Preston v Derby prediction

Championship · Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Deepdale

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Preston · Derby · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Preston v Derby, Championship on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Preston host Derby in the Championship on Saturday 26 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Preston have two wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 0.78 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.89. Preston have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Preston have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Derby have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.14. Derby have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Derby have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Preston (24th) and Derby (23rd) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Derby the stronger side, 41 rating points above Preston (Derby 1329, Preston 1287, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Preston 0–1 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Preston XI (3-4-1-2): D. Iversen, A. Hughes, O. Offiah, J. Storey, J. Thompson, A. Vukčević, L. Leroy, A. Moran, S. Mills, C. Lang, A. Devine — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Léo Leroy (3.3 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Alfie Devine (3.1 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Preston’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Preston (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Léo Leroy averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1310 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Alfie Devine averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1185 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, J. Robinson, R. Hedges, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, S. Szmodics, R. Brewster, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1037 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · Deepdale
Head-to-head (last 6): Preston 1 · draws 2 · Derby 3 · 1.17 goals/game
Recent form: Preston 1W 1D 3L · Derby 1W 1D 3L

Preston v Derby (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1

Goals

against 2.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.5

Corners

against 7.25 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Preston for / against	Line	Derby for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 20.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	1.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.88 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Preston

Preston Goalkeeper

Preston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Iversen	14	901260 min	433.1 /90	221.6 /90	00 /90
L. Nicholls	2	90180 min	136.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Preston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Iversen n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Preston Defensive

Preston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Storey	13	871125 min	121 /90	362.9 /90	70.6 /90	796.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
A. Vukčević	13	72935 min	181.7 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	343.3 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
O. Offiah	12	77927 min	302.9 /90	161.6 /90	20.2 /90	626 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
A. Hughes	10	86863 min	202.1 /90	181.9 /90	10.1 /90	606.3 /90	151.6 /90	40.4 /90
H. Clarke	9	78705 min	91.1 /90	131.7 /90	50.6 /90	405.1 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90
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Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Lang n 8	61.8	1.6 5/3	0.9 4/1	—
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.1 4/3	0.9 4/2	—
A. Devine n 8	68.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	1.9 6/4	1.8 6/4	—
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Lang n 8	61.8	0.9 4/1
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.8 7/3
A. Devine n 8	68.9	2.6 7/6
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	1.1 7/2
D. Burgzorg n 8	42.6	1.1 3/1
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Lang	16	60955 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	191.8 /90	90.8 /90	90.8 /90	40.4 /90
D. Burgzorg	14	58809 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	80.9 /90	40.4 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
J. Erabi	14	40555 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90
J. Kenny	7	65453 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	183.6 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
M. Osmajić	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90
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Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Lang n 8	61.8	1.5 4/2	0.4 2/0
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
A. Devine n 8	68.9	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Lang n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Devine n 8	68.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	12	901085 min	544.5 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	4.6 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	14	821151 min	131 /90	161.3 /90	110.9 /90	554.3 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.9 7/5	0.8 6/0	—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1 4/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1
A. Mowatt n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	12	861037 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
R. Brewster	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	16	851365 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.5 /90	181.2 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.3 7/2	0.8 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 4/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Preston v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PrestonLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

DerbyLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Preston 1 · 2 draws · Derby 3 · 1.17 goals/game

2026-01-17 Preston 0–1 Derby
2025-09-20 Derby 0–1 Preston
2025-04-02 Derby 2–0 Preston
2024-11-23 Preston 1–1 Derby
2022-04-02 Derby 1–0 Preston
2021-10-16 Preston 0–0 Derby

League standing · 2026/27

Preston#24 pos8 pts15 pl-17 GD

Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD

Goals per game

Preston scored0.87

Derby scored0.93

Preston conceded2

Derby conceded2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Derby?: In their last 6 meetings, Preston won 1, Derby won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Preston and Derby?: Recent form — Preston 1W 1D 3L; Derby 1W 1D 3L.

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