MillwallDerby

Millwall v Derby result

Full-time · Millwall 1–1 Derby

Championship · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

Millwall 1–1 Derby — this Championship match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall and Derby drew 1–1 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 19 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Millwall out-shot Derby 16 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.94 xG to 0.68 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: Jerry Yates (78’); Millwall: M. Ivanović (85’, assisted by Romain Esse).

Discipline

S. Attwell showed two yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Millwall: J. Bryan (37’) and Ryan Wintle (90’).

What it changes

Millwall have scored 19 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Millwall have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby have scored 20 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Derby have conceded 20 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Millwall are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eiran Cashin (Derby) 8.5, Ebrima Adams (Derby) 7.9 and Romain Esse (Millwall) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Millwall are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Derby.

Next up

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 1–1 Derby · Championship
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: S. Attwell
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 3 · draws 1 · Derby 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millwall 1W 2D 2L · Derby 2W 0D 3L

Millwall 1–1 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 5.71
Corners
against 5 / 6.43 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.83 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.17 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 October 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 October 2024. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 5 against n 6
9.5standard
5.71 for · 6.43 against n 7
Shots
12 for · 9.33 against n 6
19.5standard
11.43 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.83 for · 3.5 against n 6
8.5standard
4 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
14 for · 14.17 against n 6
21.5standard
13.57 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1.86 against n 7

Millwall

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. De Norre n 881.5
0.64/0
0.31/1
K. Goudmijn
G. Saville n 888.1
1.97/4
1.46/4
K. Goudmijn
R. Esse n 880.8
1.76/5
3.18/7
K. Jackson
G. Honeyman n 877.6
1.46/2
14/2
K. Jackson
R. Leonard n 880.3
0.85/1
14/2
E. Cashin
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. De Norre n 881.5
1.76/3
G. Saville n 888.1
1.76/4
R. Esse n 880.8
2.87/6
G. Honeyman n 877.6
3.28/6
R. Leonard n 880.3
3.27/5
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. De Norre n 881.5
14/2
0.11/0
G. Saville n 888.1
0.64/1
0.11/0
R. Esse n 880.8
1.14/3
0.84/2
G. Honeyman n 877.6
0.93/2
0.32/0
R. Leonard n 880.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. De Norre n 881.5
00/0
0.11/0
G. Saville n 888.1
00/0
00/0
R. Esse n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
G. Honeyman n 877.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Leonard n 880.3
00/0
00/0
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Derby

Derby Defensive

Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Nelson n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
—
K. Goudmijn n 880.9
1.34/2
0.64/0
G. Saville
K. Jackson n 880.6
16/1
1.47/3
G. Honeyman
N. Mendez-Laing n 866.4
0.73/1
0.53/0
—
E. Cashin n 877.5
1.36/3
0.32/0
R. Leonard
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Nelson n 890
0.84/1
K. Goudmijn n 880.9
1.57/3
K. Jackson n 880.6
2.58/4
N. Mendez-Laing n 866.4
25/5
E. Cashin n 877.5
2.87/4
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Nelson n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
K. Goudmijn n 880.9
13/2
0.63/1
K. Jackson n 880.6
1.35/4
0.85/1
N. Mendez-Laing n 866.4
14/1
0.21/0
E. Cashin n 877.5
0.73/1
0.43/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 5 October 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nelson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
K. Goudmijn n 880.9
0.32/0
00/0
K. Jackson n 880.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
N. Mendez-Laing n 866.4
00/0
0.21/0
E. Cashin n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallDerby
54%Possession46%
1.94Expected goals (xG)0.68
16Shots5
6Shots on target1
4Shots off target4
6Blocked shots0
6Shots inside the box4
9Corners5
3Offsides1
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Saves5
292Passes244
65%Pass accuracy61%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Jensen9000000006
R. Leonard9000101206.9
J. Tanganga9000000106.5
J. Cooper9000000206.9
J. Bryan90002012Y7
R. Esse9001212307
G. Honeyman9000221006.6
C. De Norre8400000206.9
G. Saville8400003107
M. Langstaff7300220006.3
D. Watmore6500001107.3
O. Azeez sub2500000006.2
M. Ivanović sub1710110007.2
Daniel Kelly sub1100000006.3
R. Wintle sub11000000Y6.2

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000000007.3
C. Nelson9000000305.9
E. Cashin9000101407.9
C. Forsyth9000000206.9
E. Adams9000001807.2
J. Yates9010310007.5
M. Harness7800000106.6
K. Jackson7700000106.9
K. Goudmijn6200001207
C. Blackett-Taylor6100101006.5
R. Nyambe3300000106.6
K. Wilson sub5700000206.7
N. Mendez-Laing sub2900000006.3
B. Osborn sub2800000206.9
N. Phillips sub1300000006.9
J. Collins sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
DerbyWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Millwall 3 · 1 draw · Derby 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2022-02-23 Derby 1–2 Millwall
  • 2021-11-06 Millwall 1–1 Derby
  • 2021-03-13 Derby 0–1 Millwall
  • 2020-12-05 Millwall 0–1 Derby
  • 2020-06-20 Millwall 2–3 Derby
  • 2019-12-14 Derby 0–1 Millwall
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Millwall#8 pos66 pts46 pl-2 GD
Derby#19 pos50 pts46 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Millwall scored1.02
Derby scored1.04
Millwall conceded1.07
Derby conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 3, Derby won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Derby?
Recent form — Millwall 1W 2D 2L; Derby 2W 0D 3L.

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