MiddlesbroughMillwall

Middlesbrough v Millwall result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Middlesbrough · Millwall · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall won 2–1 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Friday 3 April. Millwall have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Millwall came from behind: Middlesbrough led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: Dael Fry (26’, assisted by Alan Browne); Millwall: Joshua Coburn (58’, assisted by M. Ivanović; 86’, assisted by Barry Bannan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joshua Coburn’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Millwall 32 to 11 and created the better chances, 3.04 xG to 0.79 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

A. Backhouse showed two yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Middlesbrough: Riley McGree (13’); Millwall: Jake Cooper (13’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough move down from second to third (40 league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored 72 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Middlesbrough have conceded 47 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Millwall move up from fourth to second (40 league matches played). Millwall have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Millwall have conceded 49 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua Coburn (Millwall) 9.5, Dael Fry (Middlesbrough) 8.8 and Alan Browne (Middlesbrough) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough or Millwall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: A. Backhouse
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Middlesbrough 4 · draws 0 · Millwall 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L · Millwall 3W 1D 1L

Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.5 / 6.88
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5 yellows
Referee · A. Backhouse
21.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
7.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
18.63 for · 8.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: A. Backhouse — 5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Brynn40903600 min922.3 /90401 /9010 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890
2.44/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Targett37823030 min461.4 /90411.2 /9070.2 /901013 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
L. Ayling36853060 min702.1 /90341 /90310.9 /901895.6 /90190.6 /9080.2 /90
C. Brittain35883081 min541.6 /90411.2 /9060.2 /901544.5 /90310.9 /9050.1 /90
A. Jones23861976 min351.6 /90221 /90200.9 /90853.9 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
D. Fry18731322 min161.1 /90110.7 /90251.7 /90966.5 /9080.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Conway n 878.6
1.16/2
1.45/3
C. Neghli
S. Brynn n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.68/3
1.46/4
—
M. Targett n 888.6
1.35/3
0.53/1
O. Azeez
L. Ayling n 886.4
0.53/1
0.84/2
J. Cooper
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 878.6
0.94/2
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.96/5
M. Targett n 888.6
0.63/1
L. Ayling n 886.4
1.77/5
M. Whittaker n 863.9
1.45/2
See more players · Pro

Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Conway41773168 min80.2 /9040.1 /90411.2 /90260.7 /90521.5 /90290.8 /90
D. Strelec24541293 min50.3 /9000 /90271.9 /90141 /90120.8 /90100.7 /90
D. Burgzorg21551156 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.4 /9090.7 /90251.9 /90100.8 /90
K. Sène1932601 min20.3 /9000 /9071 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9040.6 /90
S. Hansen1035351 min00 /9000 /9061.5 /9020.5 /9041 /9061.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 878.6
15/2
0.63/1
S. Brynn n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
2.18/6
0.84/1
M. Targett n 888.6
15/3
0.53/1
L. Ayling n 886.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 878.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
S. Brynn n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Targett n 888.6
0.31/1
00/0
L. Ayling n 886.4
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Crocombe25902255 min843.4 /90241 /9000 /90
S. Benda1090900 min181.8 /90171.7 /9000 /90
A. Patterson790630 min172.4 /9071 /9000 /90
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 890
3.17/4
S. Benda n 890
1.84/1
A. Patterson n 790
2.46/3

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cooper40903600 min411 /90330.8 /90300.8 /903238.1 /90451.1 /9080.2 /90
T. Crama40893572 min741.9 /90571.4 /90280.7 /902506.3 /90501.3 /9090.2 /90
Zak Norton Sturge27681841 min361.8 /90140.7 /90130.6 /90994.8 /90271.3 /9080.4 /90
C. Taylor21841773 min271.4 /90412.1 /90191 /901507.6 /90120.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Bryan1555832 min283 /90181.9 /9050.5 /90555.9 /90161.7 /9040.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
16/2
0.84/2
L. Ayling
T. Crama n 888.9
1.37/1
0.32/0
—
C. Neghli n 889.1
0.63/1
0.42/1
T. Conway
M. Ivanović n 856.1
1.26/0
0.84/0
—
O. Azeez n 886.8
1.36/3
1.24/3
M. Targett
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.85/1
T. Crama n 888.9
2.27/5
C. Neghli n 889.1
1.66/4
M. Ivanović n 856.1
13/1
O. Azeez n 886.8
1.37/3
See more players · Pro

Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ivanović33772544 min80.3 /9010 /90521.8 /90271 /90260.9 /90120.4 /90
A. Emakhu24581385 min20.1 /9030.2 /90301.9 /90151 /90191.2 /90251.6 /90
J. Coburn21691443 min70.4 /9000 /90311.9 /90150.9 /90120.7 /9050.3 /90
T. Watson534168 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021.1 /9021.1 /90
C. Neghli36732638 min30.1 /9030.1 /90281 /90100.3 /90311.1 /90190.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.65/0
0.54/0
T. Crama n 888.9
0.84/2
0.32/0
C. Neghli n 889.1
15/2
0.43/0
M. Ivanović n 856.1
1.45/1
0.63/0
O. Azeez n 886.8
1.88/5
0.64/1
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.32/0
00/0
T. Crama n 888.9
0.11/0
0.53/1
C. Neghli n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
M. Ivanović n 856.1
0.42/0
00/0
O. Azeez n 886.8
0.11/0
0.54/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughMillwall
61%Possession39%
3.04Expected goals (xG)0.79
32Shots11
6Shots on target5
8Shots off target3
18Blocked shots3
27Shots inside the box7
17Corners6
1Offsides2
4Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
420Passes272
76%Pass accuracy65%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9600000006.3
L. Ayling9600202107.3
A. Malanda9600100005.6
D. Fry9610420207.2
A. Browne9601103007.3
A. Morris9600002107.6
R. McGree96003131Y6.5
T. Conway9600001207.9
D. Strelec9600002006.3
C. Brittain8900223207.2
M. Targett7800116207.3
A. Bangura sub1800000006.5
J. Sarmiento sub70000100–

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9600000006.9
T. Crama9600101206.6
C. Taylor9600000107.7
J. Cooper96001112Y7
Zak Norton Sturge9600000007.7
C. Neghli9600000206.6
J. Coburn9620220208.5
O. Azeez9500114107.2
B. Mitchell9500100006.9
M. Ivanović8501002006.7
C. De Norre6400110106.2
B. Bannan sub3201101006.9
M. Langstaff sub1100001006.5
D. McNamara sub10000000–
L. Cundle sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
MillwallWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Middlesbrough 4 · 0 draws · Millwall 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-08-16 Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-04-12 Millwall 1–0 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-12-14 Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
  • 2024-01-13 Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-08-05 Middlesbrough 0–1 Millwall
  • 2023-01-14 Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
League standing · 2025/26
Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD
Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored1.57
Millwall scored1.39
Middlesbrough conceded1.02
Millwall conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Millwall was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Millwall?
In their last 6 meetings, Middlesbrough won 4, Millwall won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Millwall?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L; Millwall 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+