Portsmouth v Stoke City prediction

Championship · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Fratton Park

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away offsides under 3.5 the free pick for Portsmouth v Stoke City, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Away offsides under 3.5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Stoke City offsides under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Stoke City are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Portsmouth have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.57. Portsmouth have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Portsmouth have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Stoke City have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Stoke City have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Stoke City have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Portsmouth (10th) and Stoke City (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Portsmouth the stronger side, 27 rating points above Stoke City (Portsmouth 1594, Stoke City 1567, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth.

Team news

Predicted Portsmouth XI (4-2-3-1): N. Schmid, M. Dia, R. Poole, J. Meghoma, Z. Swanson, A. Segecic, I. Mohamed, M. Pack, A. Kamara, E. Adams, M. Milovanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ebrima Adams (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and one assist) and R. Kavuma McQueen (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Portsmouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Portsmouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ebrima Adams averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances. R. Kavuma McQueen averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 709 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, B. Wilmot, L. Graham, M. Talovierov, B. Johnson, E. Soumaré, E. Galbraith, L. Bombino, J. Devenny, J. McGlynn, R. Boženík — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Jack McGlynn (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1647 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack McGlynn averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 2097 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Championship · Fratton Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Portsmouth 2 · draws 0 · Stoke City 2 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Portsmouth 3W 2D 0L · Stoke City 3W 1D 1L

Portsmouth v Stoke City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.88

Corners

against 4.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 3 / 3.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 2.25 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Portsmouth for / against	Line	Stoke City for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Schmid	11	91999 min	252.3 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90
D. Bielica	4	90360 min	143.5 /90	41 /90	00 /90

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 8	90	1.8 5/1
D. Bielica n 4	90	3.5 4/4

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Z. Swanson	13	73944 min	201.9 /90	191.8 /90	30.3 /90	424 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
T. Devlin	12	79950 min	252.4 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90	646.1 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
M. Dia	10	83831 min	161.7 /90	50.5 /90	50.5 /90	353.8 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
R. Poole	10	83828 min	70.8 /90	131.4 /90	60.7 /90	444.8 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Meghoma	9	82734 min	182.2 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	283.4 /90	20.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Segecic n 8	70.5	0.8 3/1	1.4 6/2	—
E. Adams n 8	49.8	2.5 6/3	2.3 4/3	—
A. Kamara n 8	75	1.3 6/2	2 6/4	—
Z. Swanson n 8	68.4	1 5/1	0.7 4/0	—
R. Kavuma McQueen n 8	57.1	1.8 6/2	1 3/2	—
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Segecic n 8	70.5	0.8 4/1
E. Adams n 8	49.8	5.7 8/6
A. Kamara n 8	75	0.9 5/1
Z. Swanson n 8	68.4	2.3 6/4
R. Kavuma McQueen n 8	57.1	1.2 4/2
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Milovanović	12	53630 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	142 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90	20.3 /90
C. Bishop	10	57572 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	60.9 /90	50.8 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90
T. Shade	9	60544 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	81.3 /90	50.8 /90
T. Waddingham	2	1836 min	25 /90	00 /90	25 /90	25 /90	25 /90	00 /90
H. Blair	1	2727 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.3 /90	13.3 /90
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Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 8	70.5	1.8 6/5	0.3 2/0
E. Adams n 8	49.8	1.1 3/2	0.5 2/0
A. Kamara n 8	75	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Z. Swanson n 8	68.4	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
R. Kavuma McQueen n 8	57.1	3.2 4/3	1 2/1
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
E. Adams n 8	49.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Kamara n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
Z. Swanson n 8	68.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Kavuma McQueen n 8	57.1	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Johansson	15	901357 min	453 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90

Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	2.4 5/3

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Wilmot	15	871312 min	151 /90	251.7 /90	141 /90	563.8 /90	161.1 /90	10.1 /90
Luke Graham	13	911177 min	221.7 /90	171.3 /90	100.8 /90	816.2 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
Bosun Lawal	8	68547 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	264.3 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
M. Talovierov	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	234.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
B. Lawal	7	72503 min	71.3 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	244.3 /90	91.6 /90	20.4 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.6 3/1	—
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2 7/5	1.7 6/4	—
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.9 4/3	—
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.5 5/4	—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1 5/2
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2.7 6/5
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.5 7/2
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.6 6/4
Ben Johnson n 8	90	1.1 4/2
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
George Hirst	12	45537 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
J. McGlynn	10	71706 min	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	131.7 /90	30.4 /90
J. Devenny	10	70700 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90
R. Boženík	10	43428 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	40.8 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
L. Cissé	9	56505 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	71.2 /90	101.8 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.4 3/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.4 3/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PortsmouthWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Stoke CityLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Portsmouth 2 · 0 draws · Stoke City 2 · 4 goals/game

2026-04-25 Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth
2025-10-25 Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke City
2025-01-22 Portsmouth 3–1 Stoke City
2024-10-02 Stoke City 6–1 Portsmouth

League standing · 2026/27

Portsmouth#10 pos22 pts14 pl+3 GD

Stoke City#4 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Portsmouth scored1.36

Stoke City scored1.57

Portsmouth conceded1.14

Stoke City conceded1.21

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Portsmouth v Stoke City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Stoke City is Away offsides under 3.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Stoke City?: In their last 4 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Stoke City won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Stoke City?: Recent form — Portsmouth 3W 2D 0L; Stoke City 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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