Millwall v West Ham result

Full-time · Millwall 2–2 West Ham

Championship · Sat, 19 Sep 2026 12:30 BST · The Den

Updated 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Millwall · West Ham

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 2–2 West Ham — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall and West Ham drew 2–2 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 19 September. West Ham have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Millwall led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Millwall: Caleb Taylor (16’) and Camiel Neghli (45’, assisted by Lyndon Dykes); West Ham: Mohamadou Kanté (74’, assisted by Pablo) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (80’, assisted by Manor Solomon). Mohamadou Kanté (89’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Konstantinos Mavropanos’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Millwall out-shot West Ham 19 to 15 and created the better chances, 2.68 xG to 1.87 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Paul Tierney, England showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Kyrell Lisbie (90+5’); West Ham: Morato (40’), Pablo (83’), Maximilian Kilman (86’) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (90+5’).

What it changes

Millwall move up from 11th to 10th (eight league matches played). Millwall have scored 23 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Millwall have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Ham stay first after this result (eight league matches played). West Ham have scored 36 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). West Ham have conceded 21 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs.

Millwall are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Caleb Taylor (Millwall) 7.6, Camiel Neghli (Millwall) 6.0 and Konstantinos Mavropanos (West Ham) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Millwall next travel to West Brom on 7 November 2026.

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: West Brom v Millwall, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Millwall 2–2 West Ham · Championship
Venue: The Den · London
Referee: Paul Tierney, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Millwall 1W 1D 3L · West Ham 4W 0D 1L

Millwall 2–2 West Ham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 3

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.5 / 5.75

Corners

against 7.63 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.29 yellows

Referee · Paul Tierney, England

23.43 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Millwall for / against	Line	West Ham for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	3 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Paul Tierney, England — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.43 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Crocombe	6	90540 min	142.3 /90	132.2 /90
L. Jensen	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90
F. Marschall	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90

Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 8	90	2.5 5/3
L. Jensen n 8	90	2.6 5/3

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Cooper	9	89802 min	70.8 /90	101.1 /90	80.9 /90	455 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	8	90720 min	81 /90	141.8 /90	81 /90	415.1 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
Zak Norton Sturge	8	77617 min	152.2 /90	81.2 /90	60.9 /90	334.8 /90	111.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Osei-Tutu	6	64383 min	71.6 /90	51.2 /90	10.2 /90	204.7 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
E. Baggott	5	59297 min	41.2 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	185.5 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cooper n 8	89	0.6 4/1	1 5/3	M. Kilman
C. Neghli n 8	76.6	0.9 5/1	0.3 1/1	V. Castellanos
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	73.8	2.9 8/4	2 4/3	M. Solomon
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	M. Kilman
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	77.1	1.6 6/3	1 4/3	M. Kilman
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	89	0.8 3/1
C. Neghli n 8	76.6	1.3 4/2
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	73.8	3.2 8/7
C. Taylor n 8	90	1 6/2
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	77.1	2.2 6/5
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Arconte	7	66464 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
L. Dykes	6	84503 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	122.1 /90	50.9 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Z. Lovelace	6	35212 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
J. Coburn	4	76304 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	72.1 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90
K. Lisbie	3	67200 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	89	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
C. Neghli n 8	76.6	1.2 6/2	0.6 4/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	73.8	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	1.1 5/2	0.4 3/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	77.1	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	89	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Neghli n 8	76.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	73.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Hermansen	8	91729 min	192.3 /90	101.2 /90	00 /90
F. Herrick	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 8	91.1	2.3 6/5

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Kilman	10	91909 min	121.2 /90	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	474.7 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
K. Mavropanos	8	89709 min	70.9 /90	111.4 /90	30.4 /90	465.8 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
K. Walker-Peters	8	79628 min	101.4 /90	30.4 /90	50.7 /90	263.7 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
O. Scarles	7	76530 min	142.4 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	223.7 /90	50.8 /90	20.3 /90
J. Veltman	7	55387 min	122.8 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	235.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Kilman n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0	Zak Norton Sturge
J. Bowen n 8	75	0.3 2/0	0.9 4/2	—
M. Solomon n 8	66	1 3/2	1.9 6/3	Jenson Metcalfe
V. Castellanos n 8	64.4	1.9 7/4	2.1 5/4	C. Neghli
M. Kanté n 8	60.3	1.5 5/1	0.9 4/1	—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	1 6/2
J. Bowen n 8	75	1.1 4/1
M. Solomon n 8	66	1.7 4/2
V. Castellanos n 8	64.4	0.7 3/1
M. Kanté n 8	60.3	1.5 5/3
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Castellanos	9	67603 min	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	213.1 /90	91.3 /90	101.5 /90	30.4 /90
J. Piroe	7	59412 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	122.6 /90	81.7 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90
Pablo	5	69343 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
J. Ajala	2	55110 min	21.6 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Bowen	10	79788 min	60.7 /90	40.5 /90	212.4 /90	131.5 /90	313.5 /90	151.7 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Bowen n 8	75	3 8/7	1.8 7/5
M. Solomon n 8	66	1.2 5/1	0.9 4/1
V. Castellanos n 8	64.4	3.1 7/3	1.2 4/2
M. Kanté n 8	60.3	1.1 4/2	0.4 2/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bowen n 8	75	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
M. Solomon n 8	66	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
V. Castellanos n 8	64.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
M. Kanté n 8	60.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Millwall		West Ham
34%	Possession	66%
2.68	Expected goals (xG)	1.87
19	Shots	15
7	Shots on target	6
7	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	7
14	Shots inside the box	8
3	Corners	11
1	Offsides	2
17	Fouls	18
1	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	1
4	Saves	4
216	Passes	424
61%	Pass accuracy	79%

Millwall Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Taylor	90	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.3
J. Cooper	90	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.6
L. Dykes	90	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	7.3
C. Neghli	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
J. Osei-Tutu	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6
Zak Norton Sturge	90	0	0	1	0	2	3	0	7.2
F. Marschall	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
D. Mazou-Sacko	89	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	6.9
T. Arconte	81	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7
Jenson Metcalfe	81	0	0	2	1	2	3	0	7.6
M. Sykes	70	0	0	2	2	2	0	0	6.9
E. Baggott sub	20	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6
K. Lisbie sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
M. Servais sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
L. Cundle sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

West Ham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Bowen	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.2
A. Engels	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
M. Kilman	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
K. Mavropanos	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.3
Morato	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
M. Solomon	90	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	7.3
M. Hermansen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
V. Castellanos	89	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	6
D. Mukasa	68	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7.7
K. Walker-Peters	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Piroe	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Pablo sub	45	0	1	1	1	1	0	Y	6.3
M. Kanté sub	44	1	0	2	2	2	1	R	8.2
Edvin Austbø sub	22	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
L. Orford sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v West Ham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MillwallLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

West HamWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Millwall#13 pos18 pts14 pl-1 GD

West Ham#8 pos23 pts14 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

Millwall scored1.64

West Ham scored2.57

Millwall conceded1.71

West Ham conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v West Ham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v West Ham was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Millwall and West Ham?: Recent form — Millwall 1W 1D 3L; West Ham 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 3 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.