MiddlesbroughLincoln

Middlesbrough v Lincoln result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · Lincoln

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln — Middlesbrough won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.45 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough beat Lincoln 2–1 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 15 August. Lincoln have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Middlesbrough came from behind: Lincoln led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Lincoln: Adam Reach (12’, assisted by Tendayi Darikwa); Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (62’; 90’, assisted by Riley McGree).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Lankshear’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Middlesbrough 2.23, Lincoln 0.57, from 23 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Madley showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lincoln: Frederick Draper (36’) and Isaac Olaofe (89’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Lincoln are 21st (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William Lankshear (Middlesbrough) 8.5, Benjamin House (Lincoln) 5.5 and D. Elerewe (Lincoln) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Lincoln next host Wrexham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Lincoln: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: R. Madley
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 1W 2D 2L · Lincoln 4W 1D 0L

Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6 / 4.88
Corners
against 3 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3 / 3 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · R. Madley
23.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineLincoln for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3 against n 7
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.29 for · 11.29 against n 7
21.5standard
12.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Madley — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Brynn19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890
1.94/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brittain19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Ayling19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
Neto Borges19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
Maximilian Arfsten16767 min56.7 /9000 /9000 /901013.4 /9022.7 /9000 /90
G. Edmundson12323 min00 /9013.9 /9013.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Leo Castledine n 844.3
1.86/1
1.53/1
—
A. Malanda n 886.8
13/3
0.63/2
T. Hamer
L. Ayling n 884
0.85/1
27/3
D. Elerewe
C. Brittain n 890
0.42/1
0.63/2
D. Elerewe
Neto Borges n 880
0.43/0
1.16/2
T. Darikwa
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ayling n 884
2.58/6
Neto Borges n 880
1.57/2
C. Brittain n 890
1.16/3
Leo Castledine n 844.3
13/1
A. Malanda n 886.8
0.53/1
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear18080 min11.1 /9000 /9055.6 /9022.3 /9011.1 /9000 /90
K. Joseph12323 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.9 /9000 /90
A. Malanda19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
Leo Castledine19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
Sebastian Berhalter19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leo Castledine n 844.3
3.36/4
1.85/2
L. Ayling n 884
1.16/2
0.32/0
C. Brittain n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Malanda n 886.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Neto Borges n 880
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leo Castledine n 844.3
0.31/0
00/0
Neto Borges n 880
0.11/0
00/0
C. Brittain n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Brynn n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Malanda n 886.8
00/0
00/0
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Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Wickens19595 min21.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890.6
1.73/2

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Elerewe19595 min21.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9065.7 /9032.8 /9000 /90
T. Darikwa19595 min32.8 /9000 /9000 /9065.7 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Hamer19595 min21.9 /9021.9 /9000 /9054.7 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Reach18888 min22 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
R. Towler12828 min13.2 /9000 /9013.2 /9026.4 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ivan Varfolomeev n 875.3
1.87/3
1.57/2
—
C. McGrandles n 884.9
1.16/2
1.66/4
—
D. Elerewe n 474.5
0.91/1
0.61/1
C. Brittain
T. Hamer n 888.9
0.85/1
0.31/1
A. Malanda
T. Darikwa n 884.8
0.85/1
0.74/1
Neto Borges
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McGrandles n 884.9
3.27/6
Ivan Varfolomeev n 875.3
2.46/5
T. Darikwa n 884.8
1.77/4
D. Elerewe n 474.5
1.53/2
T. Hamer n 888.9
0.84/2
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Draper17979 min00 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9022.3 /9000 /90
R. Street17979 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
Ivan Varfolomeev19595 min00 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9032.8 /9000 /90
B. House17979 min11.1 /9000 /9033.4 /9033.4 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Jefferies16767 min11.3 /9000 /9022.7 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Hamer n 888.9
0.64/1
0.11/0
Ivan Varfolomeev n 875.3
0.62/2
0.32/0
D. Elerewe n 474.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
T. Darikwa n 884.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
C. McGrandles n 884.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McGrandles n 884.9
00/0
0.43/0
T. Darikwa n 884.8
0.32/0
00/0
G. Wickens n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
Ivan Varfolomeev n 875.3
00/0
0.11/0
T. Hamer n 888.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughLincoln
76%Possession24%
2.23Expected goals (xG)0.57
23Shots10
7Shots on target2
8Shots off target4
8Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box7
5Corners5
0Offsides4
12Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves5
629Passes185
88%Pass accuracy57%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Vítek9000000006.3
C. Brittain9000002106.2
L. Ayling9000201107.5
A. Malanda9000111107.9
Sebastian Berhalter9000002007.3
W. Lankshear9020530008.5
M. Whittaker8900312306.3
K. Joseph7100110206.6
Neto Borges6300002006.3
A. Kanté6300102207.3
Leo Castledine6300000006.3
Maximilian Arfsten sub2700001407.2
M. Peart-Harris sub2700101007.2
R. McGree sub2701002007.7
J. Sarmiento sub1900110106.6
A. Jones sub10000000–

Lincoln Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Wickens9000000006.9
T. Hamer9000101006.3
R. Towler9000000006.7
D. Elerewe9000000306.6
C. McGrandles9000000007.2
Ivan Varfolomeev9000002207.2
T. Darikwa8901001106
A. Reach8910110007
B. House7100100507.3
D. Jefferies5900101206.9
F. Draper59002102Y6.2
I. Olaofe sub31000000Y6.3
R. Street sub3100000206.9
R. Hackett sub1900000006
Andrei Coubiș sub10000000–
T. Bayliss sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
LincolnDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Middlesbrough#2 pos29 pts15 pl+11 GD
Lincoln#21 pos15 pts15 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored2
Lincoln scored1
Middlesbrough conceded1.27
Lincoln conceded1.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Lincoln?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Lincoln was Home win (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Lincoln?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 1W 2D 2L; Lincoln 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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