NorwichDerby

Norwich v Derby result

Full-time · Norwich 2–1 Derby

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Norwich 2–1 Derby — Norwich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Norwich beat Derby 2–1 in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April. Derby have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Norwich led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Norwich: Mohamed Touré (33’, assisted by Amankwah Forson) and Liam Gibbs (60’, assisted by P. Maghoma); Derby: David Ozoh (54’, assisted by Carlton Morris).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Liam Gibbs’s goal on 60 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Norwich 1.54, Derby 1.20, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Reeves showed five yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Norwich: Mohamed Touré (45+5’) and Vladan Kovačević (69’); Derby: B. Brereton (19’), Lewis Travis (82’) and Matthew Clarke (88’).

What it changes

Norwich stay ninth after this result (44 league matches played). Norwich have scored 63 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Norwich have conceded 56 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby move down from seventh to eighth (44 league matches played). Derby have scored 67 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Derby have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacob Widell Zetterström (Derby) 8.2, David Ozoh (Derby) 7.7 and Amankwah Forson (Norwich) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Norwich or Derby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Norwich next travel to Bristol City on 7 November 2026.

Derby next host Bolton on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norwich: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Norwich 2–1 Derby · Championship
  • Referee: T. Reeves
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 2 · draws 1 · Derby 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 3W 1D 1L · Derby 3W 0D 2L

Norwich 2–1 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.75 / 4
Corners
against 3.75 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: T. Reeves.

Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Kovačević43893825 min1102.6 /90531.2 /9020 /90
D. Grimshaw683495 min81.5 /9081.5 /9000 /90
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.35/4

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Fisher43823515 min922.4 /90411 /90120.3 /901854.7 /90531.4 /90110.3 /90
H. Darling35893105 min341 /90331 /90320.9 /901704.9 /90160.5 /9080.2 /90
J. Stacey28681909 min633 /90221 /9030.1 /901165.5 /90281.3 /9050.2 /90
Ruairi McConville27892399 min321.2 /90281.1 /90180.7 /901254.7 /90100.4 /9020.1 /90
J. Córdoba26832153 min301.3 /90291.2 /90220.9 /901084.5 /90311.3 /9060.3 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Kovačević n 890
00/0
00/0
—
K. Fisher n 879.6
1.34/3
0.85/1
M. Clarke
K. McLean n 889.9
14/3
1.66/4
—
O. Schwartau n 855.5
1.24/2
13/2
—
H. Darling n 890
0.54/0
15/2
M. Clarke
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Fisher n 879.6
1.85/4
K. McLean n 889.9
1.35/4
O. Schwartau n 855.5
1.85/3
H. Darling n 890
0.95/2
P. Mattsson n 872.9
1.26/2
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makama29601744 min130.7 /9000 /90422.2 /90241.2 /90160.8 /90291.5 /90
M. Kvistgaarden27481284 min60.4 /9000 /90302.1 /90231.6 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90
Josh Sargent24842015 min80.4 /9030.1 /90371.7 /90190.8 /90200.9 /90241.1 /90
P. Diallo1156618 min00 /9040.6 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90121.7 /9060.9 /90
E. Mundle-Smith1024244 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9000 /9051.8 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Kovačević n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Fisher n 879.6
0.74/1
0.43/0
K. McLean n 889.9
0.94/2
0.54/0
O. Schwartau n 855.5
1.45/2
0.63/0
H. Darling n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Kovačević n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Fisher n 879.6
00/0
00/0
K. McLean n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
O. Schwartau n 855.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
H. Darling n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström30902700 min933.1 /90391.3 /9010 /90
J. Vickers890716 min232.9 /90131.6 /9000 /90
R. O'Donnell790630 min202.9 /9060.9 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
3.86/4

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Clarke43893820 min721.7 /90571.3 /90451.1 /902596.1 /90390.9 /9080.2 /90
D. Sanderson36893188 min341 /90491.4 /90230.6 /901383.9 /90421.2 /9080.2 /90
J. Ward34822797 min441.4 /90321 /90100.3 /901053.4 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
C. Elder27832229 min512.1 /90261 /9090.4 /901315.3 /90261 /9080.3 /90
S. Langås22811788 min291.5 /90241.2 /90130.7 /90964.8 /90100.5 /9020.1 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Clarke n 890
0.64/1
0.94/2
H. Darling
B. Clark n 883
1.27/2
1.16/2
—
B. Brereton n 885.3
0.84/1
1.75/4
—
P. Agyemang n 870.8
2.47/5
1.95/3
—
D. Sanderson n 887.6
1.97/5
0.53/1
—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
1.56/3
B. Clark n 883
2.47/6
B. Brereton n 885.3
0.43/0
P. Agyemang n 870.8
0.64/0
D. Sanderson n 887.6
0.84/2
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Agyemang38732777 min100.3 /9030.1 /90601.9 /90311 /90290.9 /90391.3 /90
R. Brewster30521547 min70.4 /9020.1 /90221.3 /90100.6 /90171 /90211.2 /90
C. Morris25731835 min120.6 /9010 /90331.6 /90170.8 /90201 /9070.3 /90
A. Weimann1641648 min00 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9040.6 /9060.8 /9040.6 /90
L. Salvesen1041414 min20.4 /9020.4 /9071.5 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
B. Clark n 883
0.84/1
0.32/0
B. Brereton n 885.3
1.56/4
1.26/3
P. Agyemang n 870.8
2.27/4
15/1
D. Sanderson n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Clark n 883
00/0
0.11/0
B. Brereton n 885.3
0.53/1
00/0
P. Agyemang n 870.8
00/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 887.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorwichDerby
55%Possession45%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.20
14Shots11
6Shots on target8
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box9
3Corners4
2Offsides5
9Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
7Saves4
418Passes338
74%Pass accuracy70%

Norwich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Kovačević90000000Y7.5
H. Darling9000000006.3
J. Córdoba9000000306.9
K. Fisher9000001207
P. Mattsson9000001206.7
K. McLean9000110306.7
L. Gibbs9010320107.3
J. Stacey8800000006.3
A. Forson8001101206.9
P. Maghoma8001204107.3
M. Touré62102210Y6.2
M. Kvistgaarden sub2800100006.9
S. Field sub1100000006.7
A. Ben Slimane sub1000000007
E. Mundle-Smith sub1000110006.9

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000000007.9
J. Ward9000111206.2
S. Langås9000110106
M. Clarke90000001Y6.5
S. Szmodics9000311006.5
C. Morris9001223006.6
L. Travis87000013Y7.2
D. Ozoh7510111407.3
D. Murkin6700001105.9
B. Brereton67000000Y6
J. Banel6700000106.2
M. Johnston sub2300111106.9
C. Forsyth sub2300000006.9
L. Salvesen sub2300210106.3
O. Fraulo sub1500000106.7
Owen Eames sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DerbyWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Norwich 2 · 1 draw · Derby 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-21 Derby 1–0 Norwich
  • 2025-02-08 Norwich 1–1 Derby
  • 2024-09-28 Derby 2–3 Norwich
  • 2021-04-10 Derby 0–1 Norwich
  • 2020-10-03 Norwich 0–1 Derby
  • 2018-12-29 Norwich 3–4 Derby
League standing · 2025/26
Norwich#9 pos65 pts46 pl+7 GD
Derby#8 pos69 pts46 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Norwich scored1.37
Derby scored1.46
Norwich conceded1.22
Derby conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Norwich v Derby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Derby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 2, Derby won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Derby?
Recent form — Norwich 3W 1D 1L; Derby 3W 0D 2L.

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