Millwall v Derby result
Team pages: Millwall · Derby · Head-to-head
Millwall 1–1 Derby — this Championship match was drawn.
The result
Millwall and Derby drew 1–1 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 19 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Millwall out-shot Derby 16 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.94 xG to 0.68 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: Jerry Yates (78’); Millwall: M. Ivanović (85’, assisted by Romain Esse).
Discipline
S. Attwell showed two yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Millwall: J. Bryan (37’) and Ryan Wintle (90’).
What it changes
Millwall have scored 19 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Millwall have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Derby have scored 20 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Derby have conceded 20 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Millwall are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eiran Cashin (Derby) 8.5, Ebrima Adams (Derby) 7.9 and Romain Esse (Millwall) 6.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Millwall are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Derby.
Next up
Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.
Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Millwall 1–1 Derby · Championship
- Venue: The Den · London
- Referee: S. Attwell
- Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 3 · draws 1 · Derby 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Millwall 1W 2D 2L · Derby 2W 0D 3L
Millwall 1–1 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Millwall for / against | Line | Derby for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.17 for · 5 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.71 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 9.33 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.43 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.83 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14 for · 14.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.57 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Millwall
Millwall Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. De Norre n 8 | 81.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | K. Goudmijn |
| G. Saville n 8 | 88.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | K. Goudmijn |
| R. Esse n 8 | 80.8 | 1.7 | 3.1 | K. Jackson |
| G. Honeyman n 8 | 77.6 | 1.4 | 1 | K. Jackson |
| R. Leonard n 8 | 80.3 | 0.8 | 1 | E. Cashin |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. De Norre n 8 | 81.5 | 1.7 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 88.1 | 1.7 |
| R. Esse n 8 | 80.8 | 2.8 |
| G. Honeyman n 8 | 77.6 | 3.2 |
| R. Leonard n 8 | 80.3 | 3.2 |
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Millwall Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. De Norre n 8 | 81.5 | 1 | 0.1 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 88.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| R. Esse n 8 | 80.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| G. Honeyman n 8 | 77.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| R. Leonard n 8 | 80.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. De Norre n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| G. Saville n 8 | 88.1 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Esse n 8 | 80.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| G. Honeyman n 8 | 77.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| R. Leonard n 8 | 80.3 | 0 | 0 |
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Derby
Derby Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 80.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | G. Saville |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 80.6 | 1 | 1.4 | G. Honeyman |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | — |
| E. Cashin n 8 | 77.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | R. Leonard |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 80.9 | 1.5 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 80.6 | 2.5 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 2 |
| E. Cashin n 8 | 77.5 | 2.8 |
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Derby Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 80.9 | 1 | 0.6 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 80.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| E. Cashin n 8 | 77.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nelson n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Goudmijn n 8 | 80.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Jackson n 8 | 80.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| N. Mendez-Laing n 8 | 66.4 | 0 | 0.2 |
| E. Cashin n 8 | 77.5 | 0 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Millwall | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 1.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.68 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 292 | Passes | 244 |
| 65% | Pass accuracy | 61% |
Millwall Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jensen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| R. Leonard | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Tanganga | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Cooper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bryan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| R. Esse | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| G. Honeyman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. De Norre | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Saville | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Langstaff | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Watmore | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Azeez sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Ivanović sub | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Daniel Kelly sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Wintle sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
Derby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Nelson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.9 |
| E. Cashin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Forsyth | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Adams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Yates | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| M. Harness | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Jackson | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Goudmijn | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Blackett-Taylor | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Nyambe | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Wilson sub | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| N. Mendez-Laing sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Osborn sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Phillips sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Collins sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Millwall v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2022-02-23 Derby 1–2 Millwall
- 2021-11-06 Millwall 1–1 Derby
- 2021-03-13 Derby 0–1 Millwall
- 2020-12-05 Millwall 0–1 Derby
- 2020-06-20 Millwall 2–3 Derby
- 2019-12-14 Derby 0–1 Millwall
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Derby?
- In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 3, Derby won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Millwall and Derby?
- Recent form — Millwall 1W 2D 2L; Derby 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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