Luton v Stoke City result

Full-time · Luton 1–0 Stoke City

Championship · · Kenilworth Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Luton 1–0 Stoke City — Luton won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton beat Stoke City 1–0 at Kenilworth Road in the Championship on Saturday 4 February. Luton have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Luton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Luton: Pelly Mpanzu (6’, assisted by Elijah Adebayo).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Luton 0.00, Stoke City 0.00, from 11 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Whitestone showed five yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Luton: Cody Drameh (43’) and Cauley Woodrow (90+2’); Stoke City: Joshua Tymon (38’), W. Smallbone (90+4’) and Jordan Thompson (90+4’).

What it changes

Luton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pelly Mpanzu (Luton) 8.7, J. Laurent (Stoke City) 6.8 and Jordan Clark (Luton) 6.5 led the match.

Next up

Luton next host Barnsley on 20 October 2026.

Stoke City next host Bristol City on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Luton: Luton v Barnsley, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Bristol City, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Luton 1–0 Stoke City · Championship
  • Venue: Kenilworth Road · Luton, Bedfordshire
  • Referee: D. Whitestone
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Luton 1 · draws 1 · Stoke City 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Luton 3W 1D 1L · Stoke City 3W 0D 2L

Luton 1–0 Stoke City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.88
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.57 / 4.43
Corners
against 3.33 / 4 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 5.14
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 2.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2.14
Cards
against 2.33 / 1.86 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · D. Whitestone
1.86 home / 1.57 away
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 January 2023. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 January 2023. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLuton for / againstLineStoke City for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.57 for · 3.33 against n 7
9.5standard
4.43 for · 4 against n 7
Shots
7.43 for · 8.5 against n 7
19.5standard
11.29 for · 8.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.14 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 8.33 against n 7
21.5standard
14.86 for · 8.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.33 against n 7
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: D. Whitestone — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches (1.86 to the home side, 1.57 to the away side).

Luton
Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Morris n 878
2.27/4
1.66/3
—
E. Adebayo n 877.3
27/4
0.75/0
—
A. Bell n 887.8
1.97/4
2.66/6
—
G. Osho n 867.8
1.87/3
0.32/0
—
F. Onyedinma n 831.6
1.83/2
0.41/0
—
Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Morris n 878
1.76/3
1.25/1
E. Adebayo n 877.3
1.77/4
15/1
C. Woodrow n 837.1
1.55/0
0.93/0
L. Berry n 829.1
1.54/0
1.23/0
A. Doughty n 878.1
17/0
0.64/0
Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Berry n 829.1
0.82/0
00/0
C. Morris n 878
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Clark n 887.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
E. Adebayo n 877.3
0.64/0
00/0
A. Doughty n 878.1
0.11/0
0.43/0
Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Drameh n 872
4.18/8
L. Watson n 859.3
37/5
L. Freeman n 826.6
34/2
A. Campbell n 871.8
2.57/5
A. Doughty n 878.1
2.38/4
Stoke City
Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Delap n 856.8
3.27/5
26/3
—
H. Souttar n 890
27/4
0.53/1
—
L. Baker n 878.3
1.95/4
0.64/0
—
N. Powell n 835.5
1.94/2
1.64/1
—
H. Clarke n 861.4
1.86/3
0.42/0
—
Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Brown n 875.9
2.17/4
1.37/2
T. Campbell n 873.8
26/4
1.44/4
L. Delap n 856.8
26/3
1.26/0
B. Celina n 866.4
1.76/3
0.85/0
N. Powell n 835.5
1.63/2
12/1
Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Campbell n 873.8
0.53/0
0.32/0
N. Powell n 835.5
0.62/0
00/0
J. Brown n 875.9
0.43/0
00/0
J. Laurent n 871.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Gayle n 866.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 January 2023. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Hoever n 852.9
37/4
Jordan Thompson n 877.9
2.36/4
T. Fosu n 854.5
2.34/3
M. Fox n 874.6
2.17/4
J. Brown n 875.9
1.95/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LutonStoke City
47%Possession53%
11Shots7
4Shots on target1
4Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box3
7Corners5
6Offsides1
11Fouls7
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves3
332Passes398
69%Pass accuracy67%

Luton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000007.2
R. Burke9000001207.3
T. Lockyer9000000207.5
A. Bell9000110207.2
J. Clark9000111207.5
P. Mpanzu9010212307.6
A. Doughty9000002107.3
E. Adebayo9001211006.3
C. Morris7000100006.9
C. Drameh62000013Y6.9
A. Campbell6200000306.7
M. Nakamba sub2800000206.9
F. Onyedinma sub2800000106.2
C. Woodrow sub20001010Y6.6

Stoke City player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Šarkić9000000006.9
B. Wilmot9000000607.3
P. Jagielka9000000206.9
M. Fox9000000407.3
D. Sterling9000000406.9
J. Laurent9000100306.9
J. Brown9000000206.5
B. Celina8300003106.9
L. Baker7000210106.7
D. Gayle7000000006.5
J. Tymon45000003Y6.5
K. Hoever sub4500001006.3
W. Smallbone sub20000000Y6.5
T. Campbell sub2000100006.3
Jordan Thompson sub12000000Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Luton v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Stoke CityLWLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Luton 1 · 1 draw · Stoke City 4 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2022-11-08 Stoke City 2–0 Luton
  • 2022-02-23 Stoke City 1–2 Luton
  • 2021-11-06 Luton 0–1 Stoke City
  • 2021-02-20 Stoke City 3–0 Luton
  • 2020-10-17 Luton 0–2 Stoke City
  • 2020-02-29 Luton 1–1 Stoke City
League standing · 2022/23
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Luton#3 pos80 pts46 pl+18 GD
Stoke City#16 pos53 pts46 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Luton scored1.24
Stoke City scored1.2
Luton conceded0.85
Stoke City conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Stoke City?
In their last 6 meetings, Luton won 1, Stoke City won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Stoke City?
Recent form — Luton 3W 1D 1L; Stoke City 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →