Millwall v Watford result
Team pages: Millwall · Watford · Head-to-head
Millwall 2–3 Watford — Watford won this Championship match.
The result
Watford won 3–2 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 10 August. It is Watford’s first win over Millwall since 24 April 2021, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Watford led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Watford: Edouard Kayembe (22’), Giorgi Chakvetadze (55’) and Mileta Rajović (90’); Millwall: D. Watmore (74’; 88’, assisted by George Saville).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Millwall out-shot Watford 16 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.00 xG to 1.12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
Discipline
J. Busby showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Ryan Leonard (55’) and J. Bryan (86’); Watford: F. Sierralta (7’), Edouard Kayembe (86’) and Mileta Rajović (90’).
What it changes
Millwall have scored 19 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Millwall have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 24 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs.
Millwall have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Watmore (Millwall) 11.4, George Saville (Millwall) 8.2 and J. Ngakia (Watford) 6.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
Millwall are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Watford.
Next up
Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Millwall 2–3 Watford · Championship
- Venue: The Den · London
- Referee: J. Busby
- Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 3 · draws 2 · Watford 1 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Millwall 5W 0D 0L · Watford 1W 2D 2L
Millwall 2–3 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Millwall for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.14 for · 11.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 8.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.86 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Busby — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches.
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Match Statistics & Details
| Millwall | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 2.00 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 403 | Passes | 354 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Millwall Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jensen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| S. Hutchinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Cooper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Bryan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| C. De Norre | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Saville | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| D. Watmore | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| R. Leonard | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.2 |
| T. Bradshaw | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Esse | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Honeyman | 62 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Emakhu sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Langstaff sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| D. McNamara sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| K. Nisbet sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bachmann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Porteous | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Sierralta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Andrews | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Sissoko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Dele-Bashiru | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| E. Kayembe | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| G. Chakvetadze | 89 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| J. Ngakia | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 6.3 |
| V. Bayo | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Sema sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Rajović sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| T. Ince sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Millwall v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-03-02 Millwall 1–0 Watford
- 2023-10-28 Watford 2–2 Millwall
- 2022-12-26 Watford 0–2 Millwall
- 2022-10-19 Millwall 3–0 Watford
- 2021-04-24 Watford 1–0 Millwall
- 2021-01-26 Millwall 0–0 Watford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 3, Watford won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Millwall and Watford?
- Recent form — Millwall 5W 0D 0L; Watford 1W 2D 2L.
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