MillwallQPR

Millwall v QPR result

Full-time · Millwall 2–0 QPR

Championship · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 2–0 QPR — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall beat QPR 2–0 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 18 April.

The goals

Millwall led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Derek Mazou-Sacko (3’) and Camiel Neghli (17’, assisted by Derek Mazou-Sacko).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Derek Mazou-Sacko’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Millwall 1.53, QPR 0.14, from 11 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Nield showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Oluwafemi Azeez (34’); QPR: Ronnie Edwards (19’), Amadou Mbengue (30’) and Isaac Hayden (90+2’).

What it changes

Millwall stay second after this result (43 league matches played). Millwall have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Millwall have conceded 49 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

QPR stay 11th after this result (43 league matches played). QPR have scored 61 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). QPR have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

QPR are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Derek Mazou-Sacko (Millwall) 9.6, Camiel Neghli (Millwall) 5.3 and T. Ballo (Millwall) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Millwall are unbeaten in the last three meetings with QPR.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Millwall or QPR (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 2–0 QPR · Championship
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: T. Nield
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 4 · draws 1 · QPR 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millwall 1W 2D 2L · QPR 3W 2D 0L

Millwall 2–0 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 3.63
Corners
against 6.75 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · T. Nield
21.09 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 7.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: T. Nield — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.09 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Crocombe25902255 min843.4 /90241 /9000 /90
A. Patterson1091906 min242.4 /90101 /9000 /90
S. Benda1090900 min181.8 /90171.7 /9000 /90
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 890
3.17/4
A. Patterson n 890.8
2.26/4
S. Benda n 890
1.84/1

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cooper43903876 min441 /90340.8 /90350.8 /903417.9 /90491.1 /9090.2 /90
T. Crama43893848 min801.9 /90631.5 /90320.7 /902616.1 /90541.3 /9090.2 /90
Zak Norton Sturge30702097 min371.6 /90170.7 /90170.7 /901084.6 /90301.3 /9080.3 /90
C. Taylor24852049 min301.3 /90462 /90281.2 /901727.6 /90140.6 /9010 /90
J. Bryan1555832 min283 /90181.9 /9050.5 /90555.9 /90161.7 /9040.4 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890.8
1.17/2
0.54/0
A. Mbengue
T. Crama n 890.8
1.18/1
0.11/0
R. Norrington-Davies
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.32/0
0.53/1
—
M. Ivanović n 855.1
15/0
0.21/0
—
O. Azeez n 890.4
26/4
0.94/1
—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.75/1
T. Crama n 890.8
1.67/4
C. Neghli n 889.9
1.56/3
M. Ivanović n 855.1
0.82/1
O. Azeez n 890.4
1.17/2
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ivanović36772764 min90.3 /9020.1 /90571.9 /90301 /90290.9 /90120.4 /90
M. Langstaff27521406 min20.1 /9010.1 /90171.1 /9090.6 /9070.4 /9050.3 /90
J. Coburn24711694 min90.5 /9000 /90341.8 /90170.9 /90120.6 /9060.3 /90
A. Emakhu24581385 min20.1 /9030.2 /90301.9 /90151 /90191.2 /90251.6 /90
T. Watson631185 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9031.5 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.54/0
0.22/0
T. Crama n 890.8
0.74/2
00/0
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.95/1
0.54/0
M. Ivanović n 855.1
2.26/3
14/1
O. Azeez n 890.4
1.67/5
0.43/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.11/0
00/0
T. Crama n 890.8
00/0
0.22/0
C. Neghli n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
M. Ivanović n 855.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
O. Azeez n 890.4
00/0
0.43/0
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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walsh20901800 min542.7 /90351.8 /9000 /90
P. Nardi17891511 min442.6 /90251.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Hamer780559 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 890
3.15/3
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.45/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne39893482 min491.3 /90330.9 /90270.7 /902586.7 /90340.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Mbengue37792939 min642 /90300.9 /90210.6 /901715.2 /90481.5 /90120.4 /90
R. Norrington-Davies34772617 min612.1 /90240.8 /9090.3 /901645.6 /90291 /9080.3 /90
S. Cook25812019 min150.7 /90231 /90190.8 /901125 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90
R. Edwards13901170 min151.2 /90221.7 /9090.7 /90433.3 /9090.7 /9010.1 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kone n 887.4
1.86/5
0.95/2
—
J. Dunne n 890
16/1
0.54/0
—
A. Mbengue n 877.1
1.65/4
0.95/1
J. Cooper
N. Madsen n 880
0.32/0
0.73/1
—
R. Norrington-Davies n 877.6
0.95/1
0.94/2
T. Crama
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
0.63/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
A. Mbengue n 877.1
1.95/5
N. Madsen n 880
2.17/5
R. Norrington-Davies n 877.6
1.65/4
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kone40793145 min90.3 /9020.1 /90581.7 /90310.9 /90351 /90220.6 /90
R. Burrell28681911 min100.5 /9030.1 /90331.6 /90221 /90211 /90150.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli20521047 min60.5 /9000 /90201.7 /90100.9 /9030.3 /9050.4 /90
D. Bennie1246556 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9071.1 /9061 /9010.2 /90
M. Frey739273 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
1.36/3
15/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Mbengue n 877.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Madsen n 880
0.84/2
0.63/1
R. Norrington-Davies n 877.6
00/0
00/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kone n 887.4
0.31/1
00/0
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 877.1
00/0
00/0
N. Madsen n 880
0.11/0
0.32/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 877.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallQPR
43%Possession57%
1.53Expected goals (xG)0.14
11Shots5
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box2
6Corners10
4Offsides1
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves2
302Passes416
70%Pass accuracy76%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000007.3
T. Crama9000202007.2
C. Taylor9000100007.3
J. Cooper9000000107.3
Zak Norton Sturge9000100507.5
C. Neghli9010210107.9
D. Mazou-Sacko8911112308.5
O. Azeez86000010Y7.2
J. Coburn8600220106.5
C. De Norre7000001107.5
T. Ballo7000001406.9
T. Watson sub2000000006.2
M. Langstaff sub2000000006.3
L. Cundle sub1000000006.6
M. Ivanović sub1000000006.3
B. Bannan sub10000000–

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walsh9000000006.2
R. Edwards90000011Y6.2
J. Clarke-Salter9000002206.2
R. Norrington-Davies9000000306.6
H. Vale9000000106.2
R. Kone9000000106.7
K. Poku6000000105.9
A. Mbengue45000001Y6
Kieran Morgan4500000206.6
J. Varane4500000006.2
P. Smyth4500200106.2
S. Cook sub4500000007.2
I. Hayden sub45000001Y6.9
N. Madsen sub4500111006.3
R. Burrell sub4500100106.3
I. Chair sub3000100406.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
QPRWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Millwall 4 · 1 draw · QPR 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 QPR 1–2 Millwall
  • 2025-02-01 Millwall 2–1 QPR
  • 2024-09-21 QPR 1–1 Millwall
  • 2024-01-20 QPR 2–0 Millwall
  • 2023-12-26 Millwall 2–0 QPR
  • 2023-02-11 QPR 1–2 Millwall
League standing · 2025/26
Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Millwall scored1.39
QPR scored1.33
Millwall conceded1.07
QPR conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v QPR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v QPR was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and QPR?
In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 4, QPR won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and QPR?
Recent form — Millwall 1W 2D 2L; QPR 3W 2D 0L.

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