Millwall v QPR result
Team pages: Millwall · QPR · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Millwall 2–0 QPR — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Millwall beat QPR 2–0 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 18 April.
The goals
Millwall led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Derek Mazou-Sacko (3’) and Camiel Neghli (17’, assisted by Derek Mazou-Sacko).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Derek Mazou-Sacko’s goal on 3 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Millwall 1.53, QPR 0.14, from 11 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
T. Nield showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Oluwafemi Azeez (34’); QPR: Ronnie Edwards (19’), Amadou Mbengue (30’) and Isaac Hayden (90+2’).
What it changes
Millwall stay second after this result (43 league matches played). Millwall have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Millwall have conceded 49 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
QPR stay 11th after this result (43 league matches played). QPR have scored 61 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). QPR have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.
QPR are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Derek Mazou-Sacko (Millwall) 9.6, Camiel Neghli (Millwall) 5.3 and T. Ballo (Millwall) 4.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Millwall are unbeaten in the last three meetings with QPR.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Millwall or QPR (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.
QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Millwall 2–0 QPR · Championship
- Venue: The Den · London
- Referee: T. Nield
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 4 · draws 1 · QPR 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Millwall 1W 2D 2L · QPR 3W 2D 0L
Millwall 2–0 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Millwall for / against | Line | QPR for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.38 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.75 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: T. Nield — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.09 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Millwall
Millwall Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crocombe | 25 | 902255 min | 843.4 /90 | 241 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Patterson | 10 | 91906 min | 242.4 /90 | 101 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Benda | 10 | 90900 min | 181.8 /90 | 171.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Crocombe n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| A. Patterson n 8 | 90.8 | 2.2 |
| S. Benda n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
Millwall Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper | 43 | 903876 min | 441 /90 | 340.8 /90 | 350.8 /90 | 3417.9 /90 | 491.1 /90 | 90.2 /90 |
| T. Crama | 43 | 893848 min | 801.9 /90 | 631.5 /90 | 320.7 /90 | 2616.1 /90 | 541.3 /90 | 90.2 /90 |
| Zak Norton Sturge | 30 | 702097 min | 371.6 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 1084.6 /90 | 301.3 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| C. Taylor | 24 | 852049 min | 301.3 /90 | 462 /90 | 281.2 /90 | 1727.6 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 10 /90 |
| J. Bryan | 15 | 55832 min | 283 /90 | 181.9 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 555.9 /90 | 161.7 /90 | 40.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper n 8 | 90.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | A. Mbengue |
| T. Crama n 8 | 90.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | R. Norrington-Davies |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| M. Ivanović n 8 | 55.1 | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| O. Azeez n 8 | 90.4 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper n 8 | 90.8 | 0.7 |
| T. Crama n 8 | 90.8 | 1.6 |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 1.5 |
| M. Ivanović n 8 | 55.1 | 0.8 |
| O. Azeez n 8 | 90.4 | 1.1 |
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Millwall Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ivanović | 36 | 772764 min | 90.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 571.9 /90 | 301 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 120.4 /90 |
| M. Langstaff | 27 | 521406 min | 20.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| J. Coburn | 24 | 711694 min | 90.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 341.8 /90 | 170.9 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| A. Emakhu | 24 | 581385 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 301.9 /90 | 151 /90 | 191.2 /90 | 251.6 /90 |
| T. Watson | 6 | 31185 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 | 31.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper n 8 | 90.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| T. Crama n 8 | 90.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| M. Ivanović n 8 | 55.1 | 2.2 | 1 |
| O. Azeez n 8 | 90.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cooper n 8 | 90.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Crama n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Ivanović n 8 | 55.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| O. Azeez n 8 | 90.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
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QPR
QPR Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh | 20 | 901800 min | 542.7 /90 | 351.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Nardi | 17 | 891511 min | 442.6 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| B. Hamer | 7 | 80559 min | 111.8 /90 | 61 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 87.6 | 2.4 |
QPR Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dunne | 39 | 893482 min | 491.3 /90 | 330.9 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 2586.7 /90 | 340.9 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Mbengue | 37 | 792939 min | 642 /90 | 300.9 /90 | 210.6 /90 | 1715.2 /90 | 481.5 /90 | 120.4 /90 |
| R. Norrington-Davies | 34 | 772617 min | 612.1 /90 | 240.8 /90 | 90.3 /90 | 1645.6 /90 | 291 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| S. Cook | 25 | 812019 min | 150.7 /90 | 231 /90 | 190.8 /90 | 1125 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| R. Edwards | 13 | 901170 min | 151.2 /90 | 221.7 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 433.3 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 77.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | J. Cooper |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 80 | 0.3 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 77.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | T. Crama |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.6 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 77.1 | 1.9 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 80 | 2.1 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 77.6 | 1.6 |
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QPR Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone | 40 | 793145 min | 90.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 581.7 /90 | 310.9 /90 | 351 /90 | 220.6 /90 |
| R. Burrell | 28 | 681911 min | 100.5 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 331.6 /90 | 221 /90 | 211 /90 | 150.7 /90 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli | 20 | 521047 min | 60.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 201.7 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
| D. Bennie | 12 | 46556 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.6 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 61 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| M. Frey | 7 | 39273 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 1.3 | 1 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 77.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 80 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 77.6 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kone n 8 | 87.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Mbengue n 8 | 77.1 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 80 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| R. Norrington-Davies n 8 | 77.6 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Millwall | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 1.53 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.14 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 302 | Passes | 416 |
| 70% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Millwall Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Crama | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Taylor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Cooper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Zak Norton Sturge | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.5 |
| C. Neghli | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| D. Mazou-Sacko | 89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8.5 |
| O. Azeez | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| J. Coburn | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. De Norre | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| T. Ballo | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Watson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Langstaff sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Cundle sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Ivanović sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Bannan sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
QPR Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walsh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Edwards | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Clarke-Salter | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Norrington-Davies | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. Vale | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Kone | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Poku | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| A. Mbengue | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6 |
| Kieran Morgan | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Varane | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Smyth | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Cook sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| I. Hayden sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| N. Madsen sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Burrell sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| I. Chair sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Millwall v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-18 QPR 1–2 Millwall
- 2025-02-01 Millwall 2–1 QPR
- 2024-09-21 QPR 1–1 Millwall
- 2024-01-20 QPR 2–0 Millwall
- 2023-12-26 Millwall 2–0 QPR
- 2023-02-11 QPR 1–2 Millwall
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Millwall v QPR?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v QPR was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and QPR?
- In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 4, QPR won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Millwall and QPR?
- Recent form — Millwall 1W 2D 2L; QPR 3W 2D 0L.
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How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.