Oxford United v Coventry result
Team pages: Oxford United · Coventry · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Oxford United 2–2 Coventry — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Oxford United and Coventry drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 30 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Coventry out-shot Oxford United 15 to 14 and created the better chances, 1.74 xG to 1.04 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
Coventry led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Coventry: H. Wright (12’) and V. Torp (37’); Oxford United: William Lankshear (19’) and Cameron Brannagan (75’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cameron Brannagan’s goal on 75 minutes.
Discipline
R. Ricardo showed three yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Oxford United: Cameron Brannagan (55’); Coventry: Bobby Thomas (49’) and V. Torp (88’).
What it changes
Oxford United have scored 45 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Oxford United have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Coventry have scored 97 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Coventry have conceded 45 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.
Oxford United are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Coventry have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, V. Torp (Coventry) 6.8, Jack Rudoni (Coventry) 6.5 and William Lankshear (Oxford United) 5.3 led the match.
Head-to-head
Coventry are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Oxford United.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.8% of the time in the last 90 days (331 of 481).
Next up
Oxford United next travel to Peterborough on 14 November 2026.
Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Oxford United: Peterborough v Oxford United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Oxford United 2–2 Coventry · Championship
- Referee: R. Ricardo
- Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Oxford United 1 · draws 1 · Coventry 4 · 4.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Oxford United 1W 0D 4L · Coventry 3W 1D 1L
Oxford United 2–2 Coventry (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Oxford United for / against | Line | Coventry for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.14 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.29 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.43 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.14 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.14 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.14 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.14 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.57 for · 1 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.43 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: R. Ricardo — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.
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Oxford United
Oxford United Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 87.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | M. Grimes |
| B. Spencer n 5 | 68.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| M. Helik n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Liam Kitching |
| J. Cumming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| S. Long n 8 | 77.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | Liam Kitching |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 87.1 | 2.5 |
| B. Spencer n 5 | 68.2 | 3.7 |
| M. Helik n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| J. Cumming n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| S. Long n 8 | 77.9 | 2.2 |
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Oxford United Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 87.1 | 1.3 | 1 |
| B. Spencer n 5 | 68.2 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Helik n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| J. Cumming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Long n 8 | 77.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brannagan n 8 | 87.1 | 0.3 | 0 |
| B. Spencer n 5 | 68.2 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Helik n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Cumming n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Long n 8 | 77.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Coventry
Coventry Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grimes n 8 | 81.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | C. Brannagan |
| Liam Kitching n 8 | 79.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | S. Long |
| B. Thomas n 8 | 78.6 | 1.6 | 1 | — |
| V. Torp n 8 | 56.3 | 1 | 1.2 | — |
| B. Thomas-Asante n 8 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Grimes n 8 | 81.5 | 1.7 |
| Liam Kitching n 8 | 79.4 | 0.9 |
| B. Thomas n 8 | 78.6 | 1.1 |
| V. Torp n 8 | 56.3 | 1.6 |
| B. Thomas-Asante n 8 | 56.5 | 1.4 |
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Coventry Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grimes n 8 | 81.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Liam Kitching n 8 | 79.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| B. Thomas n 8 | 78.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| V. Torp n 8 | 56.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| B. Thomas-Asante n 8 | 56.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grimes n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Liam Kitching n 8 | 79.4 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Thomas n 8 | 78.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| V. Torp n 8 | 56.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| B. Thomas-Asante n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Oxford United | Coventry | |
|---|---|---|
| 37% | Possession | 63% |
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.74 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 10 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Offsides | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 286 | Passes | 495 |
| 66% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Oxford United Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cumming | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. ter Avest | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Helik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Long | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Leigh | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. Brannagan | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.7 |
| B. De Keersmaecker | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| W. Lankshear | 87 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Phillips | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| P. Płacheta | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Goodrham | 72 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Mills sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Dembélé sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Nik Prelec sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Harris sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| W. Vaulks sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
Coventry Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rushworth | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. van Ewijk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| B. Thomas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| Liam Kitching | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Dasilva | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| V. Torp | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 8.2 |
| M. Grimes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Rudoni | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| E. Mason-Clark | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Wright | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| B. Thomas-Asante | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Sakamoto sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Oxford United v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-01 Oxford United 2–3 Coventry
- 2024-08-27 Coventry 1–0 Oxford United
- 2024-08-16 Coventry 3–2 Oxford United
- 2024-01-06 Coventry 6–2 Oxford United
- 2019-08-31 Oxford United 3–3 Coventry
- 2019-03-23 Coventry 0–1 Oxford United
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Oxford United v Coventry?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Oxford United v Coventry was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Oxford United and Coventry?
- In their last 6 meetings, Oxford United won 1, Coventry won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Oxford United and Coventry?
- Recent form — Oxford United 1W 0D 4L; Coventry 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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