
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Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Burgess n 8	90	0.6 3/1
Ronald n 8	59.6	2.3 7/4
J. Tymon n 8	87.3	1.5 5/4
E. Galbraith n 8	80.8	1.3 6/3
Gonçalo Franco n 8	67.6	4.3 7/7
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Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Z. Vipotnik	40	692740 min	200.7 /90	20.1 /90	591.9 /90	311 /90	250.8 /90	50.2 /90
L. Cullen	29	521497 min	40.2 /90	00 /90	241.4 /90	130.8 /90	140.8 /90	20.1 /90
Z. Inoussa	26	461197 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	171.3 /90	302.3 /90
A. Idah	16	48761 min	30.4 /90	20.2 /90	101.2 /90	60.7 /90	131.5 /90	40.5 /90
Gustavo Gomes	10	44439 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90	112.3 /90
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Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Burgess n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Ronald n 8	59.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
J. Tymon n 8	87.3	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
E. Galbraith n 8	80.8	1 4/3	0.3 2/0
Gonçalo Franco n 8	67.6	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
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Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Burgess n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ronald n 8	59.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
J. Tymon n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
E. Galbraith n 8	80.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Franco n 8	67.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Leicester		Swansea
56%	Possession	44%
1.37	Expected goals (xG)	0.68
19	Shots	8
6	Shots on target	1
9	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	2
13	Shots inside the box	5
12	Corners	2
3	Offsides	2
12	Fouls	14
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	5
474	Passes	390
81%	Pass accuracy	78%

Leicester Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Stolarczyk	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Lascelles	90	2	0	1	0	0	7.5
J. Vestergaard	90	2	1	0	2	Y	6.7
L. Thomas	90	1	0	0	1	Y	7
H. Winks	90	1	1	2	5	0	7.5
A. Fatawu	90	4	1	0	1	0	6.3
Ricardo Pereira	87	1	0	0	5	0	6.5
D. Mukasa	73	0	0	4	0	0	7.5
P. Daka	73	2	2	1	0	0	6.3
O. Skipp	62	1	1	0	4	0	6.7
S. Mavididi	62	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
J. Ayew sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
B. De Cordova-Reid sub	28	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
J. Monga sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. James sub	17	1	0	2	0	0	6.7
H. Choudhury sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Swansea Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
L. Vigouroux	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
B. Cabango	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	7.3
C. Burgess	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
J. Tymon	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	7.2
Gustavo Gomes	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	6.7
M. Stamenić	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	6.9
M. Widell	77	0	0	1	0	0	3	6.9
Eom Ji-Sung	72	0	1	0	0	1	1	7.5
Z. Vipotnik	72	1	0	1	1	1	0	8.5
Sam Parker	56	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
L. Walta	56	0	0	1	0	1	1	6.7
Gonçalo Franco sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
J. Ward sub	34	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
L. Cullen sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Idah sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Ronald sub	13	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeicesterWLDDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

SwanseaWLLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Leicester 4 · 1 draw · Swansea 0 · 3.4 goals/game

2025-10-04 Swansea 1–3 Leicester
2024-01-30 Leicester 3–1 Swansea
2023-10-21 Swansea 1–3 Leicester
2018-02-03 Leicester 1–1 Swansea
2017-10-21 Swansea 1–2 Leicester

League standing · 2025/26

Leicester#23 pos46 pts46 pl-10 GD

Swansea#11 pos64 pts46 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Leicester scored1.26

Swansea scored1.24

Leicester conceded1.48

Swansea conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Swansea?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Swansea was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Swansea?: In their last 5 meetings, Leicester won 4, Swansea won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Swansea?: Recent form — Leicester 1W 3D 1L; Swansea 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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