MillwallWrexham

Millwall v Wrexham result

Full-time · Millwall 0–3 Wrexham

Championship · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 0–3 Wrexham — Wrexham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.38 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham won 3–0 at The Den in the Championship on Wednesday 2 September.

The goals

Wrexham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Millwall: an own goal by Zak Norton Sturge (28’); Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (52’, assisted by Joshua Windass) and Jacques Ekomié (69’, assisted by Daniel Edward Peter Imray).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Millwall 0.23, Wrexham 0.88, from 4 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

O. Langford showed three yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Casper De Norre (18’) and Lyndon Dykes (56’); Wrexham: Benjamin Whiteman (36’).

What it changes

Millwall move down from seventh to 11th (four league matches played).

Wrexham move up from 16th to 12th (four league matches played).

Wrexham’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 4, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 8.1, Jacques Ekomié (Wrexham) 7.8 and Daniel Edward Peter Imray (Wrexham) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Millwall or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 0–3 Wrexham · Championship
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: O. Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Millwall 1 · draws 0 · Wrexham 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millwall 3W 1D 1L · Wrexham 0W 3D 2L

Millwall 0–3 Wrexham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.29 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.29 / 6 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.71 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · O. Langford
18.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineWrexham for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
7.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.25 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
16.29 for · 10.14 against n 7
19.5standard
12.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 2.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 7.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: O. Langford — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 18.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Jensen290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Crocombe290180 min31.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Jensen n 890
2.65/3
M. Crocombe n 890
2.56/3

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cooper490360 min30.8 /9061.5 /9041 /90246 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Zak Norton Sturge466263 min72.4 /9041.4 /9000 /90134.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
M. Sykes458233 min62.3 /9031.2 /9000 /90103.9 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
C. Taylor390270 min31 /9041.3 /9041.3 /90186 /9020.7 /9000 /90
E. Baggott255109 min32.5 /9032.5 /9010.8 /90119.1 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
0.94/3
0.85/1
C. Doyle
C. Neghli n 882
16/1
0.11/0
—
Zak Norton Sturge n 868.9
0.85/0
1.35/3
L. O'Brien
Jenson Metcalfe n 461.8
4.44/3
0.41/0
L. O'Brien
M. Sykes n 458.3
0.41/0
00/0
L. O'Brien
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.85/1
C. Neghli n 882
1.24/2
Zak Norton Sturge n 868.9
2.36/5
Jenson Metcalfe n 461.8
3.34/3
M. Sykes n 458.3
2.33/2
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Coburn380241 min20.7 /9000 /9072.6 /9051.9 /9041.5 /9000 /90
T. Arconte369206 min20.9 /9000 /9062.6 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9020.9 /90
K. Lisbie367200 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90
Z. Lovelace24283 min00 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
L. Dykes19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.63/2
0.42/1
C. Neghli n 882
1.46/4
0.32/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 868.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 461.8
1.12/1
00/0
M. Sykes n 458.3
0.82/0
0.41/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Neghli n 882
00/0
0.11/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 868.9
00/0
00/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 461.8
00/0
0.41/0
M. Sykes n 458.3
0.41/0
00/0
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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Patterson390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Patterson n 390
2.72/1
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Doyle490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90235.8 /9041 /9010.3 /90
D. Hyam490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90215.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
Z. Vyner490360 min51.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90143.5 /9041 /9000 /90
I. Kaboré11919 min00 /9000 /9000 /9014.7 /9000 /9000 /90
L. O'Brien490360 min92.3 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90184.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hyam n 890
1.67/4
1.16/3
—
C. Doyle n 890
1.47/3
0.31/1
J. Cooper
L. O'Brien n 864.6
1.24/2
1.97/3
M. Sykes
Z. Vyner n 887.1
0.84/2
00/0
—
N. Broadhead n 855.1
0.62/1
15/0
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
2.46/4
C. Doyle n 890
1.66/4
D. Hyam n 890
1.48/3
Z. Vyner n 887.1
1.35/4
N. Broadhead n 855.1
13/2
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Broadhead474296 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9072.1 /90
O. Rathbone470279 min00 /9000 /9031 /9000 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90
K. Moore458232 min10.4 /9000 /9072.7 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
S. Smith434137 min00 /9000 /9063.9 /9032 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Cadamarteri22039 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9024.6 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
1.15/2
0.84/1
Z. Vyner n 887.1
0.43/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
L. O'Brien n 864.6
0.21/0
00/0
N. Broadhead n 855.1
1.23/2
0.21/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
00/0
0.21/0
C. Doyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
Z. Vyner n 887.1
00/0
00/0
N. Broadhead n 855.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallWrexham
39%Possession61%
0.23Expected goals (xG)0.88
4Shots9
0Shots on target3
3Shots off target3
1Blocked shots3
1Shots inside the box8
1Corners2
0Offsides1
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves0
350Passes566
75%Pass accuracy84%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Crocombe9000000006.2
C. Taylor9000001006
J. Cooper9000000006.2
M. Sykes9000100206
Zak Norton Sturge9000000305.9
L. Dykes90001010Y6.9
D. Kelly7400000206.2
Jenson Metcalfe7400100106.9
E. Baggott6400000106.3
J. Coburn6300001106.9
C. De Norre43000001Y6.7
C. Neghli sub4700000006.6
Z. Lovelace sub2700000106.3
D. Mazou-Sacko sub2600000106.5
J. Osei-Tutu sub1600000106.9
Alfie Massey sub1600000006.6

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000006.7
M. Cleworth9000200207.3
D. Hyam9000000007
C. Doyle9000000107.2
M. James9000001106.9
B. Whiteman90000001Y6.3
L. O'Brien9000100306.5
J. Ekomié7610110408.3
K. Moore7310112207.6
I. Kaboré6700000306.9
J. Windass6701001006.7
Daniel Edward Peter Imray sub2301002107.2
O. Rathbone sub2300001006.3
S. Smith sub1700000006.9
R. Longman sub1400110006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
WrexhamDLDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Millwall 1 · 0 draws · Wrexham 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Wrexham 0–2 Millwall
  • 2025-08-30 Millwall 0–2 Wrexham
League standing · 2026/27
Millwall#16 pos18 pts15 pl-4 GD
Wrexham#15 pos18 pts15 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Millwall scored1.53
Wrexham scored1.2
Millwall conceded1.8
Wrexham conceded1.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v Wrexham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v Wrexham was Home or Draw (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Wrexham?
In their last 2 meetings, Millwall won 1, Wrexham won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Wrexham?
Recent form — Millwall 3W 1D 1L; Wrexham 0W 3D 2L.

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